{"id":417623,"date":"2026-05-08T07:44:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T07:44:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/417623\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T07:44:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T07:44:09","slug":"uk-budget-faces-8-billion-annual-cost-from-iran-conflict-ippr-says-news-and-statistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/417623\/","title":{"rendered":"UK Budget Faces \u00a38 Billion Annual Cost from Iran Conflict, IPPR Says &#8211; News and Statistics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tMay 8, 2026\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/store\/branch\/economic_policy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The conflict with Iran<\/a> is projected to add an annual cost of PS8 billion to the UK budget for Chancellor Rachel Reeves, according to economists, as the war drives up inflation and dampens growth. The Institute for Public Policy Research (<a href=\"https:\/\/app.indexbox.io\/companies\/profile\/4060563\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">IPPR<\/a>), a left-leaning think tank, has warned that higher interest payments on government debt combined with lost tax revenues will amount to approximately PS32 billion by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>The IPPR noted that the full economic impact depends on how long the war between the United States and Iran continues. It cautioned that a closure of the Strait of Hormuz could push UK inflation to 6 percent due to surging <a href=\"https:\/\/app.indexbox.io\/indicators\/symbol\/crude-oil-dec-25\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">oil<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/app.indexbox.io\/indicators\/symbol\/natural-gas-dec-25\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">gas<\/a> prices. This would heavily affect public finances because interest payments on roughly a quarter of the country&#8217;s PS3 trillion debt are tied to inflation, potentially triggering billions of pounds in extra annual costs for Ms. Reeves.<\/p>\n<p>The think tank attributed more than PS4 billion of additional costs to slower economic growth, which would result in weaker tax receipts. To counter the inflation threat, the IPPR called on Ms. Reeves to introduce measures supporting households, including cutting fuel tax by 10 pence per litre and capping household energy bills at PS2,000 per year for a typical home. The IPPR estimated these tax cuts and energy subsidies would cost the government around PS5 billion.<\/p>\n<p>However, the IPPR argued that such policies would also suppress inflation, saving the Treasury on interest payments while supporting household spending. This, it said, would improve economic growth and boost tax revenues, meaning the measures would largely pay for themselves. William Ellis, an IPPR economist, stated that this approach would be a better tool for taming inflation than relying on the traditional method of raising interest rates. He noted that the Bank of England is not well suited to respond due to the lag in how interest rate changes influence demand, and that the government can act now where the central bank cannot, with a policy designed to cap prices only in the most damaging scenarios. He added that at worst, the policy would save about as much as it costs, but could end up saving money if permanent damage or sharp interest rate rises are avoided.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of England last week held interest rates at 3.75 percent while publishing scenarios predicting the economy&#8217;s reaction to different war trajectories. Financial markets anticipate the Bank will raise interest rates at least twice in the coming year. The IPPR also recommended that the government cut speed limits to reduce fuel use, suggesting 20 miles per hour on urban roads and 60 miles per hour on motorways, alongside encouraging car-sharing and working from home to further save on petrol and diesel.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t1. INTRODUCTION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tREPORT DESCRIPTION<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tRESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tDATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tGLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS<\/p>\n<p>\t\t2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">A Quick Overview of Market Performance<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tKEY FINDINGS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMARKET TRENDS <a class=\"px-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/licenses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition<\/a>PRO<\/p>\n<p>\t\t3. MARKET OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tMARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tCONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMARKET FORECAST TO 2035<\/p>\n<p>\t\t4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tBEST-SELLING PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST TRADED PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT<\/p>\n<p>\t\t5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tLOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP CONSUMING MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tUNSATURATED MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP IMPORTING MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST PROFITABLE MARKETS<\/p>\n<p>\t\t7. PRODUCTION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tPRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t8. IMPORTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Import Supplying Countries<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tIMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tIMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tIMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t9. EXPORTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Destinations for Exports<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tEXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tEXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tEXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles<\/p>\n<p>                        11. COUNTRY PROFILES<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Markets And Their Profiles<\/p>\n<p>                        <a class=\"pe-2 fs-5 mb-2\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/licenses\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition<\/a><br \/>\n                        PRO<\/p>\n<p>11.1<\/p>\n<p>United States<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.2<\/p>\n<p>China<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.3<\/p>\n<p>Japan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.4<\/p>\n<p>Germany<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.5<\/p>\n<p>United Kingdom<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.6<\/p>\n<p>France<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.7<\/p>\n<p>Brazil<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.8<\/p>\n<p>Italy<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.9<\/p>\n<p>Russian Federation<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.10<\/p>\n<p>India<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.11<\/p>\n<p>Canada<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.12<\/p>\n<p>Australia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.13<\/p>\n<p>Republic of Korea<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.14<\/p>\n<p>Spain<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.15<\/p>\n<p>Mexico<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.16<\/p>\n<p>Indonesia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.17<\/p>\n<p>Netherlands<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.18<\/p>\n<p>Turkey<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.19<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.20<\/p>\n<p>Switzerland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.21<\/p>\n<p>Sweden<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.22<\/p>\n<p>Nigeria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.23<\/p>\n<p>Poland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.24<\/p>\n<p>Belgium<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.25<\/p>\n<p>Argentina<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.26<\/p>\n<p>Norway<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.27<\/p>\n<p>Austria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.28<\/p>\n<p>Thailand<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.29<\/p>\n<p>United Arab Emirates<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.30<\/p>\n<p>Colombia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.31<\/p>\n<p>Denmark<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.32<\/p>\n<p>South Africa<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.33<\/p>\n<p>Malaysia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.34<\/p>\n<p>Israel<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.35<\/p>\n<p>Singapore<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.36<\/p>\n<p>Egypt<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.37<\/p>\n<p>Philippines<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.38<\/p>\n<p>Finland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.39<\/p>\n<p>Chile<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.40<\/p>\n<p>Ireland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.41<\/p>\n<p>Pakistan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.42<\/p>\n<p>Greece<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.43<\/p>\n<p>Portugal<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.44<\/p>\n<p>Kazakhstan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.45<\/p>\n<p>Algeria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.46<\/p>\n<p>Czech Republic<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.47<\/p>\n<p>Qatar<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.48<\/p>\n<p>Peru<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.49<\/p>\n<p>Romania<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.50<\/p>\n<p>Vietnam<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<br \/>\n\t\tLIST OF TABLES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tKey Findings In 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPer Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022\u20132025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\tLIST OF FIGURES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tMarket Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tConsumption, by Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Volume Forecast to 2035<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value Forecast to 2035<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Size and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tAverage Per Capita Consumption, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction Volume and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Size and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPer Capita Consumption<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, by Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"May 8, 2026 The conflict with Iran is projected to add an annual cost of PS8 billion to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":417624,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[9953,138,219,56588,97581,1943,88816,78358,197923,111,139,69,23323,93496,214677,214676],"class_list":["post-417623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-bank-of-england","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-energy-bills","tag-fuel-tax","tag-inflation","tag-interest-payments","tag-ippr","tag-iran-conflict","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-rachel-reeves","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-tax-revenues","tag-uk-budget"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/417623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=417623"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/417623\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/417624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=417623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=417623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=417623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}