{"id":491181,"date":"2026-06-23T07:40:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T07:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/491181\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T07:40:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T07:40:09","slug":"1news-verian-poll-labour-coalition-ahead-in-latest-results-opportunity-close-to-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/491181\/","title":{"rendered":"1News-Verian poll: Labour coalition ahead in latest results, Opportunity close to 5%"},"content":{"rendered":"

In the preferred Prime Minister rankings, National\u2019s Christopher Luxon takes top spot (18%, up two points). Labour\u2019s Chris Hipkins fell three points to 16%. <\/p>\n

Next in the preferred Prime Minister rankings was New Zealand First leader Winston Peters on 10%. <\/p>\n

It is the first 1News-Verian poll since the Budget<\/a>. The last such poll was published in the days before Luxon called a dramatic confidence vote in his leadership<\/a>, which he survived. <\/p>\n

The TVNZ poll comes in the context of several polls showing a tight election race. <\/p>\n

The most recent NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls<\/a>, which did not include this 1 News-Verian Poll, put Labour at 32.7%, while support parties the Greens and Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori were polling 9.9% and 2.2%, respectively.<\/p>\n

\"IncumbentIncumbent PM Christopher Luxon is in top spot in the preferred Prime Minister rankings, edging out Labour\u2019s Chris Hipkins. Photo \/ Mark Mitchell<\/p>\n

On the other side of the aisle, it calculated National was polling at 29%, while support parties NZ First and Act were polling 13.7% and 7.4%, respectively, giving the coalition 50.5%.<\/p>\n

Those figures would give the coalition 63 seats and Labour 57. Overall, the poll-of-polls model calculated the coalition had a 74.3% chance of being re-elected. <\/p>\n

Julia Gabel is a Wellington-based political reporter. She joined the Herald in 2020 and has most recently focused on data journalism. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In the preferred Prime Minister rankings, National\u2019s Christopher Luxon takes top spot (18%, up two points). Labour\u2019s Chris…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":474346,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[111637,28848,3017,651,7230,5903,8456,71,14236,78,6721,700,111,43,139,69,6452,13027,10112,5909,1305,61,1865,3608,6730],"class_list":["post-491181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-zealand","tag-1newsverian","tag-28848","tag-ahead","tag-close","tag-coalition","tag-election","tag-fresh","tag-from","tag-held","tag-in","tag-labour","tag-latest","tag-new-zealand","tag-news","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-opportunity","tag-poll","tag-power","tag-results","tag-show","tag-to","tag-today","tag-were","tag-would"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=491181"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491181\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/474346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=491181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=491181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=491181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}