{"id":535708,"date":"2026-07-20T20:51:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T20:51:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/535708\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T20:51:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T20:51:10","slug":"all-blacks-south-africa-tour-dave-rennies-44-player-gamble-explained","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/535708\/","title":{"rendered":"All Blacks South Africa tour: Dave Rennie\u2019s 44-player gamble explained"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">Attrition is inevitable and, come the next half of the Nations Championship in November, should the All Blacks want to do what many of the northern teams have done (rest some senior players), it will be optimum if replacements come from the superheated forge of this tour as much as possible.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">Out of the running are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-nz-rugby-captain-scott-barrett-out-for-up-to-five-months-with-back-injury\/6TDZR2POFFFR3P2J3CP3ZJJR4Q\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-nz-rugby-captain-scott-barrett-out-for-up-to-five-months-with-back-injury\/6TDZR2POFFFR3P2J3CP3ZJJR4Q\/\">former skipper Scott Barrett<\/a>, prop <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/crusaders-prop-tamaiti-williams-ruled-out-of-2026-super-rugby-season\/YWN2QYYLINGCVMWKTOA74YWJDI\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/crusaders-prop-tamaiti-williams-ruled-out-of-2026-super-rugby-season\/YWN2QYYLINGCVMWKTOA74YWJDI\/\">Tamaiti Williams<\/a>, wing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-hopeful-caleb-tangitau-out-for-up-to-nine-months-with-ruptured-achilles\/GT5RGALGVZB2NLOA7YFMMNJUVU\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-hopeful-caleb-tangitau-out-for-up-to-nine-months-with-ruptured-achilles\/GT5RGALGVZB2NLOA7YFMMNJUVU\/\">Caleb Tangitau<\/a> and hybrid midfielder-wing-flanker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-leicester-faingaanuku-out-for-up-to-12-weeks-with-leg-injuries\/NIZXS4PIGJGPXPSAKDEBACVGFM\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-leicester-faingaanuku-out-for-up-to-12-weeks-with-leg-injuries\/NIZXS4PIGJGPXPSAKDEBACVGFM\/\">Leicester Fainga\u2019anuku<\/a>. Rennie says the selectors have already chosen the squads for the first four matches in South Africa, an interesting concept given the likelihood of changes, forced or otherwise.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">With all that in mind, how might this 44-strong squad be configured? Some clear delineation between the midweek and test teams seems likely, with some in the midweek squad incentivised to demonstrate how they deserve promotion. Example: flanker Simon Parker \u2013 not used at all in the first three tests of the year \u2013 is likely to be a midweeker on this tour.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">If we assume all <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-squad-naming-dave-rennie-names-his-first-squad-to-play-in-the-nations-championship\/7Y5BBVOVJVFOVJAQOSYQLXMJKY\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-squad-naming-dave-rennie-names-his-first-squad-to-play-in-the-nations-championship\/7Y5BBVOVJVFOVJAQOSYQLXMJKY\/\">the current 34-man squad<\/a> will be selected, there\u2019s a case for two immediate additions taking it up to 36 \u2013 Hurricanes loose forward <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/paul-lewis-all-blacks-loose-forward-pecking-order-reshaped-by-duplessis-kirifi-and-devan-flanders\/premium\/YRMLDNK7EFCNJKP36WLM2IYVHM\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/paul-lewis-all-blacks-loose-forward-pecking-order-reshaped-by-duplessis-kirifi-and-devan-flanders\/premium\/YRMLDNK7EFCNJKP36WLM2IYVHM\/\">Du\u2019Plessis Kirifi<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/all-blacks-lock-fabian-holland-to-miss-highlanders-super-rugby-pacific-campaign-july-all-blacks-tests\/ZNUZWPDC4ZCNPEPRZGFG3A4DZQ\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/super-rugby\/all-blacks-lock-fabian-holland-to-miss-highlanders-super-rugby-pacific-campaign-july-all-blacks-tests\/ZNUZWPDC4ZCNPEPRZGFG3A4DZQ\/\">Highlanders lock Fabian Holland, returning from injury<\/a>. Kirifi was squeezed out of the year\u2019s first squad, but his grit and ball-burgling will be important in South Africa.