{"id":82317,"date":"2025-10-16T14:25:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T14:25:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/82317\/"},"modified":"2025-10-16T14:25:10","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T14:25:10","slug":"why-jamie-dimon-is-warning-of-cockroaches-in-the-us-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/82317\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Jamie Dimon is warning of \u2018cockroaches\u2019 in the US economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsee1fi000x27q9ca2o60b2@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Many Americans shrugged off the implosion of a pair of overleveraged Bear Stearns hedge funds in 2007. Stocks were at record highs, after all. But later it became apparent that those bankruptcies were among the first shoes to drop in an epic financial meltdown that would impact virtually all Americans.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsetaqs000a3b6njzfypocz@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Wall Street CEO Jamie Dimon rescued <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/09\/30\/investing\/bear-stearns-2008-crisis-jimmy-cayne\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bear Stearns when it nearly collapsed in 2008<\/a>. Today, he cautions that trouble could be lurking again beneath the red-hot markets.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsetaqs000b3b6n42stjims@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            First, a subprime <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kbb.com\/car-news\/a-big-auto-lender-went-bankrupt-heres-what-it-means\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">auto lender and dealer went bust<\/a> last month in a crash fueled by plenty of risky loans and, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-03\/tricolor-trustee-says-initial-probes-suggest-pervasive-fraud\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">allegedly<\/a>, \u201cpervasive fraud\u201d of \u201cextraordinary proportion,\u201d a lawyer said in court.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsetaqs000c3b6nj6u1wl16@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Then First Brands, an auto-parts supplier built on complex and hidden loans, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-09\/first-brands-how-jefferies-ubs-ended-up-exposed-to-its-collapse\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">blinded Wall Street<\/a> with a bankruptcy that financial firms are highly exposed to.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsetaqs000d3b6n1fkadgr6@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cMy antenna goes up when things like that happen,\u201d Dimon told analysts during a call on Tuesday. \u201cAnd I probably shouldn\u2019t say this, but when you see one cockroach, there are probably more\u2026 Everyone should be forewarned on this.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsetaqt000e3b6nyjno3sba@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            It\u2019s entirely possible the recent bankruptcies were fueled by company-specific problems, not systemic issues. And yet, as the 2008 financial crisis showed, trouble on Main Street can start in obscure corners of Wall Street.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsffodi0000356nn5b5cgso@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Here\u2019s what\u2019s going on now.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsee3rg00003b6n6rg4qn57@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Subprime loans were at the heart of Bear Stearns\u2019 demise. The focus today is not on toxic mortgages but on subprime auto loans.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgseuify000m3b6nvmptm4hl@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Tricolor Holdings, a Dallas-based auto lender specializing in loans to borrowers with weak credit scores, went bankrupt in September.\n    <\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/gettyimages-2236768501.jpg\" alt=\"The bankruptcy of Tricolor, a used car seller and subprime lender, shares similarities with Bear Stearns' near collapse in 2008.\" class=\"image_large__dam-img image_large__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image_large__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgseuify000n3b6n5fbw58nt@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The bankruptcy shines a spotlight on how millions of Americans are hurting from the high cost of living and sluggish job market. Cars are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/10\/14\/business\/new-cars-top-fifty-thousand-average\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">more expensive than ever<\/a>, and more and more people are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/06\/01\/economy\/consumer-student-loans-debt-squeeze-dg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">falling behind on their car loans<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgseuify000o3b6nyttfwjhk@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Even JPMorgan, which prides itself on what Dimon has dubbed a \u201cfortress balance sheet,\u201d suffered $170 million in losses linked to the Tricolor bankruptcy, according to the company\u2019s earnings call on Tuesday.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgseu818000k3b6n38t9dfsb@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Just a few weeks later, First Brands, a privately owned auto-parts supplier, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The heart of its demise appears to be an opaque borrowing scheme, which the Department of Justice has reportedly opened a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/first-brands-creditor-raistone-seeks-probe-into-vanished-2-3-billion-5ae03547?mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">criminal investigation<\/a> into.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevx3k000x3b6nxpxhky21@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            First Brands turned to the private credit market for help acquiring competitors. In a recent court filing, newly appointed directors of First Brands revealed as much as $2.3 billion in unpaid loans. They refer to this as \u201coff-balance sheet financing\u201d because the company borrowed money without officially disclosing it on the books.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevx3k000y3b6nmqj8p1gq@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Creditors allege First Brands got access to the funds by promising repayments when one of its customers paid their outstanding balance. This so-called third-party factoring is quite common. But creditors allege that First Brands essentially used the same invoice multiple times to access funds from private lenders unaware of the double dipping.\n    <\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/gettyimages-2237804188.jpg\" alt=\"First Brands filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy last month, capping weeks of turmoil sparked by creditor concern over the auto-suppliers use of opaque off-balance sheet financing.\" class=\"image_large__dam-img image_large__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image_large__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevx3k000z3b6nupy79hw6@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Eventually, lenders believed they were overleveraged and started asking questions.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevx3k00103b6nvz35pt6x@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The situation shares many similarities with investment bank <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/09\/30\/investing\/lehman-brothers-2008-crisis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lehman Brothers<\/a>, which went under during the Great Recession after it used an accounting scheme to conceal how debt-reliant it was.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevx3k00113b6nfllb1jbq@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            First Brands declined to comment, instead referring CNN to a late September <a href=\"https:\/\/restructuring.ra.kroll.com\/firstbrands\/Home-DownloadPDF?id1=MzkyODI4Mg==&amp;id2=-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">motion<\/a> filed by Charles Moore, who became the company\u2019s chief restructuring officer when it filed for bankruptcy. This week, Moore became interim CEO after Patrick James resigned from the position.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsevvs9000v3b6nlk6yefha@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            For the past few years, the economy has been on solid footing. Hiring has been strong, unemployment has stayed low, and consumers have kept on spending. But the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/10\/14\/business\/powell-fed-inflation-jobs-tension\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tide is starting to turn<\/a>, in part because President Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs have put increasing stress has on American businesses.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsewgws00163b6na4x0n983@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Dimon warned analysts on Tuesday\u2019s call that risky portfolios such as those as Tricolor and First Brands will only become more apparent at similarly structured companies in a downturn.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsewgws00173b6npzpstcje@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            It could be coincidence that First Brands and Tricolor\u2019s underlying financial issues are coming to light at almost the same time.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmgsg6p6y0006356no0ws5lif@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            But as Warren Buffett famously said, \u201cYou don\u2019t know who\u2019s been swimming naked until the tide goes out.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Many Americans shrugged off the implosion of a pair of overleveraged Bear Stearns hedge funds in 2007. Stocks&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82318,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[138,219,111,139,69],"class_list":["post-82317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-new-zealand","tag-newzealand","tag-nz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82317"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82317\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82318"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/nz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}