{"id":111492,"date":"2025-09-03T12:39:07","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T12:39:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/111492\/"},"modified":"2025-09-03T12:39:07","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T12:39:07","slug":"back-in-the-win-column","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/111492\/","title":{"rendered":"Back in the win column"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/5050a.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" alt=\"Starship\"\/><\/p>\n<p>SpaceX\u2019s Starship performing a final burn before splashdown in the Indian Ocean on its August 26 flight. The discoloration is white insulation from deliberately removed tiles and oxidation from a metallic test tile. (credit: SpaceX)<\/p>\n<p>by Jeff Foust<br \/>Tuesday, September 2, 2025<\/p>\n<p>\nSpaceX has had, in many respects, a remarkable year so far. The company has performed more than 100 launches of its Falcon 9 rocket, putting the company on a pace to end the year with at least 150 launches, well above a record set last year. The company has been the single biggest customer of those launches, putting more than 1,900 Starlink satellites into orbit that provide services to more than seven million customers worldwide.\n<\/p>\n<p>The failures prompted speculation of design flaws imperiling the program.<\/p>\n<p>\nOne program, though, has been weighing down the company: Starship. The company\u2019s first three test flights of the vehicle this year\u2014in January, March, and May\u2014all suffered mission-ending failures. The first two encountered problems during Starship\u2019s ascent that caused the vehicle to reenter and break apart over the Caribbean, while the third completed its ascent but lost attitude control while in space, leading to an uncontrolled reentry over the Indian Ocean (see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thespacereview.com\/article\/5002\/1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cStarship setbacks and strategies\u201d<\/a>, The Space Review, June 9, 2025.)\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThen, in June, another Starship upper stage was destroyed during preparations for a static-fire test, an issue that the company traced to a faulty composite-overwrapped pressure vessel (COPV) that burst below its rated pressure. One industry observer, speaking on background, noted that the company appeared to be regressing: after demonstrating last year it could fly Starship to pinpoint splashdowns in the Indian Ocean while \u201ccatching\u201d the Super Heavy booster back at the launch site, the company was now making mistakes not seen since much earlier in Starship\u2019s development.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe failures prompted speculation of design flaws imperiling the program. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/why-do-spacexs-starships-keep-exploding\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cCan SpaceX Solve Its \u2018Exploding Starships\u2019 Problem?\u201d<\/a> asked the headline of a Scientific American article last month, speculating that all three failures were linked a problem with harmonic oscillations with the Starship upper stage that SpaceX said it corrected after the January failure. Another inquisitive headline came from New York magazine: <a href=\"https:\/\/nymag.com\/intelligencer\/article\/elon-musk-spacex-starship-doomed.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cIs Elon Musk\u2019s Starship Doomed?\u201d<\/a> It was not so much about vibrations than just bad vibes, as it rounded up comments from a group that ranged from a blogger to a space architect expressing skepticism that Starship could work.\n<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/5050b.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"352\" alt=\"Starship\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Starship\/Super Heavy takes off on its tenth test flight. (credit: SpaceX)<\/p>\n<p>A (nearly) perfect ten<\/p>\n<p>\nThat was the environment facing the Starship program as it prepared for its tenth Starship\/Super Heavy launch. The plan for Flight 10 was similar to recent test flights, in large part because SpaceX wasn\u2019t able to carry out many of the tests planned for those previous flights. That included the deployment of mass simulators of next-generation Starlink satellites through Starship\u2019s slot-shaped payload door. (Since Starship was flying a suborbital trajectory, the payloads would burn up on reentry minutes later.) Also on tap was a relight of a Raptor engine while in space, something completed on just one previous test flight but essential to plans for future orbital flights.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nIf all went according to plan, Starship would splash down in a designated region of the Indian Ocean a little more than an hour after liftoff. The Super Heavy booster, as with the previous flight, would not be recovered back at the launch site but instead attempt a soft splashdown just off the coast after performing tests.