{"id":474432,"date":"2026-06-12T22:33:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T22:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/474432\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T22:33:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T22:33:11","slug":"number-of-female-prisoners-expected-to-surge-by-63-percent-over-next-decade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/474432\/","title":{"rendered":"Number of female prisoners expected to surge by 63 percent over next decade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/4MJF103_copyright_image_249356.jpeg\" width=\"1050\" height=\"656\" alt=\"The Intervention &amp; Support Unit at Auckland Region Women\u00e2\u0080\u0099s Correctional Facility (ARWCF)\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nAuckland Region Women&#8217;s Correctional Facility.<br \/>\nPhoto: RNZ \/ Cole Eastham-Farrelly\n<\/p>\n<p>The number of women serving time in prison is expected to surge 63 percent over the next decade, due to stronger punishments for theft.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s compared to a predicted 35 percent increase in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/crime-and-justice\/598055\/law-changes-expected-to-boost-prison-population-over-next-decade\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">total prison population<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The Ministry of Justice&#8217;s annual projections report released on Friday said more women would be behind bars due to a proposed new law that would increase penalties for theft.<\/p>\n<p>It expected the women&#8217;s prison population would jump from 839 in February this year, to 1370 by June 2036.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Recent policy changes, most notably amendments to theft penalties in the Crimes Amendment Bill, are expected to have a proportionally larger impact on the number of women entering remand than on men,&#8221; it said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The higher growth projected for the women&#8217;s remand population is also based on inflow trends, with women&#8217;s remand inflow currently 28 percent above the 2020 peak, compared with just 3 percent higher for men.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/4JN4BEU_Screenshot_2026_06_13_030423_png.jpeg\" width=\"1050\" height=\"749\" alt=\"The women\u2019s remand (82%), sentenced (41%), and prison (63%) populations are all projected to increase.\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\">\nThe women\u2019s remand (82%), sentenced (41%), and prison (63%) populations are all projected to increase.<br \/>\nPhoto: Supplied \/ MOJ\n<\/p>\n<p>Ministry sector insights manager Rebecca Parish said data published in March last year showed theft was the most frequent offence committed by women remanded in custody in 2023\/24 (23 percent of all women remanded).<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As such, amendments to theft penalties are likely to have a proportionally larger impact on women,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The increase in the women&#8217;s remand inflow since 2020 was primarily driven by increases in theft, burglary, and assault. In comparison, men&#8217;s remand inflow had proportionately smaller increases for these offence types.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Tougher sentences proposed for lower level-theft<\/p>\n<p>The Crimes Amendment Bill, which has been to select committee but not yet been passed into law, creates a new offence for theft that is done in an offensive, insulting or disorderly manner. It would only apply if the value of the property was $2000 or less, and carried a maximum penalty of two years&#8217; imprisonment.<\/p>\n<p>The proposed new law would also shift other theft penalty thresholds. Currently, people could be imprisoned for seven years for stealing property worth more than $1000; one year for property worth between $500 and $1000; and three months for property valued less than $500.<\/p>\n<p>Under the proposed new law, the seven year maximum penalty would apply for theft of property worth more than $2000. But anything less could carry a one-year sentence.<\/p>\n<p>Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith said the ministry&#8217;s projections reflected the government&#8217;s work to &#8220;fix the basics in law and\/order&#8221; and ensure New Zealanders felt safe. That included new crimes and tougher penalties.<\/p>\n<p>Goldsmith said the government wanted fewer inmates, but only after crime victim numbers dropped.<\/p>\n<p>There were 49,000 fewer victims of violent crime than when the coalition came into government, and it wanted to continue driving those numbers down, Goldsmith said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/radionz.us6.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&amp;id=b3d362e693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for Ng\u0101 Pitopito K\u014drero<\/a>, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Auckland Region Women&#8217;s Correctional Facility. Photo: RNZ \/ Cole Eastham-Farrelly The number of women serving time in prison&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":474433,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[48,47,42,43,49,46,44,45,40,38,41,39],"class_list":["post-474432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-audio","tag-current-affairs","tag-headlines","tag-news","tag-podcasts","tag-public-radio","tag-radio-new-zealand","tag-rnz","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/474432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=474432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/474432\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/474433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=474432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=474432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=474432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}