{"id":650819,"date":"2026-11-04T14:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T14:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/650819\/"},"modified":"2026-11-04T14:00:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T14:00:14","slug":"euro-zone-cpi-hits-4-for-first-time-in-three-years-ecb-hike-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/650819\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro zone CPI hits 4% for first time in three years, ECB hike looms"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Shoppers at Roemerberg square in Frankfurt, Germany, on Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2026. <\/p>\n<p>Ben Kilb | Bloomberg | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Inflation in the euro area jumped to a three-year high of 4% in October, a flash estimate showed on Wednesday. <\/p>\n<p>The reading is in line with the expectations of economists polled by Reuters and was up from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/02\/eurozone-inflation-ecb.html?taid=6abf79b51cf1da000142dba2&amp;utm_campaign=trueanthem&amp;utm_content=main&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3.8% in September<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Officials said the increase was largely due to surging energy costs, with energy inflation rising to 20.8% from 18.9% in September. Europe, a net energy importer, is vulnerable to external energy shocks and has seen prices rise steadily since the start of the Iran war.<\/p>\n<p>October marked the first time inflation in the euro zone has hit or exceeded the 4% threshold since Sept. 2023&#8217;s reading of 4.3%. <\/p>\n<p>Inflation also varied across the 21 euro zone economies, with Lithuania recording the hottest inflation rate of 6.1% while Malta&#8217;s was the lowest at 2.3%. All euro zone countries saw inflation hold above the European Central Bank&#8217;s 2% target. <\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/EUR=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">euro<\/a> was up 0.6% against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday morning, although the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.DXY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">greenback<\/a> fell against a basket of major currencies as counting continued in the U.S. midterm elections, while the yield on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/DE10Y\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">10-year German bund<\/a> \u2014 broadly seen as a benchmark for euro zone bonds \u2014 was marginally higher.<\/p>\n<p>Policymakers said underlying inflation and wages were broadly stable, despite inflation sitting at a three-year high.  <\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>Rate hike looms \u2014 but French turmoil could complicate policy<\/p>\n<p>The European Central Bank <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/29\/european-central-bank-interest-rates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">kept<\/a> its key interest rate at 2.5% last month, following a hike of 25 basis points in September. <\/p>\n<p>Shortly before Wednesday&#8217;s inflation print, markets were pricing in a 71.8% chance of a hike at the ECB&#8217;s final meeting of the year in December. Following the data release, markets were pricing in more than a 72% chance of rates rising. <\/p>\n<p>Robert Mertens, global capital markets senior analyst at Validus Risk Management, cautioned that &#8220;ongoing turmoil in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/30\/euro-zone-gdp-france.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">French bond market<\/a> is placing constraints on ECB policy&#8221; and the bank&#8217;s capacity to get inflation under control. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Should we see an easing in French political unrest, the ECB could potentially pursue a more aggressive hiking path,&#8221; he said. &#8220;If the ECB can deploy more aggressive tightening relative to the Federal Reserve, we would see increased Euro support and upside versus the Dollar.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Shoppers at Roemerberg square in Frankfurt, Germany, on Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2026. Ben Kilb | Bloomberg | Getty&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":650820,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[2342,177681,138,553,3748,219,22687,1834,43340,1943,111,139,69,12937],"class_list":["post-650819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-breaking-news-economy","tag-bund-10-yr","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-dxy-us-dollar-currency-index","tag-economy","tag-eur-usd","tag-euro","tag-europe-economy","tag-inflation","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz","tag-prices"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=650819"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650819\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/650820"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=650819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=650819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=650819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}