Managed Instability: Why the Wars Against Iran and Ukraine Can Go On and On and On…
The Iran war is beginning to resemble the Ukraine war in one important way. Operationally, the wars themselves…
Cheap Drones, Dry Taps: The Iran War Opens a New Era of Water Infrastructure Risk
Water and energy infrastructure have become one of Iran’s main levers of deterrence against the United States. Iranian…
Troops In Hormuz Islands, Bombing Pickaxe Mountain: Donald Trump’s Big Iran War Plan
US President Donald Trump is considering a much wider military campaign against Iran, with options ranging from fresh…
Outgunned, But Not Outplayed: Iran’s Theory of Victory
Nineteen weeks ago, Iran faced the combined might of the most powerful country in the world and the…
NYT: Israel plotted to kill Iran peace negotiators to derail talks
Trump administration officials reportedly believed that the Israeli government intended to assassinate Iran’s top negotiators—including the country’s foreign minister—during…
From Vietnam to Iran: Wartime Diplomacy and Secret Deals
Wars rarely end in a single act of diplomacy. More often, they pass through a succession of ceasefires,…
US Iran War Donald Trump Israel Secretly Sent “Elite” Troops To Azerbaijan For Operations In Iran War
During the war with Iran, Israel had secretly set up elite military and spy units in Azerbaijan as…
Iran Warns US Of “Many More Surprises” After Donald Trump Threatens New Strikes
Tehran: Iran has warned that resumption of hostilities by the United States and Israeli forces would bring fresh…
Missiles Aren’t Strategy: Lessons From Iran for a Pacific Air War
Western airpower debates are increasingly driven by grim math. Analysts tally missile inventories, strike ranges, and sortie-generation capacity…
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Iran has restored operational access to 30 of 33 missile launch sites along the Strait of Hormuz and…
Assessing the Lack of Iranian Attacks on the U.S. Homeland
Three days into the Iran war, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said the quiet part out loud: The…
Why Lebanon Is Nonnegotiable for Iran
As American and Iranian diplomats gathered in early April in Islamabad for Pakistan‑mediated ceasefire talks to end the…