{"id":557375,"date":"2026-08-03T09:24:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T09:24:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/557375\/"},"modified":"2026-08-03T09:24:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T09:24:09","slug":"recent-quake-cluster-reminder-to-plan-not-a-warning-sign","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/557375\/","title":{"rendered":"Recent quake cluster reminder to plan, not a warning sign"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A spate of earthquakes widely felt across New Zealand in recent weeks is a reminder for people to review their emergency plans but should not be read as a sign of a big one to come, according to seismologists.<\/p>\n<p>Earth Sciences NZ seismologist Bill Fry said the country had recorded four or five magnitude 5 or greater quakes in the past week, when the long-term average sits at less than one a week.<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, a magnitude 4.6 quake jolted Cook Strait. It was followed by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1news.co.nz\/2026\/08\/01\/light-52-magnitude-quake-recorded-near-te-anau\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&#8220;light&#8221; 5.2<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1news.co.nz\/2026\/08\/01\/that-one-went-boom-late-night-quake-jolts-the-middle-of-nz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">4.6 magnitude<\/a> quakes in Fiordland on Saturday, and a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1news.co.nz\/2026\/08\/02\/strong-magnitude-57-earthquake-strikes-near-te-araroa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&#8220;strong&#8221; 5.7 earthquake that jolted East Cape<\/a> on Sunday night.<\/p>\n<p>On July 17, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1news.co.nz\/2026\/07\/16\/tsunami-warning-downgraded-after-fiordland-quake-revised-to-59\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">a 5.9 earthquake near Te Anau<\/a> triggered a short-lived tsunami warning, and another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1news.co.nz\/2026\/07\/25\/aftershocks-to-continue-for-months-after-taumarunui-quake-seismologist\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">5.9 shake near Taumarunui<\/a> was felt widely on the morning of July 25.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tvnz.co.nz\/player\/newsclip\/a-string-of-earthquakes-rattled-nz-what-it-does-and-doesnt-mean\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">A string of earthquakes rattled NZ &#8211; what it does and doesn&#8217;t mean &#8211; Watch on TVNZ+<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Every time we wake up in the morning, we need to be prepared for the possibility of an earthquake,&#8221; Fry said. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s nothing necessarily in these earthquakes that say we need to prepare any differently than we previously do. But it is just a reminder to review your plans for what happens if we do experience a big one.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The earthquakes were clustered in time rather than geography, he said, with the science behind why remaining an open question.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-greyDarkFaded\">Tremors are clustered in time rather than location and &#8220;absolutely no trends&#8221; to suggest a larger one is coming, seismologist Bill Fry says.\u00a0 (Source: 1News)<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s a natural variability in the system,&#8221; he said. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There are a few different things that science tells us that might make things linked in a temporal clustering way, but those are really meaty science questions that we don&#8217;t fully understand.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He was firm that the activity did not point to anything larger.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We do know sometimes you get things like this before big earthquakes. Many, many times; most times you don&#8217;t. So, we shouldn&#8217;t read anything unnecessarily into this, but we should take it as a reminder always to know what we&#8217;re going to do if a big one happens.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Forecasting seismic activity in the short term remained a work in progress, Fry said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re very terrible at forecasting really short-term seismicity rates. There&#8217;s a lot of research to be done, and it&#8217;s really thick, hard research that we need.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>On Wellington specifically, Fry said the capital&#8217;s position at the southern edge of the subduction of the Pacific plate below the Australian plate made it particularly active.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We should prepare all across New Zealand for what if a big earthquake happens. But there&#8217;s nothing in the last week to say you need to be more vigilant than you were the week before. Both weeks require vigilance.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A spate of earthquakes widely felt across New Zealand in recent weeks is a reminder for people to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":557376,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[8215,111,43,139,69],"class_list":["post-557375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-zealand","tag-earthquakes","tag-new-zealand","tag-news","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=557375"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557375\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/557376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=557375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=557375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=557375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}