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-france-player-ratings-how-the-all-blacks-rated-in-their-opening-win-over-france\/premium\/3BBWLF6CJFGT7HZHYXIYKH7GUY\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-france-player-ratings-how-the-all-blacks-rated-in-their-opening-win-over-france\/premium\/3BBWLF6CJFGT7HZHYXIYKH7GUY\/\">Crusaders lock Jamie Hannah made a good debut for the All Blacks against France<\/a> and could be included, especially if the All Blacks continue with their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-ireland-tupou-vaai-moving-to-no-6-shows-dave-rennie-picks-power-over-style-gregor-paul\/premium\/QRQQAWDAVNGV5DTPJQYWCB4NYM\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-ireland-tupou-vaai-moving-to-no-6-shows-dave-rennie-picks-power-over-style-gregor-paul\/premium\/QRQQAWDAVNGV5DTPJQYWCB4NYM\/\">promising experiment of Tupou Vaa\u2019i in the problem No 6 position<\/a>. That leaves room for seven more, including one or two new players.<\/p>\n<p><img  alt=\"Fabian Holland is on track to return for the All Blacks tour to South Africa. Photo \/ SmartFrame\" class=\"article-media__image responsively-lazy\" data-test-ui=\"article-media__image\"\/>Fabian Holland is on track to return for the All Blacks tour to South Africa. Photo \/ SmartFrame<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">A fourth hooker seems certain, especially with Codie Taylor\u2019s injury, possibly two more props, one more loose forward, a fourth halfback, at least one more midfielder and outside back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">At hooker, George Bell and Brodie McAlister seem top contenders, while Crusaders halfback Noah Hotham, left out of Rennie\u2019s initial squad, may graduate now. The midfielder could be the Highlanders\u2019 Timoci Tavatavanawai, seemingly ideal for the grind of the midweek matches, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-ireland-rieko-ioane-joins-squad-as-dave-rennie-turns-to-irish-intel\/TOCE2WY6FNFW5PEUHLCC47ZP6Y\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-v-ireland-rieko-ioane-joins-squad-as-dave-rennie-turns-to-irish-intel\/TOCE2WY6FNFW5PEUHLCC47ZP6Y\/\">Rieko Ioane<\/a> or Chiefs centre Daniel Rona.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">Left-out loosehead prop Ollie Norris may force his way back in, though there could be room for a tyro prop \u2013 like the Hurricanes\u2019 Siale Lauaki and the Chiefs\u2019 Benet Kumeroa, both members of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/all-blacks-xv-coach-jamie-joseph-says-depth-will-be-tested-on-tour\/D2T23WABVBBTFF6LTYKU2CNMWI\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/all-blacks-xv-coach-jamie-joseph-says-depth-will-be-tested-on-tour\/D2T23WABVBBTFF6LTYKU2CNMWI\/\">last year\u2019s All Blacks XV squad that toured Europe<\/a>. Both play either side and New Zealand have a thin population of loosehead options at present.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">The most interesting possibilities hinge round another outside back and an extra loose forward \u2013 maybe to swell blindside flanker stocks as Shannon Frizell\u2019s return from Japan means he is not eligible for selection until November and <a href=\"\" rel=\"\" title=\"\">Samipeni Finau may be lost to the All Blacks now<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">There are experienced loose forward options in the Crusaders trio of Christian Lio-Willie, Dom Gardiner and Ethan Blackadder but also a couple of rising stars in the Blues\u2019 Torian Barnes and Malachi Wrampling. The latter seems the best bet for a surprise to me \u2013 Wrampling plays with his blood just below boiling point and has the physical approach Rennie admires, with decent ball skills. He carries well from No 8, as well as being no stranger to blindside.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">There may be no need for another player who can fill in at fullback \u2013 the current squad has six who can do so already (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-ranking-every-will-jordan-try-after-breaking-nz-test-record\/45FMZCEVFNAMJCXMKXGCR5CP5M\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-ranking-every-will-jordan-try-after-breaking-nz-test-record\/45FMZCEVFNAMJCXMKXGCR5CP5M\/\">Will Jordan<\/a>, Damian McKenzie, Beauden Barrett, Jordie Barrett, Ruben Love and Josh Moorby). A specialist wing seems most likely, especially as Fehi Fineanganofo\u2019s availability for the end-of-year tour is not yet known.