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAfter a first launch attempt was scrubbed August 24 because of a group equipment issue and second the next day due to weather, the vehicle finally lifted off at 7:30 pm EDT August 26 from the Starbase, Texas, test site on the Gulf coast. And what was remarkable about the next 66 and a half minutes was that the flight followed the plan, almost to the letter.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nStarship completed its ascent without incident, while the Super Heavy booster flew back to a designated area off the coast, testing alternative engine configurations for a final landing burn, hovering just off the water before splashing down .Starship, now on its suborbital arc, opened its payload pay door and released eight Starlink mass simulators using the \u201cPez\u201d dispenser, so named after the candy. Later, one Raptor engine ignited for a few seconds.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThen came reentry. Cameras on the exterior of Starship, connected via Starlink, provided high-resolution video of the vehicle enduring the heat of its passage through the upper atmosphere. SpaceX had said that, if Starship survived and the reentry was on target, a camera on a buoy in the Indian Ocean would be able to capture images of the final phases of flight, with the vehicle pitching up for a landing burn.\n<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not been an easy year but we finally got the reentry data that\u2019s so critical to Starship. It feels good to be back!\u201d Diez said.<\/p>\n<p>\nThe reentry was on target, and that camera captured the vehicle making that final maneuver before settling down onto the surface of the water, falling over, and breaking apart. That video, though, show Starship was oddly discolored, with the nose appearing white and much of the body a rusty orange-red. SpaceX CEO Elon Musk later <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/elonmusk\/status\/1961217495383322755\" rel=\"nofollow\">said<\/a> it was linked to experiments with the vehicle\u2019s thermal protection system: white from insulation in areas where tiled had been intentionally removed before launch, and the rust color from metallic test tiles. \u201cWorth noting that the heat shield tiles almost entirely stayed attached, so the latest upgrades are looking good!\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe flight was not perfect. One of 33 Raptor engines in the Super Heavy booster shut down during ascent. Early in reentry, something appeared to break apart in the aft skirt of Starship, while one flap showed some damage; neither appeared to affect reentry and landing burn.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe company, though, declared success. \u201cEvery major objective was met, providing critical data to inform designs of the next generation Starship and Super Heavy,\u201d SpaceX stated in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spacex.com\/launches\/starship-flight-10\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a summary of the flight<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/5050c.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"1067\" alt=\"Starship\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Starship during reentry on the August 26 flight. (credit: SpaceX)<\/p>\n<p>Playing from behind<\/p>\n<p>\nThe flight had ended a streak of three test flights where many, if not most, major objectives were not met, as well as the ship destroyed in ground testing. It was clearly a relief to the company and its employees. \u201cThe last 4 vehicle failures and countless hours by engineering teams and technicians working to correct for the lessons we learned got us to a great outcome today,\u201d Shana Diez, director of Starship flight reliability at SpaceX, said in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ShanaDiez\/status\/1960541411163377762\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a social media post hours<\/a> after the flight.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cIt\u2019s not been an easy year but we finally got the reentry data that\u2019s so critical to Starship. It feels good to be back!\u201d she added.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nStarship might be back, but it\u2019s also behind. That string of failures means the program is lagging schedules it set for itself, and with NASA, for development of the vehicle to meet the company\u2019s needs\u2014launching next-generation Starlink spacecraft\u2014as well as for NASA\u2019s Artemis program.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nIt\u2019s the latter that has attracted more attention given the increasing rhetoric, at least in the US, about a new space race with China to see who can land the first astronauts on the Moon since the Apollo program. China is making steady progress on launch vehicles and spacecraft needed for a landing that the country has projected to take place by 2030.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThat would still be a few years behind the official NASA schedule, which continues to project Artemis 3 taking place in 2027. Sean Duffy, the secretary of transportation who was named acting NASA administrator nearly two months ago, has repeatedly stuck to that schedule in public comments, including a string of television interviews.