{"id":238245,"date":"2025-11-01T18:20:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-01T18:20:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/238245\/"},"modified":"2025-11-01T18:20:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-01T18:20:28","slug":"ai-bubble-fears-dismissed-as-sector-bets-on-lasting-tech-boom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/238245\/","title":{"rendered":"AI bubble fears dismissed as sector bets on lasting tech boom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\tFriday 31 October 2025 1:02 pm\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tShare<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tFacebook\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on Facebook\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tX\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on Twitter\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tLinkedIn\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on LinkedIn\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWhatsApp\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on WhatsApp\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tEmail\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on Email\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p><img width=\"742\" height=\"495\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/013-TEch-companies-ad-spend.jpg\" class=\"media \" alt=\"The decision to elevate cyberflashing within the Online Safety Act reflects growing pressure on both government and industry to address online sexual offences.\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\"  \/>\t\tApple, Amazon, Meta and Google all pledged to ramp up AI infrastructure spending\t<\/p>\n<p>Federal reserve chair Jerome Powell recently poured cold water on mounting fears that the AI boom is heading for a spectacular bust, arguing that the current surge in investment bears little resemblance to the dot-com frenzy that ended in tears two decades ago.<\/p>\n<p>In a press conference following the Fed\u2019s latest rate decision this week, Powell stated that today\u2019s AI leaders are not riding a wave of speculation, but rather building real, profitable businesses, and in doing so, powering a crucial leg of America\u2019s economic growth.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is different in the sense that these companies [today] that are so highly valued actually have earnings and stuff like that,\u201d he said. \u201cIf you go back to the nineties and the dot-com, these were ideas rather than companies. So there was a clear bubble there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>His words come in the wake of America\u2019s central bank cutting its rates by 25 basis points, a largely expected move, while investors digested another round of earnings from Big Tech.<\/p>\n<p>Apple, Amazon, Meta and Google all pledged to ramp up AI infrastructure spending, each brushing off concerns that enthusiasm could overheat the market.<\/p>\n<p>\t\tTrillion-dollar question<\/p>\n<p>The root of mounting concerns over a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/will-big-tech-earnings-pop-the-ai-bubble\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"> potential bubble<\/a> lies in the scale of investment.<\/p>\n<p>Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are on track to invest nearly $370bn in AI-related capital expenditures this year alone, primarily to fund new data centres and semiconductors.<\/p>\n<p>Google\u2019s chief financial officer, Anat Ashkenazi, told investors this week that the company\u2019s AI budget had risen to as much as $93bn, a huge uptick from previous forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile,Meta expects to spend at the top end of its $66\u201372bn range and warned that next year\u2019s AI investment will be \u201cnotably larger.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Microsoft, which is partnering with OpenAI, plans to increase its spending beyond $80bn in 2026 as it builds new AI infrastructure across the US.<\/p>\n<p>Those numbers make the early internet boom look modest. In the late 1990s, companies invested billions in fibre-optic cables that would later sit idle, as analysts at the time called them \u201cdark fibres\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>But today, as Atreides Management\u2019s Gavin Baker argues, \u201cthere are no dark GPUs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The chips powering the AI revolution are being used as fast as they can be made.<\/p>\n<p>Growth engine<\/p>\n<p>Powell\u2019s point was that the AI surge is being driven not by easy money, but by long-term confidence in its transformative potential.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think interest rates are an important part of the AI or data centre story,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s clearly one of the big sources of growth in the economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, Goldman Sachs\u2019 chief US economist, Joseph Briggs, estimated that the productivity gains from AI could be worth between $8tn and $19tn in present value for the US economy.<\/p>\n<p>JPMorgan, meanwhile, forecasts that AI-related infrastructure spending could boost GDP growth by around 0.2 percentage points over the next year.<\/p>\n<p>Powell\u2019s comments landed just hours after several of the world\u2019s largest tech firms unveiled fresh spending plans that cement their role at the centre of the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Google, Meta and Microsoft said they would spend more than previously expected on AI infrastructure this year, even as the Fed acknowledged a \u2018softening\u2019 labour market.<\/p>\n<p>Not everyone is convinced<\/p>\n<p>But there are still objectors. Bill Gates, for one, seems sure that the world is caught up in this so-called \u201cAI bubble\u201d, comparing the current rush of capital to that of the dotcom era.