{"id":642547,"date":"2026-10-27T06:42:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T06:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/642547\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T06:42:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T06:42:09","slug":"what-happened-tuesday-interest-co-nz-47","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/642547\/","title":{"rendered":"What happened Tuesday | interest.co.nz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).<\/p>\n<p>MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES<br \/>No changes to report today. All current mortgage rates are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/borrowing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>. And note, you can compare mortgage offers with our unique calculator that takes into account other costs and cashback incentives, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/calculators\/home-loan-comparison-calculator\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>TERM DEPOSIT\/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES<br \/>First Credit Union has raised its one year TD rate. All updated term deposit rates less than 1 year are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/saving\/term-deposits-1-to-9-months\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">here<\/a>, for 1-5 years, they are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/saving\/term-deposits-1-to-5-years\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>NO INFLATION FROM RENTS<br \/>September&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/property\/140835\/septembers-median-advertised-rent-trade-me-property-unchanged-september-last-year\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">median advertised rent on Trade Me Property<\/a> was unchanged from September last year.<\/p>\n<p>LIGHT LOAD<br \/>Although <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/statistics\/series\/lending-and-monetary\/residential-mortgage-loan-reconciliation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">mortgage interest paid<\/a> rose marginally in the September quarter from the prior quarter (to $4.8 bln, up +1.2%), it was the first quarter that has seen a rise in what borrowers paid banks since December 2021. In between quarterly mortgage interest paid topped out at $5.8 bln in December 2024. Clearly current interest amounts being paid are still &#8216;accommodative&#8217; as the lower fixed rates are still applying to many. But from here, higher fixed rates will start to bite harder.<\/p>\n<p>STILL PAYING DOWN FAST<br \/>And interestingly, we are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/statistics\/series\/lending-and-monetary\/residential-mortgage-loan-reconciliation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">not seeing borrowers trimming their &#8216;excess repayment levels<\/a> over and above their scheduled repayments. In fact they are still running at near record high levels of just over $18 bln\/pa ($4.3 bln in the September quarter). Household budgets are not deprioritising excess mortgage repayments &#8211; which would be a sign of financial stress for homeowners.<\/p>\n<p>GROWTH SAG<br \/>For the first time since this monthly data has been available in January 2017, we have had three months where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbnz.govt.nz\/statistics\/series\/lending-and-monetary\/new-residential-mortgage-lending-by-purpose\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new mortgage lending<\/a> has fallen year-on-year (outside the 2021\/2023 pandemic period). Having noted that, new lending is still relatively high at $7.5 bln in September &#8211; and only topped by the $8.2 bln level in September 2025. Also, at $624,000 the loan amounts being shifted between banks is not at its lowest average level since November 2023. That compares with new property purchase average loan size of $590,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>MORE STRIKES<br \/>Some unionised workers at IAG, the company behind the insurance brands AMI, State, NZI, Lumley and Lantern, will strike for a full day today (Tuesday) and picket outside IAG offices in Auckland and Christchurch.<\/p>\n<p>NZX50 RETREATS<br \/>As at 3pm, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/investing\/140841\/here-are-key-changes-know-about-new-zealand-equity-market-sanford-jumps-16-lead\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the overall NZX50 index is down -0.8% today<\/a>. From a week ago it is also down -0.2%. But from six months ago it is up +6.8%. From a year ago it is up +1.7% now. Market heavyweight F&amp;P Healthcare is down -1.1% so far today. Sanford jumps +16% to lead gainers. Serko, Vista and Channel Infrastructure also rise, offset by Ryman, Mainfreight, Vector and Summerset.<\/p>\n<p>CHINA INDUSTRIAL PROFITS BOUNCE BACK<br \/>China is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stats.gov.cn\/sj\/zxfb\/202610\/t20261027_1965697.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reporting<\/a> that industrial profits rose +14.4% in September from the same month a year ago. That is a very sharp rise from the +4.2% gain in August from a year ago which eased sharply from an +11.2% rise in July.