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">Emoni Narawa is an obvious possibility, though he had little game time during Super Rugby Pacific. A roughie could be Chiefs teammate and winger-fullback Isaac Hutchinson, impressive when given an opportunity through injuries in Super Rugby. The Crusaders\u2019 Chay Fihaki is a chance, while Chiefs\u2019 teammate Kyren Taumoefolau will only be All Blacks-eligible by November.<\/p>\n<p><img  alt=\"Dave Rennie's squad could be boosted by Richie Mo'unga if there is an injury in South Africa. Photos \/ Photosport\" class=\"article-media__image responsively-lazy\" data-test-ui=\"article-media__image\"\/>Dave Rennie&#8217;s squad could be boosted by Richie Mo&#8217;unga if there is an injury in South Africa. Photos \/ Photosport<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">If you are wondering why there is no fourth first five-eighths mentioned here, particularly with McKenzie currently in residence at fullback, it\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-richie-mounga-shares-test-outlook-and-lessons-from-japan-ahead-of-npc-return\/V2WX6MFSEBCMZDQ5V4ZJG5MGK4\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-richie-mounga-shares-test-outlook-and-lessons-from-japan-ahead-of-npc-return\/V2WX6MFSEBCMZDQ5V4ZJG5MGK4\/\">the Richie Mo\u2019unga factor<\/a>. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-steve-lancaster-doubles-down-on-eligibility-rules-richie-mounga-out-of-springboks-series\/55RQCPVXQVGXLAI3W7652MQQWI\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/all-blacks-steve-lancaster-doubles-down-on-eligibility-rules-richie-mounga-out-of-springboks-series\/55RQCPVXQVGXLAI3W7652MQQWI\/\">agreement with New Zealand Rugby is that Mo\u2019unga will not be available for the tour of South Africa <\/a>\u2013 but can be imported as an injury replacement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\">No need for any more first five-eighths, then. Rennie will name his South African squad on Monday, July 27, with NPC form not playing a role in selection (barring accidents) as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/rugbys-greatest-rivalry-all-blacks-confirm-eight-game-tour-of-south-africa-in-2026\/ZX46ACQBOJFSPGU35Z3A3ML5CM\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/sport\/rugby\/all-blacks\/rugbys-greatest-rivalry-all-blacks-confirm-eight-game-tour-of-south-africa-in-2026\/ZX46ACQBOJFSPGU35Z3A3ML5CM\/\">it begins on July 30<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"lRosKcBdZHd\" style=\"display:none\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/author\/paul-lewis\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/author\/paul-lewis\/\">Paul Lewis<\/a> writes about rugby, cricket, league, football, yachting, golf, the Olympics and Commonwealth Games.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Attrition is inevitable and, come the next half of the Nations Championship in November, should the All Blacks&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":535709,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[264084,1443,190,5263,8136,30482,9635,8609,264085,8650,108841,240014,5971,111,139,4061,69,384,10702,9831,11596,183683,1240,213,1886,1361,8229,208,9350,1533],"class_list":["post-535708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports","tag-44player","tag-about","tag-africa","tag-all","tag-blacks","tag-bus","tag-dave","tag-double","tag-doubledecker","tag-explained","tag-fortyfour","tag-gamble","tag-need","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-number","tag-nz","tag-people","tag-players","tag-question","tag-raises","tag-rennies","tag-south","tag-sports","tag-support","tag-that","tag-they","tag-tour","tag-vital","tag-will"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=535708"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535708\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/535709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=535708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=535708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=535708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}