Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday’s Podoroska-Badosa women’s singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Badosa an 81% chance of defeating Podoroska at the WTA Sao Paulo tournament.
Additionally, Badosa has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Podoroska (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 20.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
Moneyline: Paula Badosa -500, Nadia Podoroska +400
First Set: Podoroska +275, Badosa -357
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
Moneyline: Podoroska @ +400 via DraftKings
First Set: Badosa @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nadia Podoroska to win.
Although Podoroska is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The WTA Sao Paulo match between Nadia Podoroska and Paula Badosa is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 2:00 PM ET.
Who: Nadia Podoroska vs. Paula Badosa
Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
Tournament: WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women’s, Singles 2026
Round: Semifinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Paula Badosa, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Nadia Podoroska at the WTA Sao Paulo tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article’s predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers’ proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.