{"id":281224,"date":"2025-11-24T20:40:11","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T20:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/281224\/"},"modified":"2025-11-24T20:40:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T20:40:11","slug":"powerful-nvidia-chip-may-put-chinese-chipmakers-in-choppy-waters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/281224\/","title":{"rendered":"Powerful Nvidia chip may put Chinese chipmakers in choppy waters"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Shares of Chinese semiconductor majors had a volatile day of trade on Monday following reports that the Trump administration is considering allowing US chipmaker Nvidia to sell its AI chip H200 in China.<\/p>\n<p>Shanghai-listed shares of one of the country\u2019s leading AI chipmakers, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/tech\/tech-war\/article\/3326184\/cambricon-chinas-little-nvidia-sees-unprecedented-scope-home-grown-ai-chips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Cambricon<\/a>, slipped as much as 2.5% in early trading.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Hong Kong-listed shares of its competitor Hua Hong Semi and state-backed Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) fell more than 9% and 6% respectively in early trade.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also on AF: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/us-likely-to-delay-chip-tariffs-to-keep-china-ties-calm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US \u2018Likely To Delay\u2019 Chip Tariffs To Keep China Ties Calm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>All three recovered much of their losses by the close of trading, while Cambricon closed with a gain of more than 1%. Hua Hong and SMIC ended the day with lower losses of about 5% and 1%, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>The choppy trade on Monday points to uncertainty ahead for local chipmakers racing to catch up with Nvidia, the world\u2019s most valuable company.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing has thrown its weight, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-cutting-electricity-bills-in-half-for-its-ai-chip-firms-ft\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">and billions of dollars<\/a>, behind its chip industry. But strict US export controls mean China\u2019s firms remain cut off from most cutting-edge technology required to manufacture chips that power complex AI tasks like inference.<\/p>\n<p>Still China\u2019s chipmakers have, so far, managed to deal with the fallout of those restrictions, partly due to strong state support driven by Beijing\u2019s push for self-sufficiency. And they have also benefitted from US curbs blocking flows of Nvidia\u2019s chips, which have forced major Chinese tech firms to turn to domestic chip suppliers.<\/p>\n<p>Before those restrictions, which intensified in April this year, Nvidia dominated China\u2019s AI market with a share of more than 95%.<\/p>\n<p>Last month, Nvidia chief Jensen Huang <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2025\/10\/19\/jensen-huang-nvidia-china-market-share-ai-chips-trump-trade-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">said<\/a> that market share was now down to zero. And last week, Huang, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/markets\/nvidia-ceo-urges-improved-u-s-china-trade-relations-amid-ai-chip-ban-significant-source-revenue\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">speaking to America\u2019s Fox News<\/a>, reiterated those concerns.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m forecasting China\u2019s sales to be zero. It\u2019s zero for the next quarter, zero for the quarter after that\u2026 We\u2019re assuming it\u2019s going to be zero,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A powerful chip looms<\/p>\n<p>That dynamic may soon change, however.<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, Reuters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/us-considering-letting-nvidia-sell-h200-chips-china-sources-say-2025-11-21\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">reported<\/a> the Trump administration was considering giving a green light to sales of Nvidia\u2019s H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, citing people familiar with the matter.<\/p>\n<p>The Commerce Department, which oversees US export controls, is reviewing a change to its policy of barring sales of such chips to China, the sources told Reuters, stressing that plans could change.<\/p>\n<p>A White House official declined to comment but said: \u201cThe administration is committed to securing America\u2019s global technology leadership and safeguarding our national security.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia did not comment directly on the review but told Reuters that current regulations do not allow the company to offer a competitive AI data centre chip in China, leaving that massive market to its the group\u2019s fast-growing foreign competitors.<\/p>\n<p>The H200 chip, unveiled two years ago, has more high-bandwidth memory than its predecessor the H100, which allows it to process data more quickly.<\/p>\n<p>It is also estimated to be twice as powerful as Nvidia\u2019s H20 chip, the most advanced AI semiconductor that can legally be exported to China.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump administration banned sales of the H20 chip to China but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-scrambles-for-nvidias-h20-chips-as-trump-reverses-curbs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">quickly reversed that decision<\/a>. The turnaround gave little boost to Nvidia, though, as Chinese policymakers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/huang-voices-disappointment-after-china-bans-nvidias-ai-chips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">enforced restrictions<\/a> on its tech firms against buying the H20.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing cited security concerns behind those restrictions, but its policy was also in line with its larger push to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinese-ai-firms-chipmakers-form-alliance-to-ditch-foreign-tech\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">cut reliance on foreign technology<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Enforcing such a ban on H200 sales, if it gets a green light, might be harder for Beijing, however, considering its chipmakers are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinese-tech-giants-want-nvidia-chips-despite-beijing-pushback\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">yet to produce chips<\/a> that can match even the H20\u2019s performance.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>$200 billion potential<\/p>\n<p>Beijing may also be more open to the H200, as it walks a delicate line in its ties with the US. The world\u2019s two biggest economies have struggled to maintain cordial ties all year, but tensions have eased after Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/trump-cuts-us-tariffs-to-47-xi-vows-to-ease-rare-earth-curbs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">brokered a trade and tech truce<\/a> in Busan last month.