{"id":40280,"date":"2025-09-24T07:22:12","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T07:22:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/40280\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T07:22:12","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T07:22:12","slug":"current-government-policies-not-suitable-for-long-term-treasury-outlook-on-fiscal-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/40280\/","title":{"rendered":"Current government policies not suitable for long-term &#8211; Treasury outlook on fiscal future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/4KBN51N_RNZD9683_jpg\" width=\"1050\" height=\"700\" alt=\"RNZ\/Reece Baker\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nPopulation ageing remains a significant long-term fiscal challenge.<br \/>\nPhoto: RNZ \/ REECE BAKER\n<\/p>\n<p>The latest Treasury outlook on New Zealand&#8217;s fiscal future indicates current government polices are not suitable for the long-term and change is required.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/4KS79S6_mw_jpg\" width=\"576\" height=\"256\" alt=\"Miles Workman - a Senior Economist at ANZ\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nMiles Workman<br \/>\nPhoto: Supplied\n<\/p>\n<p>Treasury&#8217;s 2025 Long-term Fiscal Statement, which looks 40 years out, has been warning for 20 years that population ageing will place increasing pressure on New Zealand&#8217;s long-term fiscal position.<\/p>\n<p>ANZ senior economist Miles Workman said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasury.govt.nz\/publications\/ltfp\/he-tirohanga-mokopuna-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the report<\/a> should be on the reading list of every New Zealander.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Because ultimately, I don&#8217;t think politicians are going to be able to make the changes that are needed here until the voting public is behind those changes,&#8221; Workman said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;So this document is very important in that respect, because it does lay out the problems very clearly.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Population ageing remains a significant long-term fiscal challenge.<br \/>\nDespite favourable economic tailwinds in the past 20 years, New Zealand&#8217;s debt is higher than anticipated.<br \/>\nIt is vital New Zealand closes its structural fiscal deficit sooner rather than later.<br \/>\nFiscal pressures will accelerate in coming decades with costs of superannuation and healthcare expected to rise significantly as the population ages.<br \/>\nThere is no one solution and successive governments will need to consider a mix of options to deliver fiscal sustainability over the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>Secretary to the Treasury Iain Rennie said New Zealand had been running a structural operating deficit since 2019\/20 financial year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In 1965, there were seven working-age New Zealanders for every person over 65. Today, that ratio is four to one, and by 2065 it is projected to be just two to one,&#8221; Rennie said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As the age structure of our population shifts, the cost of maintaining NZS (New Zealand Superannuation) in its current form will rise significantly.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Similarly, health expenditure could increase from 7.1 percent of GDP today to around 10 percent by 2065 if policies remain unchanged.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said an adjustment to fiscal policy was required to bring expenditure and revenue into balance, even if more favourable conditions prevailed in future years.<\/p>\n<p>The report warns unchanged policy would lead to debt rising to around 200 percent of GDP by 2065.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/radionz.us6.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&amp;id=b3d362e693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for Ng\u0101 Pitopito K\u014drero<\/a>, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Population ageing remains a significant long-term fiscal challenge. Photo: RNZ \/ REECE BAKER The latest Treasury outlook on&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":40281,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[48,47,42,43,49,46,44,45,40,38,41,39],"class_list":{"0":"post-40280","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-audio","9":"tag-current-affairs","10":"tag-headlines","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-podcasts","13":"tag-public-radio","14":"tag-radio-new-zealand","15":"tag-rnz","16":"tag-top-news","17":"tag-top-stories","18":"tag-topnews","19":"tag-topstories"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40280","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40280"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40280\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40280"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40280"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40280"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}