{"id":101323,"date":"2025-08-29T17:33:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T17:33:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/101323\/"},"modified":"2025-08-29T17:33:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T17:33:09","slug":"strong-summer-end-often-leads-to-stock-market-turbulence-in-early-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/101323\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong summer end often leads to stock market turbulence in early fall"},"content":{"rendered":"

There may be some cloudy days ahead for the stock market after the strong summer run. The S & P 500 is on pace to end August 2% higher after rising 2.2% in July. The benchmark is also on pace for its fourth straight monthly advance. But the index typically averages a 0.7% decline in September, making it the worst month of the year historically, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. With the S & P 500’s July and August rallies, September could bring even rougher waters based on historical patterns. Looking only at years when the broad index gained more than 2% in both July and August, that average September slide increases to 1%. Of those 11 years going back to 1949, all but three have ended in the red. Additionally, seven of those 11 years had a negative October. The average loss for the month was 2.9%. “With the history of volatility toward the end of Q3 and into October there is the potential for some late summer\/early fall selloff,” Jeffrey Hirsch, author of the Almanac, said in an email. To be sure, Hirsch said third-quarter weakness could come later than it has in previous post-election years. That would make sense given that first-quarter market difficulties were delayed this year, he said. .SPX 3M mountain S & P 500, 3-month chart Regardless, Hirsch said to view any pullback as short-lived. He reaffirmed his best-case scenario for the market this year, which would have full-year gains of between 12% and 20%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"There may be some cloudy days ahead for the stock market after the strong summer run. The S…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101324,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[4117,84,273,4948,467,4125,4118,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-101323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-investment-strategy","tag-markets","tag-sp-500-index","tag-stock-markets","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101323","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101323"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101323\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}