<\/p>\n<p>The possibility of Washington allowing Nvidia to sell the H200 also signals a friendlier approach to China. Discussions on Nvidia\u2019s chip <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/trump-to-discuss-nvidias-top-chip-with-xi-as-market-cap-soars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">were on the agenda<\/a> when Trump met Xi.<\/p>\n<p>Faced with Beijing\u2019s muscular use of export controls on rare earth minerals, critical for producing a raft of tech goods, Trump this year has threatened new restrictions on tech exports to China, but ultimately rolled them back in most cases.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, China hawks in Washington remain concerned that shipments of more advanced AI chips to China could help Beijing supercharge its military, fears that prompted the Biden administration to set limits on such exports.<\/p>\n<p>Amid those concerns, though, China\u2019s AI market potential could become key to Trump\u2019s final decision on the matter. Huang said last week that China represents a AI chip market worth nearly $50 billion. And its value could grow to as much as $200 billion by the end of the decade, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Vishakha Saxena, with Reuters<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also read:<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/asiafinancial.beehiiv.com\/p\/beijing-and-its-ai-billions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Beijing And Its AI Billions<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/asiafinancial.beehiiv.com\/p\/nvidia-s-bid-to-stop-huawei\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Nvidia\u2019s Bid To Stop Huawei<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-blocks-use-of-foreign-ai-chips-in-state-data-centres\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China Blocks Use of Foreign AI Chips in State Data Centres<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-cutting-electricity-bills-in-half-for-its-ai-chip-firms-ft\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China \u2018Cutting Electricity Bills In Half\u2019 For Its AI Chip Firms \u2013 FT<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/nvidias-top-ai-chips-wont-be-sold-to-china-other-states-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Nvidia\u2019s Top AI Chips Won\u2019t Be Sold to China, Other States: Trump<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-steps-up-checks-on-nvidia-ai-chips-at-major-ports-ft-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China Steps up Checks on Nvidia AI Chips at Major Ports, FT Says<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-pressing-tech-giants-to-stop-buying-nvidias-h20-ai-chips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China Pressing Tech Giants To Stop Buying Nvidia\u2019s H20 AI Chips<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinese-tech-giants-want-nvidia-chips-despite-beijing-pushback\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Chinese Tech Giants \u2018Want Nvidia Chips\u2019 Despite Beijing Pushback<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/nvidia-amd-agreed-to-pay-15-of-china-chip-revenue-to-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Nvidia, AMD \u2018Agreed to Pay 15% of China Chip Revenue to US\u2019<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinese-ai-firms-chipmakers-form-alliance-to-ditch-foreign-tech\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Chinese AI Firms, Chipmakers Form Alliance To Ditch Foreign Tech<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/nvidias-latest-ai-chip-for-china-finds-few-takers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Nvidia\u2019s Latest AI Chip For China Finds Few Takers<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/huang-voices-disappointment-after-china-bans-nvidias-ai-chips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Huang Voices Disappointment After China Bans Nvidia\u2019s AI Chips<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinas-huawei-smic-to-ramp-production-of-newest-ai-chip\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China\u2019s Huawei, SMIC \u2018to Ramp Up Production\u2019 of Newest AI Chip<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/chinas-huawei-hoping-its-new-ai-chip-can-outpower-nvidia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China\u2019s Huawei \u2018Hoping Its New AI Chip Can Outpower Nvidia\u2019<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/satellite-images-show-huaweis-expanding-chip-facilities-ft\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Satellite Images Show Huawei\u2019s Expanding Chip Facilities \u2013 FT<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/china-holds-heavy-cards-in-high-stakes-rare-earth-power-play\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">China Holds \u2018Heavy\u2019 Cards in High Stakes Rare Earth Power Play<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"96\" height=\"96\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Untitled-design-4-96x96.jpg\" class=\"avatar avatar-96 photo imgauthor\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/>\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/author\/vishakha-saxenaasiafinancial-com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vishakha Saxena <\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px;\"> Vishakha Saxena is the Multimedia and Social Media Editor at Asia Financial. She has worked as a digital journalist since 2013, and is an experienced writer and multimedia producer. As a trader and investor, she is keenly interested in new economy, emerging markets and the intersections of finance and society. You can write to her at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asiafinancial.com\/cdn-cgi\/l\/email-protection\" class=\"__cf_email__\" data-cfemail=\"aed8c7ddc6cfc5c6cf80ddcfd6cbc0cfeecfddc7cfc8c7c0cfc0cdc7cfc280cdc1c3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">[email\u00a0protected]<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u00a0 Shares of Chinese semiconductor majors had a volatile day of trade on Monday following reports that the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":281225,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[554,733,4308,86,56,54,55],"class_list":{"0":"post-281224","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-technology","12":"tag-uk","13":"tag-united-kingdom","14":"tag-unitedkingdom"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/281224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=281224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/281224\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/281225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=281224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=281224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=281224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}