Labour and National are both polling below 30% in a new poll that also has the Opportunity Party short of the threshold needed to get into Parliament.<\/p>\n
The Qiulae Wong-led party has fallen from 6.1% to 4.5% in the latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll, bucking the trend found in other polls.<\/p>\n
Labour has taken a big hit, down 1.9 points to 25.9% \u2013 its lowest result in this poll since July 2024, and even lower than the 26.9-point thrashing it got at the 2023 election.<\/p>\n
National has also taken a tumble, down two points, to 29% \u2013 also significantly lower than the 38 percentage points it won at the last election.<\/p>\n
The current coalition government would be returned to power based on this poll, with Opportunity unable to get above 5% and become a kingmaker.<\/p>\n
National Party ruled out working with the new party on the block, offering it a rare chance\u00a0for some attention.\u00a0 (Source: 1News)<\/p>\n
ACT and the Greens were the main beneficiaries of the major parties’ and Opportunity’s collapse. The Greens were up 3.8 percentage points to 13.9%, and ACT up 3.2 to 10.5%.<\/p>\n
New Zealand First was down 0.7 points to 8.4%.<\/p>\n
Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori gained 0.5 points to 2%. The party this year hopes to use MMP’s overhang to boost the chance of removing the coalition.<\/p>\n
Rounding out the party vote results were NZ Loyal (1.5%), Animal Justice (1.2), Women’s Rights (0.7), Vision NZ (0.5) and the New Conservatives (0.5).<\/p>\n
When it came to seats, the coalition \u2013National, ACT and NZ First \u2013 would get 64 compared to the opposition \u2013 Labour, Greens and Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori \u2013 on 56. The right-leaning Taxpayers’ Union’s analysis assumes Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori would win three seats.<\/p>\n
Opportunity would get zero on these results, being below the 5% threshold.<\/p>\n
Christopher Luxon remained ahead of Chris Hipkins as preferred prime minister, down two percentage points to 21.2%. Hipkins fell 2.9 points to 16.9%.<\/p>\n