Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike) is eyeing the best opportunity yet to really live up to his status as the heavy pre-face favourite at the Giro d’Italia, with the first ‘real mountaintop finish’ of the 2026 Giro arriving on Friday’s seventh stage to Blockhaus.

Across six hectic stages, the Dane has so far only launched one attack, on stage 2 in Bulgaria, but that came to nothing as the leading group of three he formed on the road to Veliko Tarnovo was brought back in sight of the line.

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While snatching the pink jersey this early looks unlikely, thanks to Afonso Eulálio (Bahrain Victorious) building a 6:22 lead from the breakaway on stage 5, Visma will be massive favourites to take control of the race and move into a commanding position with Vingegaard over their main rivals.

“No, for sure, now [Eulálio] is in the jersey with more than six minutes, so it’s a good gap he has,” said Vingegaard before stage 6 in Paestum.

Vingegaard is no stranger to making a statement on early mountain stages in previous Grand Tours, taking more than a minute on Tadej Pogačar at the 2023 Tour de France on just the fifth stage, and attacking away from the entire field of last year’s Vuelta to win stage 9 to Valdezcaray.

third week should be the decisive section of the 2026 race, as it was a year ago when Visma took overall victory at the last gasp through Simon Yates on stage 20. But Vingegaard isn’t one to leave things late; when he’s in top shape, he will attack, and his calmness in the days leading up to stage 7 is an ominous sign of what is likely to come.

“Of course, some riders will be a bit more defensive. Others are trying earlier already, but I think that it’s an important finish anyway, because it’s one of the long climbs in this Giro,” said Reef.

“It’s a steep one, a climb where differences can be made. Like how it was in 2017, the gaps were quite big, not maybe with the first four guys, but behind them,” said Reef, referencing when Nairo Quintana climbed to victory and many of the gaps in the top 10 were larger than a minute.

“It depends a bit on how everybody will race on the climb, but of course, because in the second week it’s only stage 14 that is a tough mountain stage, and then we go into the third week, from that perspective, it will be quite an important day tomorrow.”

Reef isn’t quite sure what to expect from Eulálio when it comes to the climb itself, but he does suspect that the rising Portuguese talent will at least hold onto the pink jersey until stage 8.

“It’s difficult to say, on short, relatively short efforts, he’s pretty good; that’s what he’s shown already the last two years,” he said. “He’s allowed to surprise, of course, but normally he will still be in the lead after tomorrow’s stage.”

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