Yields and prices move inversely. One basis point equals 0.01%.<\/p>\n
“I think there’s some fatigue in the bond market. We moved 50 basis points in 18 trading days after Fed Chairman [Kevin] Warsh kind of messaged at Jackson Hole that indeed a rate hike was coming,” said Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial. “I think there’s also a little bit of optimism that this is going to be a short-lived move to 5%. Of course there has to be an Iranian solution for that to be enabled.”<\/p>\n
He said he sees the 10-year yield going back to around 4.5%-4.75% if the U.S. and Iran can reach a deal to end the war. “If we’re going to continue to stay in Iran, then that’s going to be problematic for the 10-year yield.”<\/p>\n
Government borrowing costs around the world continued their relentless march upward on Thursday, continuing a months-long trend as investors voted with their feet over a lack of political will to tackle fiscal deficits, while inflation remains stubbornly above target and leading central banks move to push interest rates higher. <\/p>\n
Major economies face “persistently large deficits and rising interest expenses \u2014 challenges long associated with debt-distressed emerging market sovereigns,” the Institute of International Finance said last week<\/a>.<\/p>\n Japan’s 10-year<\/a> yield was last trading at 3.126%, the highest level since the mid-1990s. Japan’s debt has come under pressure from a weaker yen <\/a>and rate hikes by the Bank of Japan<\/a>.<\/p>\n The yield on the German 10-year<\/a> bund, the benchmark for the euro area, topped 3.6%, the highest since 2008, before easing back to 3.58%. Elsewhere in Europe, the French 10-year<\/a> surged 8 basis points to 4.925%, Italy’s 10-year<\/a> was up 10 basis points to 4.706%, while the U.K.’s 10-year<\/a> yield increased 5 basis points to 5.483%.<\/p>\n “It’s worth noting, but people get pretty worked up about those sorts of spreads regularly, so I don’t think it’s a crisis point necessarily, as far as Germany versus France or Italy,” said Michael Schumacher, former managing director at Wells Fargo. “If you look at some countries that have very poor structural dynamics, like the UK, and I’d be concerned about that. People don’t typically trade gilts versus bunds as much, but just as a barometer of, say, market concern, I think that’s one to watch.”<\/p>\n Bonds had been moving in lockstep with oil prices<\/a>, which have been turbulent as the U.S.-Israel war with Iran obstructed crude exports from the Middle East. Crude oil prices were higher on Thursday<\/a>, with international benchmark Brent Crude back above $100 a barrel. <\/p>\n “We could see [bond] buyers come in effectively to take advantage of those yields, which would have the effect of causing them to go down, but also one of the things that has kept the volatility in those yields in the long end of the curve has been what’s going on with oil, what’s going on with inflation,” Nomi Prins, founder of Prinsights Global, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Thursday.<\/p>\n But sovereign wealth funds and central banks, among the main long-term holders of Treasury debt, are unlikely to go along, Prins said.<\/p>\n “We could see movement … in Treasury yields going down if oil prices go down significantly, if there’s a resolution” in the Middle East, Prins added. <\/p>\n \u2014 With additional reporting from CNBC’s Jeff Cox<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Treasury yields fell on Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen of late that propelled longer-dated…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":617683,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[252023,2339,177682,177681,138,553,1222,219,24355,7164,304233,203884,111,139,69,12937,42324,1430],"class_list":["post-617682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-lco26z","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-british-10-year-gilt","tag-bund-10-yr","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economic-events","tag-economy","tag-france-10-year-bond","tag-government-debt","tag-italy-10-year-bond","tag-japan-10-year-treasury","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-prices","tag-u-s-2-year-treasury","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/617682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=617682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/617682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/617683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=617682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=617682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=617682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"Traders](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/108353342-1787583279875-gettyimages-2291322538-AFP_C6DP8QM.jpeg\")
<\/a>These charts show how volatile the last quarter was for stocks and bonds<\/a><\/p>\n