Introduction: Oracle shares slide as earnings cast doubt over AI profitability<\/p>\n
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.<\/p>\n
Fears about the profitability of the AI industry are on the rise again, after results from Oracle failed to impress Wall Street.<\/p>\n
Oracle, part of the race to provide huge computing power for AI companies, missed revenue and profit expectations last night. It also reported a jump in spending on AI data centers \u2013 an area where it has already been spending (and borrowing) heavily.<\/p>\n
Capital expenditure for the 2026 fiscal year is now expected to be $15bn higher than the $35bn Oracle estimated in September, showing that the cost of constructing the infrastructure for the AI revolution is rising fast\u2026 before many profits show up.<\/p>\n
Oracle also booked a one-off $2.7bn pre-tax gain through the sale of its stake in chip designer Ampere Computing.<\/p>\n
Oracle chairman Larry Ellison took time out of reshaping the media industry <\/a>to explain:<\/p>\n \u201cOracle sold Ampere because we no longer think it is strategic for us to continue designing, manufacturing and using our own chips in our cloud datacenters.<\/p>\n We are now committed to a policy of chip neutrality where we work closely with all our CPU and GPU suppliers. Of course, we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from NVIDIA, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy. There are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes.\u201d<\/p>\n For the last quarter, Oracle reported total revenue of $16.06bn, below with analysts\u2019 average estimate of $16.21bn.<\/p>\n And looking ahead, Oracle said that adjusted profit for the current fiscal third quarter would be $1.64 to $1.68 per share, below analyst estimates of $1.72 per share, according to LSEG data. Oracle\u2019s third-quarter revenue growth forecast of between 16% and 18% also missed analyst estimates of 19.4% growth to $16.87 billion,<\/p>\n The initial response was brutal, with Oracle\u2019s shares sliding by 11.5% in after hours trading on Wall Street.<\/p>\n Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, explains why:<\/p>\n The company continued to burn cash last quarter: its free cash flow reached a negative $10 billion. To make matters worse, the company said that it expects capex to reach about $50 billion in the fiscal year ending May 2026 \u2013 $15 billion more than its September forecast \u2013 and investments at Oracle are financed by debt: overall, the company has about $106 billion in debt.<\/p>\n Frankly, the report was not dramatically bad, but it came to confirm concerns around heavy AI spending, financed by debt, with an unknown timeline for revenue generation, sending Oracle shares down by more than 11% in after-hours trading.<\/p>\n The agenda<\/p>\n 9am GMT: IEA\u2019s monthly oil market report<\/p>\n 9.50am GMT: Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey speaks at Financial Times Global Boardroom event<\/p>\n 11am GMT: Turkey\u2019s interest rate decision<\/p>\n 1.30pm GMT: US trade data for September<\/p>\n 1.30pm GMT: US initial jobless claims<\/p>\n Share<\/a><\/p>\n Key events<\/p>\n Show key events only<\/p>\n Please turn on JavaScript to use this feature<\/p>\n Oracle price targets cut<\/p>\n Financial analysts have been quick to cut their target price for Oracle\u2019s shares following last night\u2019s results (and the drop in after-hours trading).<\/p>\n According to Reuters, Barclays have cut their target price for Oracle Corp to $310 from $330<\/p>\n Bank of America cut their price objective to $300 from $368, and JP Morgan cut their target price to $230 from $270.<\/p>\n Before releasing its results, Oracle closed at $223.01 last night, before falling to $197.26 in after-hours trading\u2026<\/p>\n Share<\/a><\/p>\n The disappointment over Oracle\u2019s earnings report is rippling through the AI sector.<\/p>\n In Japan, shares in Softbank \u2013 a major AI investor \u2013 have fallen by 7.7%, pulling down the Nikkei 225 stock index.<\/p>\n Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory market analyst Shuutarou Yasuda explains:<\/p>\n \u201cThe Nikkei opened higher to track overnight Wall Street\u2019s rises, but the gains were erased by declines of SoftBank Group.\u201d<\/p>\n \u201cThe earnings of Oracle raised concerns if the data centre project, in which SoftBank Group is involved, would proceed as expected.\u201d<\/p>\n Share<\/a><\/p>\n Overnight risk sentiment is \u201csubdued after weaker revenue and higher capex requirement from Oracle\u201d, reports Mohit Kumar of investment bank Jefferies.<\/p>\n Share<\/a>Introduction: Oracle shares slide as earnings cast doubt over AI profitability<\/p>\n Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.<\/p>\n Fears about the profitability of the AI industry are on the rise again, after results from Oracle failed to impress Wall Street.<\/p>\n Oracle, part of the race to provide huge computing power for AI companies, missed revenue and profit expectations last night. It also reported a jump in spending on AI data centers \u2013 an area where it has already been spending (and borrowing) heavily.<\/p>\n Capital expenditure for the 2026 fiscal year is now expected to be $15bn higher than the $35bn Oracle estimated in September, showing that the cost of constructing the infrastructure for the AI revolution is rising fast\u2026 before many profits show up.<\/p>\n Oracle also booked a one-off $2.7bn pre-tax gain through the sale of its stake in chip designer Ampere Computing.<\/p>\n