{"id":634142,"date":"2026-10-18T07:40:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T07:40:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/634142\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T07:40:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T07:40:14","slug":"analysts-forecast-bok-to-hold-benchmark-rate-unchanged-at-upcoming-meeting-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/634142\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts forecast BOK to hold benchmark rate unchanged at upcoming meeting: poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/d23760bc-46d0-4cd7-b65e-92a18c0cb912.jpg\" style=\"height: auto; aspect-ratio: 1920 \/ 1324; width: 100%\" alt=\"Bank of Korea Gov. Shin Hyun-song delivers a work report during a parliamentary audit held at the Bank of Korea in Jung District, Seoul,  Oct. 12. Yonhap\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Bank of Korea Gov. Shin Hyun-song delivers a work report during a parliamentary audit held at the Bank of Korea in Jung District, Seoul,  Oct. 12. Yonhap<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">Local economic experts expect the Bank of Korea (BOK) to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its upcoming policy meeting later this week, with a possible rate hike at its next meeting, a survey showed Sunday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">According to the survey on six economists conducted by Yonhap News Agency, all expected the BOK&#8217;s Monetary Policy Board to hold the key rate steady at 3 percent at its meeting scheduled for Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">They said the central bank needs time to assess market conditions after raising the benchmark rate twice in a row in July and August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">&#8220;Three consecutive rate hikes could place a significant burden on households and domestic companies,&#8221; said Joo Won, a senior researcher at Hyundai Research Institute. &#8220;It is highly likely that the central bank will pause this time to assess the effects of previous rate hikes.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">Park Seok-gil, an economist at JPMorgan Korea, expected that the BOK will thoroughly look into economic indicators, given the changes in economic conditions over the past two months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">He cited core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, falling to 2.8 percent in September from 3.4 percent the previous month. The Korean won&#8217;s appreciation, with the currency hovering around 1,330 won against the U.S. dollar, has also helped offset higher oil prices, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">&#8220;Although growth momentum is strong and there is significant room to further raise this year&#8217;s growth forecast, core inflation has stabilized to some extent and the exchange rate is holding steady in the 1,330 won range, so there is insufficient justification for an additional hike,&#8221; said Ahn Jae-kyun, an analyst at Korea Investment &amp; Securities Co.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">During a parliamentary audit last week, BOK Gov. Shin Hyun-song signaled a possible pause, saying, &#8220;When we conduct monetary policy, we always assess how much time economic agents need to adapt and evaluate their ability to do so.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">The survey also showed that all six economists expect the BOK to raise the key rate again in November, as consumer price inflation is expected to remain well above its 2 percent target amid strong growth momentum supported by robust semiconductor exports.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">&#8220;As growth driven by the semiconductor sector continues and inflationary pressures from high oil prices persist, the trend of interest rate hikes is likely to continue,&#8221; said Ahn Ye-ha, a senior researcher at Kiwoom Securities Co.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">Gov. Shin earlier reaffirmed the BOK&#8217;s hawkish stance, signaling the possibility of further monetary tightening.<\/p>\n<p class=\"editor-p\">&#8220;Inflation is expected to remain above the target level for a considerable period,&#8221; Shin said last week. &#8220;We plan to determine the timing and pace of additional hikes while closely monitoring inflation, economic trends and financial stability.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bank of Korea Gov. Shin Hyun-song delivers a work report during a parliamentary audit held at the Bank&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":634143,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-634142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=634142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634142\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/634143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=634142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=634142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=634142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}