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/ftse-100-live-warnings-over-ai-driven-market-boom\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">FTSE 100 Live: Ibstock shares tumble, Princes confirms \u00a31.5bn London IPO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cSome companies succeeded, but a lot of the companies were kind of me-too, burning capital\u201d, Gates said. \u201cAbsolutely, there are a ton of these investments that will be dead ends.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This was also echoed by David Einhorn, founder of hedge fund Greenlight Capital, who told Bloomberg that \u201cthe numbers being thrown around are so extreme that it\u2019s really hard to understand them. There\u2019s a reasonable chance that a tremendous amount of capital destruction is going to come through this cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Even some of the tech industry\u2019s leading figures have voiced similar concerns, with Meta boss Mark Zuckerberg admitting that the current wave of AI spend \u201ccould create a bubble\u201d, despite arguing that the risk was worth taking.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s the right strategy to aggressively front-load building capacity,\u201d he said on Meta\u2019s earnings call. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn the worst case, we would just slowly build new infrastructure while we grow into what we\u2019ve built.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u2018No dark GPUs\u2019<\/p>\n<p>But others insist that comparing AI to past bubbles missed the point entirely. Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang whose company just hit a market cap of over $5tn, flatly rejected these concerns.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t believe we\u2019re in an AI bubble,\u201d Huang said at Nvidia\u2019s GTC DC event. \u201cAll of these different AI models we\u2019re using, we\u2019re using plenty of services and paying happily to do it. Customers are willing to pay for powerful AI models, and the market remains healthy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And the numbers seem to back the tech titan, with Nvidia\u2019s latest chips expected to generate half a trillion dollars in revenue. <\/p>\n<p>The company\u2019s processors are in such high demand that, in the words of Gavin Baker, managing partner of Atreides Management, GPUs are \u201cmelting\u201d from overuse.<\/p>\n<p>Global AI-related expenditures are projected to reach $1.5tn by next year and exceed $2tn in 2026, according to research firm Gartner, nearly two per cent of global GDP.<\/p>\n<p>Those figures reflect not speculative bets, but tangible corporate spending, which is already reshaping the business landscape.<\/p>\n<p>A long-term wager<\/p>\n<p>Powell argues that this is the key difference between ambition and seeing returns.<\/p>\n<p>The dotcom bubble was driven by unproven startups chasing clicks, whereas today\u2019s AI race is led by profitable heavyweights deploying capital at a scale unseen since the postwar industrial build-out.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cConsumer spending is much bigger than that and has been growing, and has defied a lot of the negative forecasts,\u201d Powell said, underscoring that the AI boom is additive, not the sole driver of the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Yet even he acknowledges the irony that the same technology that promises to boost productivity could also reshape, and potentially shrink, parts of the labour market.<\/p>\n<p>Layoffs at major firms are increasingly attributed to automation, while the productivity gains may take years to show up in official data.<\/p>\n<p>For now, though, investors appear to agree with Powell and Huang that this is not 1999.<\/p>\n<p>The AI trade remains intact, as Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management put it this week, and \u201cthese companies are continuing to talk about spending and investing much more than we thought three, six months ago.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It seems that for all the warnings of overreach, the bets are still being placed, and the chips, quite literally, are still hot.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/jp-morgan-warns-on-ai-bubble-amid-bank-of-england-caution\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">JP Morgan warns on AI bubble amid Bank of England caution<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\tSimilarly tagged content: <\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tSections\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCategories\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tPeople &amp; Organisations\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Friday 31 October 2025 1:02 pm Share Facebook Share on Facebook X Share on Twitter LinkedIn Share on&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":238246,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[554,43964,304,733,4308,3845,84,7221,33019,50,3352,227,100651,86,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-238245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-ai-bubble","tag-apple","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-big-tech","tag-business","tag-jensen-huang","tag-magnificent-seven","tag-news","tag-nvidia","tag-tech","tag-tech-boom","tag-technology","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=238245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238245\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/238246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=238245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=238245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=238245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}