<\/p>\n<p>LOOKING AHEAD<br \/>Obviously local news will be dominated by the RBNZ&#8217;s OCR review on Wednesday. But don&#8217;t overlook the Pulse dairy auction signals tomorrow morning, and the Aussie CPI result tomorrow which is expected to deliver a rise from August&#8217;s 4.0% to 4.2% in September. Variations from either may well have financial market implications.<\/p>\n<p>SWAP RATES FIRM<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/charts\/interest-rates\/swap-rates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Wholesale swap rates<\/a> will likely be higher today, maybe as much as +5 bps. Keep an eye on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/charts\/interest-rates\/swap-rates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">our chart<\/a> below which will record the final positions closer to 5pm. The RBNZ 90 day rate was down -1 bp at 3.31% on Friday. Today, the Australian 10 year bond yield is unchanged at 4.97%. The China 10 year bond rate is now at 1.63% and also little-changed. The Japanese 10 year bond is holding at 2.80%. The NZ Government 10 year bond rate is now at 4.99% and up +2 bps from yesterday. (The RBNZ 10 year rate is &#8216;prior day&#8217; and was down -4 bps at 4.94% on Friday.) And the UST 10yr yield is now at 4.97% and little-changed from this time yesterday. Everyone is awaiting central bank decisions.<\/p>\n<p>EQUITIES MIXED<br \/>The NZX50 has fallen -0.8% so far today. But the ASX200 has opened up +0.2%. Tokyo is up +0.8% from yesterday. The KOSPI is up +4.1% at its open. Hong Kong is down -0.4% in early Tuesday trade while Shanghai down -0.3%. Singapore is down -0.1% in early Tuesday trade. Wall Street ended up +0.7% in its Monday trade while the Nasdaq was up +0.8%<\/p>\n<p>OIL EASES<br \/>American oil prices have fallen -US$2 from this morning with the WTI benchmark now at just under US$101\/bbl, while the international Brent price is just on US$114.50\/bbl \u00a0and down -US$2.50.<\/p>\n<p>CARBON PRICE SINKS<br \/>There has been modest trading levels reported today but the largest of them is for a price -$2.50 below Friday at $47.50\/NZU. See our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/charts\/rural\/carbon-price\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">daily chart tracker<\/a> of the NZU price for carbon, courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.emstradepoint.co.nz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">emsTradepoint<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>GOLD FLAT<br \/>In early Asian trade, gold has held from this morning, now at US$4010\/oz. Silver is down -50 USc at just over US$53.50\/oz.<\/p>\n<p>NZD FIRMISH<br \/>The Kiwi dollar is up +20 bps from this morning at just under 57 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at just on 81.1 AUc. Against the euro we are up +20 bps at 51 euro cents. This all means the TWI-5 is now just over 60.8 and +20 bps firmer.<\/p>\n<p>BITCOIN UNEXCITING<br \/>The bitcoin price is now at US$79,846 and down -0.2% from this morning&#8217;s open. Volatility has remained low at just over +\/- 0.8%.<\/p>\n<p>Select chart tabs<\/p>\n<p>                          US$<br \/>\n                            AU$<br \/>\n                            TWI-5<br \/>\n                            \u00a5en<br \/>\n                            \u00a5uan<br \/>\n                            \u20acuro<br \/>\n                            GBP<br \/>\n                            Bitcoin<\/p>\n<p>Select chart tabs<\/p>\n<p>                          1 year %<br \/>\n                            2 years %<br \/>\n                            3 years %<br \/>\n                            4 years %<br \/>\n                            5 years %<br \/>\n                            7 years %<br \/>\n                            10 years %<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/rural-news\/soil-moisture-animation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><br \/>\n    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/soil-moisture-2026-10-25.gif\" title=\"click to go to animation page\"\/><br \/>\n  <\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>This soil moisture chart is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/rural-news\/soil-moisture-animation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">animated here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Keep abreast of upcoming events by following our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interest.co.nz\/economic-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Economic Calendar here \u00bb<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you work&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":642548,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[916,910,914,138,912,111,139,69,915,911,913],"class_list":["post-642547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-banking","tag-bonds","tag-borrowing","tag-business","tag-currencies","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-saving","tag-term-deposits","tag-twi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/642547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=642547"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/642547\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/642548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=642547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=642547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=642547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}