Carleton, T. A. & Hsiang, S. M. Social and economic impacts of climate. Science 353, aad9837 (2016).
IPCC. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Pörtner, H.-O. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).
Rising, J. A., Taylor, C., Ives, M. C. & Ward, R. E. Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change. Ecol. Econ. 197, 107437 (2022).
Ciscar, J.-C., Rising, J., Kopp, R. E. & Feyen, L. Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects. Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 084010 (2019).
Sarofim, M. C. et al. A temperature binning approach for multi-sector climate impact analysis. Clim. Change 165, 22 (2021).
Rose, S. K., Diaz, D. B. & Blanford, G. J. Understanding the social cost of carbon: a model diagnostic and inter-comparison study. Clim. Change Econ. 8, 1750009 (2017).
Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances (EPA, 2022).
IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Pörtner, H. O. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).
Morris, J. et al. Reconciling widely varying estimates of the global economic impacts from climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 15, 124–127 (2025).
Rising, J., Tedesco, M., Piontek, F. & Stainforth, D. A. The missing risks of climate change. Nature 610, 643–651 (2022).
Bednar-Friedl, B. et al. in Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Pörtner, H. O. et al.) Ch. 13 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).
Alfieri, L. et al. Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth’s Future 5, 171–182 (2017).
Mitchell, D. et al. Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 551–553 (2018).
Watkiss, P., Cimato, F. & Hunt, A. Monetary Valuation of Risks and Opportunities in CCRA3 (Climate Change Committee, 2021).
Feyen, L. et al. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Europe (Joint Research Centre, 2020).
Watkiss, P. et al. (eds) The Economic Cost of Climate Change in Europe: Synthesis Report on COACCH Interim Results (COACCH, 2019).
Moore, F. C., Baldos, U., Hertel, T. & Diaz, D. New science of climate change impacts on agriculture implies higher social cost of carbon. Nat. Commun. 8, 1607 (2017).
Carleton, T. et al. Valuing the global mortality consequences of climate change accounting for adaptation costs and benefits. Q. J. Econ. 137, 2037–2105 (2022).
Rode, A. et al. Estimating a social cost of carbon for global energy consumption. Nature 598, 308–314 (2021).
Howard, P. H. & Sterner, T. Few and not so far between: a meta-analysis of climate damage estimates. Environ. Res. Econ. 68, 197–225 (2017).
Drupp, M. A., Freeman, M. C., Groom, B. & Nesje, F. Discounting disentangled. Am. Econ. J. Econ. Policy 10, 109–34 (2018).
Smith, C. J. FaIR v1.6.2 calibrated and constrained parameter set (v1.0). Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5513022 (2021).
Dietz, S., Rising, J., Stoerk, T. & Wagner, G. Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 118, e2103081118 (2021).
Fick, S. E. & Hijmans, R. J. Worldclim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. Int. J. Climatol. 37, 4302–4315 (2017).
Lincke, D. et al. D2.3 Impacts on Infrastructure, Built Environment, and Transport (COACCH, 2019).
Sayers, P. et al. Third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3): Future Flood Risk (Committee on Climate Change, 2020).
Boere, E. et al. D2.2 Impacts in Agriculture Including Forestry & Fishery (COACCH, 2019).
Ritchie, P. D. et al. Shifts in national land use and food production in Great Britain after a climate tipping point. Nat. Food 1, 76–83 (2020).
Jones, L. et al. Climate Driven Threshold Effects in the Natural Environment (Committee on Climate Change, 2020).
Fischlin, A. et al. in Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Parry, M. L. et al.) 211–227 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
Ritchie, P. D. L. et al. Large changes in Great Britain’s vegetation and agricultural land-use predicted under unmitigated climate change. Environ. Res. Lett. 14, 114012 (2019).
CA, J. R. S. et al. D2.4 Impacts on Industry, Energy, Services, and Trade (COACCH, 2019).
Gosling, S. N. et al. PESETA III: Climate Change Impacts on Labour Productivity (Publications Office of the European Union, 2018).
Bressler, R. D., Moore, F. C., Rennert, K. & Anthoff, D. Estimates of country level temperature-related mortality damage functions. Sci. Rep. 11, 20282 (2021).
Diaz, D. B. Estimating global damages from sea level rise with the coastal impact and adaptation model (CIAM). Clim. Change 137, 143–156 (2016).
Dell, M., Jones, B. F. & Olken, B. A. Temperature shocks and economic growth: evidence from the last half century. Am. Econ. J. Macroecon. 4, 66–95 (2012).
Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M. & Miguel, E. Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. Nature 527, 235–239 (2015).
Kahn, M. E. et al. Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change: a cross-country analysis. Energy Econ. 104, 105624 (2021).
McGlothlin, A. E. & Viele, K. Bayesian hierarchical models. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 320, 2365–2366 (2018).
Nordhaus, W. D. The Climate Casino (Yale Univ. Press, 2013).
Rising, J. Comprehensive national climate damage assessments framework applied to the UK. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14942090 (2026).
Rising, J. jrising/ukcp: NCC Reproduction Code (public.1). Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19673544 (2026).