The Ibrox side are poised to pounce on a UEFA loophole should they win the Premiership this season
UEFA Champions League branding next to a Rangers emblem
Rangers have moved into the driving seat in their bid to land a £30million Champions League golden ticket should they win the Premiership this season.
With the Scottish Cup semi-finals granting them a free weekend, Danny Rohl has taken his team to Spain to warm up for a post-split title charge. They currently sit a point behind Hearts in second but are most bookies’ favourites to go the distance.
And there could be more than just a league title on the line.
Due to their superior coefficient, the Ibrox side hold a trump card over Hearts and Celtic as they look to take advantage of a UEFA loophole and qualify directly for Europe’s elite competition.
The governing body are set to hand an automatic league phase spot to the highest-ranked domestic champion who enters qualifying. And the coefficient standings have drawn that up as a three-way fight between Gers, Olympiacos and Shakhtar Donetsk.
The loophole was dependent on this season’s Champions League winner qualifying automatically through their domestic competition. But that was ironed out in Wednesday night’s drama when Bayern Munich and Real Madrid joined Arsenal and Atletico Madrid in the semi-finals – all four virtually guaranteed a spot next season with their league placings
So where does that leave Rangers? Olympiacos’ coefficient of 62.25 has them in the lead by three points, but having suffered a major blow in their recent defeat to AEK, they appear increasingly unlikely to become a domestic champion this season. Should they fail to do that, they’re out of the running.
Data analytics platform Football Meets Data gives them just a 16 per cent chance of winning the Greek Super League.
If that holds then it would leave a straight shootout between Rangers and Shakhtar – who are still in the Conference League and look well-placed to make the semi-finals on Thursday night, holding a 3-0 lead over AZ Alkmaar from the first leg.
Rangers’ coefficient currently stands at 59.25, a significant advantage over Shakhtar’s 54.75. With UEFA giving out two points for every win, that would mean Shakhtar would need to win three further matches in the competition – with a maximum of four remaining – to overtake them.
With Shakhtar heavy favourites to win the Ukrainian Pro League – they sit second on goal difference with a game in hand – the spot looks likely to come down to whether Rangers can pip Hearts and Celtic to the title.
The same data platform however now projects that, after their 6-3 victory at Falkirk at the weekend, they will win the title with a 48 per cent chance to do so. And if they do, there’s the high likelihood of an automatic Champions League spot – and a guaranteed prize pot of over £30m – waiting in the near future.
Should either of their title rivals win the trophy then they would have to settle for a playoff spot to land the same prize.