The trend seems to be because of Labour voters shuffling around. A commentary released with the poll said Labour voters had given their candidate vote predominantly to Swarbrick in 2023. Now, they were backing their own candidate, Chen. <\/p>\n
This was depressing the Greens\u2019 candidate vote to the point that National had pulled ahead. <\/p>\n
Electorate races are notoriously hard to poll. In 2020, when Swarbrick won Auckland Central off Labour, two polls showed her in third place behind Labour and National. She ended up winning the electorate by more than 5%. <\/p>\n
The electorate favours the Opposition parties in terms of party vote, with Labour polling 28%, the Greens 24% and Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori on 2%.<\/p>\n
National polled 28%, Act 7% and New Zealand First 9%.<\/p>\n
Opportunity polled 3%.<\/p>\n
The Taxpayers\u2019 Union said it was disappointed the poll had been released. <\/p>\n
A spokesperson for the Taxpayers\u2019 Union said, \u201clike any pressure group, as part of our preparation for the election campaign we commission various market research, focus groups, and polls\u201d. <\/p>\n
\u201cAuckland Central is being considered for one of our electorate debates, and we commissioned a poll to determine its competitiveness relative to other seats we are looking at.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Auckland Central electorate poll has a much smaller sample size than the monthly nation-wide Taxpayers\u2019 Union-Curia Poll. The electorate poll therefore has a larger margin of error.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cWe believe the information has been obtained through a donor or stakeholder, rather than it being a security breach. Nevertheless, we will be taking steps to prevent this reoccurring\u201c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The trend seems to be because of Labour voters shuffling around. A commentary released with the poll said…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":550904,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3225,3017,95,51,1853,9688,7797,42678,2518,14236,78,5268,11556,138334,3556,117,111,43,139,69,1118,4762,13027,9424,22974],"class_list":["post-550903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-zealand","tag-according","tag-ahead","tag-and","tag-auckland","tag-central","tag-consecutive","tag-elections","tag-electorate","tag-green","tag-held","tag-in","tag-lose","tag-losing","tag-narrowly","tag-national","tag-new","tag-new-zealand","tag-news","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-of","tag-party","tag-poll","tag-rivals","tag-track"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/550903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=550903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/550903\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/550904"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=550903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=550903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=550903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}