{"id":620014,"date":"2026-10-04T04:20:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-04T04:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/620014\/"},"modified":"2026-10-04T04:20:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T04:20:39","slug":"government-more-confident-it-can-stay-within-its-greenhouse-gas-budgets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/620014\/","title":{"rendered":"Government more confident it can stay within its greenhouse gas budgets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The government says it has improved confidence it can stay within its greenhouse gas budgets, despite warnings from the Climate Change Commission.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The commission <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/environment_climate\/766964\/new-zealand-now-at-risk-of-missing-all-its-climate-targets-climate-commission-warns\" class=\"underline-brand-hover visited:text-foreground-secondary hover:visited:text-foreground-primary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said in July<\/a> that all of New Zealand&#8217;s climate targets were at risk, and time to get back on track was running out.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Its annual emissions monitoring report said the country&#8217;s climate pollution had gradually decreased over time, but progress stalled in 2024.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It singled out the government&#8217;s decision to axe agricultural emission pricing and said confidence in the emissions trading scheme &#8211; which the government has said is its main tool to drive down greenhouse gases &#8211; was &#8220;fragile&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Without new policies to cut climate pollution, both the country&#8217;s 2050 net-zero target and emissions &#8216;budgets&#8217; might not be met, the commission said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Emissions budgets are the maximum amount of greenhouse gases the country can emit in a five-year time period in order to keep it on track for 2050.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The report also took aim at the government&#8217;s emissions projections &#8211; saying in some cases they &#8220;do not appear to be driven by a realistic assessment of current policy&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and Transport (MCERT) published the government&#8217;s response on Tuesday, saying it acknowledged the commission&#8217;s recommendations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The country was on track to meet its current emissions budget, which ends in 2030, with a buffer of 3.6 million tonnes of emissions, the ministry said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The buffer is about 1.2 percent of the overall emissions budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It confirmed the next budget was still off-track by 8.7 million tonnes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">However, since the commission compiled its report, the government had announced new policies &#8220;that improve delivery confidence&#8221;, MCERT said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It would continue to monitor risks and work on &#8220;strategic options to close the projected emissions gap for the third emissions budget&#8221;, which runs from 2031-2035.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">After the government decided not to go ahead with a price on agricultural methane, it had committed $437 million to support the development and adoption of technologies that reduce agricultural emissions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">That money appears to be the same $400m investment announced by the government in 2024, which itself was a continuation of a fund set up by the previous government in 2022.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">RNZ has asked MCERT to explain how the fund is a new development since the Climate Change Commission compiled its report. The ministry has acknowledged the request.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Since the commission&#8217;s assessment period ended on 31 March, the government had announced an additional $51m investment fund to encourage farmers to actually adopt the technologies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It also announced a new Gas Transition Loan Guarantee Scheme, to help major gas users convert to other fuel types.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Unlike a similar fund under the previous government, the fund is fuel-agnostic &#8211; companies can use it to convert from one fossil fuel to another.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Other developments the ministry pointed to include:<\/p>\n<p>A $21m second round of zero-interest loans for public EV chargersA decision to keep the Clean Vehicle Standard, which limits tailpipe emissions of imported vehicles&#8221;Emerging evidence&#8221; that less food waste is being sent to landfillKeeping emissions trading scheme settings stable to encourage confidence<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;We will continue to monitor implementation progress and delivery risks,&#8221; the ministry said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;We will consider corrective action &#8230; if risks materialise or the outlook for meeting the current budget changes.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It was early in the 2026-2030 emissions budget period and the government had confidence it could be met, it said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;Alongside this, we are progressing work to identify options for closing the projected gap to [the next budget] and supporting achievement of New Zealand&#8217;s longer-term climate change targets.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The government says it has improved confidence it can stay within its greenhouse gas budgets, despite warnings from&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":620015,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[273,111,139,69,147],"class_list":["post-620014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620014","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=620014"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620014\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/620015"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=620014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=620014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=620014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}