{"id":471972,"date":"2026-06-11T12:09:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T12:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/471972\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T12:09:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T12:09:09","slug":"what-is-happening-to-cause-the-current-bitcoin-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/471972\/","title":{"rendered":"What is happening to cause the current &#8216;Bitcoin winter&#8217;?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s price has halved in the past six months, in what commentators are calling a &#8220;Bitcoin winter&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>By Susan Edmunds of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/business\/597933\/something-a-bit-funny-happening-in-the-bitcoin-market\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">RNZ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The price of the cryptocurrency has fallen from a peak of about NZ$214,000 in October to less than NZ$110,000 this week.<\/p>\n<p>Rupert Carlyon, founder of Koura Wealth, which offers a Bitcoin KiwiSaver fund, said there were a couple of reasons.<\/p>\n<p>One was the listing of Elon Musk&#8217;s SpaceX.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s the same retail investors that are into risk, into speculative asset classes that are going into SpaceX. It&#8217;s all the Elon Musk hype machine which drives a lot of this type of thing.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said another was that software company Strategy sold 32 Bitcoin and shook investor confidence. &#8220;They sold to fund some dividends on their preference shares, something they said they would never do.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I think it&#8217;s been one of the big questions raised over the last probably three to six months, why Bitcoin has not been on a tear given the inflation story\u2026 there&#8217;s something clearly a bit funny happening in the market that no one&#8217;s really sure of. This week we can bring it back to those two things, SpaceX and Strategy.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said the amount sold by Strategy was not huge but it was notable because the company had said it never would.<\/p>\n<p>Carlyon said he hoped that the fall was near the bottom.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Historically it&#8217;s fallen 60% to 70%. we had hoped that with ETFs, increased institutional adoption, that would mean the dip wouldn&#8217;t be so far. We might not be a million miles away from the bottom, we might have a bit further to go.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said investors in the Koura crypto fund were not concerned. &#8220;The fund over the last six months has been a net winner in terms of switches. More people keep on coming into it than leaving it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Paul Quickenden, country manager for Swyftx NZ, agreed there were various forces at play, and Bitcoin was not acting as &#8220;digital gold&#8221; in an environment where there were inflation concerns.<\/p>\n<p>He said, as well as the SpaceX IPO, the prospect of Anthropic and OpenAI listing would take capital out of other markets.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bitcoin is a very liquid market so [investors] are taking capital out of that and people are investing in the IPO\u2026. We&#8217;re seeing it in outflows from the Bitcoin ETFs, all that sort of stuff.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said Bitcoin tended to fall every four years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bitcoin goes though this moment, it just does. We&#8217;re in that moment, it has a name &#8211; crypto winter. It&#8217;s cyclical and it has been since inception. We&#8217;re in the crypto winter phase. Invariably, it becomes a little unattractive, people chase returns\u2026 then when things get overpriced or they make food on IPOs, whatever is going to happen in the future, the capital recycles through.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He said it was possible many SpaceX investors would sell down their positions relatively quickly and &#8220;the shine will come up back on other assets like us and whatever else is suffering at the moment.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Despite some foundational stuff being quite aligned for Bitcoin, high inflation, lots of uncertainty\u2026 other things are diverting people&#8217;s attention.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s price has halved in the past six months, in what commentators are calling a &#8220;Bitcoin winter&#8221;. By&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":471973,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[138,111,139,69,244],"class_list":["post-471972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-personal-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/471972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=471972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/471972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/471973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=471972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=471972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=471972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}