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cIn 2027, we WILL return American astronauts to the Moon,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SecDuffyNASA\/status\/1961051155682795610\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">posted<\/a> on social media August 28 (emphasis in original), including a clip from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/video\/sean-duffy-on-nasa-efforts-to-beat-china-back-to-the-moon\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a CBS News interview<\/a> where he reiterated that he believed the schedule was realistic: \u201cI think we\u2019re on track, where we sit today, to keep the 2027 mission in play.\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\nHowever, SpaceX is behind scheduled previously announced by NASA for key milestones in Starships\u2019 development needed for the Artemis lunar lander version of the vehicle. At a briefing in April 2024, just after the third Starship\/Super Heavy flight that included a transfer of cryogenic propellants from one tank to another within Starship, NASA officials said they expected to perform the first ship-to-ship transfer of propellants in 2025. That will require placing one Starship into orbit and then launching another to dock with it, demonstrating the refueling needed for sending a lunar lander Starship to the Moon.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe delays from the string of failures make it highly unlikely that SpaceX will be able to demonstrate that in-space propellant transfer this year.\n<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey feel very comfortable on Starship. They feel like they\u2019re on pace for the lander,\u201d Duffy said of SpaceX. \u201cThey said if there\u2019s a holdup for Artemis 3, it\u2019s not going to be them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cThe key milestone that we are watching for, and everyone is watching for, is when will they be able to demonstrate cryogenic propulsion transfer,\u201d Lori Glaze, NASA associate administrator for exploration systems development, said at a July 25 meeting of the Space Studies Board. \u201cWe were anticipating that would be completed by this year. Clearly, that is slipping, but we are anxiously watching for their next launch to see how they\u2019re making progress towards achieving that particular milestone.\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\nShe didn\u2019t indicate when NASA now expected that propellant transfer test to take place, but it is essential to later milestones, including an uncrewed test flight of the Starship lander, touching down on the Moon and then taking off again. Completing that mission will require multiple Starship \u201ctanker\u201d launches to fill the lander\u2019s propellant tanks with liquid oxygen and methane: perhaps 15 to 20, some argue, although neither NASA nor SpaceX have provided an updated estimate.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGetting all that done in order to support a 2027 Artemis 3 mission would appear to be a tall order. At the Space Studies Board meeting, Glaze showed a chart of milestones leading up Artemis 3, including Starship testing. The chart, though, did not include dates. Asked for a schedule by board members, she said NASA had a more detailed schedule she could provide to the committee; if she did, that document was not disclosed.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nDuffy, attending a Crew-11 launch attempt at the Kennedy Space Center a few days later, said he had met with SpaceX executives about the Artemis 3 schedule and received assurances. \u201cThey feel very comfortable on Starship. They feel like they\u2019re on pace for the lander,\u201d he told a group of social media influencers who were guests of the launch. (Duffy did not attend any of the pre- or post-launch media briefings organized by NASA.) \u201cThey said if there\u2019s a holdup for Artemis 3, it\u2019s not going to be them.\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe question is now less about whether SpaceX can keep Starship from exploding\u2014it did, at least for this flight\u2014than if it can keep its development schedule from exploding, with consequences that go beyond just a launch vehicle program.\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"byline\">Jeff Foust (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thespacereview.com\/article\/5050\/mailto:jeff@thespacereview.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">jeff@thespacereview.com<\/a>) is the editor and publisher of The Space Review, and a senior staff writer with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.spacenews.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SpaceNews<\/a>. He also operates the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.spacetoday.net\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Spacetoday.net<\/a> web site.  Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author alone.<\/p>\n<p class=\"info2\">Note: we are now moderating comments. There will be a delay in posting comments and no guarantee that all submitted comments will be posted.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"SpaceX\u2019s Starship performing a final burn before splashdown in the Indian Ocean on its August 26 flight. 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