{"id":31965,"date":"2025-07-29T21:29:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T21:29:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/31965\/"},"modified":"2025-07-29T21:29:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T21:29:10","slug":"britain-set-for-minor-boost-as-world-economy-growth-forecast-upgraded-despite-trump-tariffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/31965\/","title":{"rendered":"Britain set for minor boost as world economy growth forecast upgraded despite Trump tariffs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 cKWiEj\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 cKWiEj\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 cKWiEj\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p>Your support makes all the difference.Read more<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/global-growth-forecasts-slashed-in-fallout-from-tariffs-imf-warns-b2737321.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The world economy will grow faster than expected<\/a> after the impact of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/donald-trump\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s tariff war waned and imports to the US surged, new projections show. <\/p>\n<p>The British economy could experience a small boost, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgrading its growth predictions by just 0.1 per cent for 2025. Growth is expected to sit at 1.2 per cent this year and 1.4 per cent for 2026, according to the organisation\u2019s latest World Economic Outlook forecasts. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/imf-donald-trump-washington-inflation-european-union-b2737329.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>It came as the IMF said the global economy would be more resilient than it expected in May. Global <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/growth\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">growth<\/a> is set to be 3 per cent this year and 3.1 per cent next year, up from 2.8 per cent and 3 per cent respectively. <\/p>\n<p>Like Britain, Germany and Italy have both had their growth upgraded by 0.1 per cent for 2025. However, both have received no upgrade for 2026. Meanwhile, Canada was handed a marginally bigger upgrade of 0.2 per cent in 2025 and 0.3 per cent in 2026, taking its growth to 1.6 per cent in 2025 and 1.9 per cent in 2026. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/88f4014aa8f110dcb6d8a609b6f5b76bY29udGVudHNlYXJjaGFwaSwxNzUzNTM2ODE3-2.80763599.jpg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Rachel Reeves has been accused of talking down the economy\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/><\/p>\n<p>open image in gallery<\/p>\n<p>Rachel Reeves has been accused of talking down the economy (PA Wire)<\/p>\n<p>The world growth upgrade reflects what the IMF called \u201cfront-loading\u201d, with countries rushing to ship goods to the US to get ahead of Mr Trump\u2019s tariffs. <\/p>\n<p>This has happened as businesses and households tried to prepare for planned increases following Mr Trump\u2019s \u201cliberation day\u201d announcements in April, according to the report.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF said front-loading had \u201cshaped economic activity in the first half of the year\u201d, adding that it was \u201ccreating exposures that could amplify the impact of any potential negative shocks\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>For example, firms could end up having too much stock, therefore pushing down future imports, or it could lead to additional holding costs or the risk of items becoming obsolete.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the growth upgrade since April was also driven by US tariffs being lowered since higher rates were first announced by Mr Trump, alongside improved conditions in the financial markets.<\/p>\n<p>This came after the US struck new trade deals, including one with the UK and, most recently, the EU. However, the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, faces tough questions over why the UK\u2019s growth rate continues to flatline while other economies benefit from the US trade deals.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/BRITAIN-SCOTLAND-US-TRUMP-6cm9tpk8.jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The IMF said trade deals between the US and partners had softened the impact of Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/><\/p>\n<p>open image in gallery<\/p>\n<p>The IMF said trade deals between the US and partners had softened the impact of Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs (AFP\/Getty)<\/p>\n<p>The chancellor has been accused of stalling growth, with critics pointing to her so-called \u201cdoom and gloom\u201d attitude towards the UK economy and last year&#8217;s tax-heavy October Budget.<\/p>\n<p>She has a multi-billion-pound black hole to fill ahead of this autumn\u2019s Budget and is considering a range of potential tax hikes and spending cuts to balance the country\u2019s books. <\/p>\n<p>The Conservatives said that under Labour \u201cgrowth is going nowhere\u201d, adding that the IMF report confirms that. <\/p>\n<p>Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said: \u201cBusiness confidence has collapsed all because of the chancellor\u2019s reckless economic choices.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t tax your way to growth \u2013 we need to back British businesses and workers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYet <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/rachel-reeves\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rachel Reeves<\/a> looks set to do it all over again in the autumn \u2013 yet more taxes, yet more pain for our economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But Ms Reeves said the forecast still points to the UK having the highest growth in the G7. <\/p>\n<p>The chancellor said: \u201cI am determined to unlock Britain&#8217;s full potential, which is why we are investing billions of pounds through our Plan for Change \u2013 in jobs through better city region transport, record funding for affordable homes, as well as backing major projects like Sizewell C to drive economic growth and put more money into people\u2019s pockets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Countries also benefited from the introduction of some higher tariff rates, while others were paused until August, notably between China and the US, helping diffuse escalating trade tensions and open the door to negotiations.<\/p>\n<p>However, the IMF warned that a \u201crebound in effective tariff rates could lead to weaker growth\u201d and weigh on wider sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cElevated uncertainty could start weighing more heavily on activity, also as deadlines for additional tariffs expire without progress on substantial, permanent agreements,\u201d the report said.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the IMF flagged conflict in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/middle-east\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Middle East<\/a> as an issue creating potential risks to global shipping and trade, which could further raise commodity prices like oil.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, the report found that global growth could be lifted if trade negotiations lead to lower tariffs, ease tensions, and create more certainty and predictability.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF also highlighted technological advancements, including the use of artificial intelligence, as a way to further boost growth around the world.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Your support helps us to tell the story From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31966,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,1294,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-31965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31965\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}