{"id":644465,"date":"2026-10-29T04:18:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T04:18:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/644465\/"},"modified":"2026-10-29T04:18:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T04:18:16","slug":"higher-mortgage-costs-set-to-depress-already-bleak-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/644465\/","title":{"rendered":"Higher mortgage costs set to depress already &#8216;bleak&#8217; housing market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The Bank of Canada just hiked its trendsetting policy rate for the first time in three years, and that means mortgage rates are on the move for some Canadians.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The central bank raised its benchmark rate by a quarter of a point to 2.5 per cent on Wednesday. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem says more hikes could be coming if inflation \u2014 which is largely <a data-ylk=\"slk:linked to rising fuel costs;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/business\/inflation-september-2026-9.7386437\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">linked to rising fuel costs<\/a> \u2014 persists in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Canada&#8217;s major banks are already responding by raising their prime interest rates in step with Wednesday&#8217;s decision. All five of Canada&#8217;s major banks raised their prime rates by a quarter point to 4.70 per cent. That&#8217;s the rate they offer their most credit-worthy customers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Variable rate mortgages will increase first, as they are directly linked to the issuing bank&#8217;s prime rate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Rates for new <a data-ylk=\"slk:fixed mortgages are linked to the bond market;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/business\/bond-market-explainer-canada-9.7331503\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">fixed mortgages are linked to the bond market<\/a>. When a central bank raises interest rates, newly issued bonds offer higher payouts. As investors demand higher yields, lenders increase mortgage rates to maintain their profit margin.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;In a rising rate environment, choosing whether to go fixed or variable can be really challenging. Variables are lower, and provide flexibility, but future rate increases need to be budgeted for,&#8221; Clay Jarvis, a mortgage expert at Ratehub.ca, stated in a press release after Wednesday&#8217;s rate announcement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;Fixed rates are elevated, but once you qualify your mortgage costs are set. That kind of stability can be worth paying a premium for,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem speaks during a news conference in Ottawa, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026, where the central bank's governing council decided to hike interest rates by a quarter percent.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"556\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-lg\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/cbc.ca\/40eb26cc52203f3a5d1c72b767077df0.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem speaks during a news conference on Wednesday in Ottawa, where the central bank&#8217;s governing council decided to hike interest rates by a quarter per cent. (Adrian Wyld\/The Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Speaking to reporters in Ottawa on Wednesday, Macklem acknowledged that rising interest rates could be uncomfortable for many Canadians and businesses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;Look, we get it,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It&#8217;s not going to feel good immediately, but that&#8217;s how you get inflation back down, and that will feel good for Canadians and Canadian businesses.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Variable rate mortgage holders will feel it most<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The Bank of Canada&#8217;s first rate hike since July 2023 will be immediately felt by variable rate mortgage holders. Toronto-based broker Marcus Tzaferis says that change could be significant.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">On a $500,000 mortgage, a rate hike of 25 basis points would add about $70 per month on average to a holder&#8217;s monthly payments. It might not sound like a lot, but, Tzaferis said, &#8220;to a consumer that&#8217;s already stretched, these 25 basis point incremental increases are going to have an impact.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The central bank also signalled that more rate hikes could be on the horizon \u2014 and if the bank hiked rates by another 50 or 75 basis points, Tzaferis said, &#8220;you can see how that will affect people&#8217;s monthly budgets.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Because rate hikes were expected, Tzaferis says he&#8217;s already been fielding calls from Canadians trying to assess their options.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Barbara Best stands in the kitchen of her Toronto condo on Oct. 28, 2026.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"720\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-lg\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/cbc.ca\/f7fdeede5f095227ad28af688fcea925.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Barbara Best stands in the kitchen of her Toronto condo on Wednesday. She recently switched from a variable to a fixed rate mortgage and says the price increase is worth it for the peace of mind. (Laura MacNaughton\/CBC)<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Like Barbara Best. She&#8217;s had a variable rate mortgage on her Toronto condo since 2022 \u2014 the same year the Bank of Canada <a data-ylk=\"slk:began a long cycle of rate hikes;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bnnbloomberg.ca\/business\/economics\/2023\/10\/23\/updated-a-timeline-of-bank-of-canada-rate-hikes\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">began a long cycle of rate hikes<\/a> \u2014 but recently renegotiated to a fixed rate months in advance of when her mortgage was up for renewal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Because fixed rates are currently much higher than variable ones, that means she&#8217;s paying a lot more each month, but Best says it&#8217;s worth it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;It was a jump in payment but it gives me that certainty. It gives me that peace of mind,&#8221; Best said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Tzaferis says &#8220;now is the time&#8221; to shop around for a fixed rate mortgage if holders want to get out of a variable one, or if their mortgage is coming up for renewal soon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;The kind of most critical thing is for Canadians to start their renewal process early,&#8221; Tzaferis said. Being aware of what the best rates on the market are and getting the conversation started with an adviser could help consumers make a choice that&#8217;s right for them, according to Tzaferis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Hike could pour more cold water on housing market<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The hike also stands to worsen the already soft housing market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Deputy governor Carolyn Rogers said Canada&#8217;s housing market is already struggling, particularly in Ontario and British Columbia, and the rate increase will add to those pressures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Wednesday&#8217;s rate hike <a data-ylk=\"slk:shrinks the pool of eligible buyers;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/business\/livestory\/bank-of-canada-interest-rate-announcement-oct-28-9.7398140\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">shrinks the pool of eligible buyers<\/a>, shifting power from sellers to those who can qualify for the financing needed to make a purchase. Home prices could dip lower.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Earlier this month, the <a data-ylk=\"slk:Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) cut its forecast for 2026 home sales;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/business\/crea-september-2026-forecast-downgrade-9.7382355\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) cut its forecast for 2026 home sales<\/a> for the third time this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Joel Fox, chief operating officer of Toronto-based real estate law platform Ownright, agrees that Wednesday&#8217;s rate hike will add to the dour mood in the housing market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;A rate hike likely locks us into year-over-year declines in housing activity for the rest of this year and into next, and I don&#8217;t see things turning until there&#8217;s a rate drop,&#8221; he said in a statement after Wednesday&#8217;s rate decision.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;The market was already as bleak as we&#8217;ve seen in a long time. The only saving grace is that it&#8217;s hard to imagine it dropping much further.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Bank of Canada just hiked its trendsetting policy rate for the first time in three years, and&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":644466,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-644465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644465","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=644465"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644465\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/644466"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=644465"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=644465"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=644465"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}