{"id":327965,"date":"2025-12-21T10:20:25","date_gmt":"2025-12-21T10:20:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/327965\/"},"modified":"2025-12-21T10:20:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-21T10:20:25","slug":"the-surprising-truth-about-ais-impact-on-jobs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/327965\/","title":{"rendered":"The surprising truth about AI\u2019s impact on jobs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>      New York<br \/>\n        \u00a0\u2014\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagsawu0000356pwt7cm5ig@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Many workers fear artificial intelligence is coming for their jobs, an idea bolstered by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/09\/17\/business\/anthropic-warns-ai-could-soon-replace-jobs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">warnings from AI leaders<\/a> and anecdotes from a recent Federal Reserve report.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjainvaa000b356p9kgis9m7@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Yet new research finds the opposite is true \u2013 at least for now.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjaiolui000j356ppbi5pzwr@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Jobs that are highly exposed to AI automation are growing faster than they did prior to Covid-19 \u2013 even faster than all other occupations, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/corporate.vanguard.com\/content\/dam\/corp\/research\/pdf\/isg_vemo_2026.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Vanguard<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00083b6pdum1tad3@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The findings don\u2019t necessarily signal an all-clear for workers worried about AI disrupting their careers. Some companies have recently reported they\u2019re eliminating some positions because AI can automate entry-level workers\u2019 tasks or make current workers more efficient.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagvwwo0004356p3u4uagqt@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Yet there\u2019s no evidence the technology is doing widespread damage, at least not yet.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00093b6pfywr4295@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cAt a high level, we have not seen evidence that AI-exposed roles are experiencing lower employment,\u201d Adam Schickling, senior economist at Vanguard, told CNN in a phone interview.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000a3b6pkkz14g9u@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The Vanguard analysis focused on roughly 140 occupations it deemed the most vulnerable to getting replaced by AI, including office clerks, typists, HR assistants, law clerks and data scientists.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000b3b6p5bi9kwoj@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            These are jobs with the highest share of working hours performing tasks that AI systems could potentially automate with a high degree of autonomy.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000c3b6paawhjd9s@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            In other words, these are the positions likeliest to shrink as AI explodes.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjakar530000356pdxezx2fz@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            But that\u2019s not happening. Not necessarily because AI isn\u2019t a long-term threat to jobs, but because the tech just isn\u2019t quite good enough yet.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000e3b6pq2auipm8@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            In fact, Vanguard found that employment among the occupations with high AI exposure increased by 1.7% during the post-Covid period of mid-2023 to mid-2025.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000f3b6pzw4e6uys@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            That\u2019s a faster pace for these jobs than the 1% increase during the pre-Covid period (2015 to 2019).\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000g3b6p6yk3m3c9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            By contrast, job growth has slowed for all other occupations, according to Vanguard.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000h3b6pzlbxvoby@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Schickling said he purposely didn\u2019t compare recent job trends with the 2020-2022 period because that was a very unusual time in the job market, making it an inappropriate baseline.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000j3b6plsk1dbeb@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Vanguard found similar results for wages.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000k3b6paam4fcwo@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Occupations with high AI exposure experienced real wage growth (adjusted for inflation) of just 0.1% pre-Covid, according to Vanguard. But that has accelerated to 3.8% in the post-Covid period.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000l3b6prgjwf7e4@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            By comparison, all other occupations less exposed to AI have enjoyed a smaller acceleration in real wage growth, going from 0.5% pre-Covid to 0.7% post-Covid.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000m3b6pqadzyhip@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            This finding is surprising. If AI were really damaging the job market, it should show up by shrinking paychecks.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000n3b6pad8gq4w8@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cWhile AI may have started to change our workflows, its role in explaining the recent slowdown in job growth is overstated,\u201d Vanguard said in the analysis.\n    <\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/c-gettyimages-1331814227.jpg\" alt=\"Some AI leaders have warned of the technology's effects on white-collar jobs, but researchers say mass job losses have not yet come to pass.\" class=\"image_large__dam-img image_large__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image_large__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1600\" width=\"2400\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000p3b6pdm14a8n6@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            All of this data contrasts with the doomsday warnings from some economists and CEOs \u2013 including AI leaders.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000q3b6po2a59ewf@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            In May, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned AI could eliminate half of all entry-level jobs in white-collar professions, spiking the unemployment rate up to 20% in the near future.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000r3b6p0f04s54n@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cIt\u2019s eerie the extent to which the broader public and politicians, legislators, I don\u2019t think, are fully aware of what\u2019s going on,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/nam11.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cnn.com%2F2025%2F05%2F29%2Fbusiness%2Fanthropic-amodei-cnn-anderson-cooper-takeaways&amp;data=05%7C02%7Cdavid.goldman%40cnn.com%7C105a63bd5b354494862008de188f5b17%7C0eb48825e8714459bc72d0ecd68f1f39%7C0%7C0%7C638975201137536832%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=dITvWN1HVuyBr7yy1QoNZSbVXgMMnLdpPydYvBUAm9w%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Amodei told CNN\u2019s Anderson Cooper<\/a>. \u201cWe have to act now. We can\u2019t just sleepwalk into it.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000s3b6p6xygkzs9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Even some Federal Reserve research shows AI is starting to impact the job market.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000t3b6p9y1lalhi@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            For instance, the November Fed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/beigebook202511-summary.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Beige Book<\/a>, a compilation of anecdotes from businesses across the country, said \u201ca few firms noted that artificial intelligence replaced entry-level positions or made existing workers productive enough to curb new hiring.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000u3b6pk7yo4rer@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            By leaning on AI tools and automation, one manufacturer slashed the size of its office staff by 15%, the Cleveland Fed said.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000v3b6pqo9mg450@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cMany contacts noted that even modest deployments of AI would enable them to not refill some jobs or to skip a recruiting class of entry-level workers,\u201d the Philadelphia Fed wrote in the Beige Book.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000x3b6p0sop9fsh@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The Vanguard analysis zoomed in on entry-level workers, a group that has faced an increasingly difficult time finding work in today\u2019s job market.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000y3b6p544z5ct6@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            If AI were disproportionately hurting younger workers, it would show up in Vanguard\u2019s internal data on the 5 million participants in the 401(k) plans the company administers.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts000z3b6p5crs9xhm@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            But Schickling said that\u2019s not the case. The share of workers aged 21 to 25enrolling in Vanguard 401(K)s remains relatively high.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00103b6pdt4apckj@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Some tech leaders have pushed back on the pessimism about AI stealing jobs.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00113b6plrd8c1wc@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Cisco President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/08\/15\/tech\/jobs-ai-artificial-intelligence-cisco\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jeetu Patel told CNN<\/a> in August the \u201cstupidest thing a company can do\u201d in the long run is refusing to hire entry-level workers because of AI.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00123b6pe7ma28ac@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cI reject the nation that humans are going to be obsolete in like five years, that we\u2019re not going to have anything to do and we\u2019re going to be sitting on the beach,\u201d Patel said at Ai4, an AI conference in Las Vegas.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00143b6phx20i44z@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            So why isn\u2019t AI playing a bigger role in today\u2019s soft jobs market?\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00153b6pi17ss8tz@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Schickling said it could be because some AI models still struggle with issues like hallucinations.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00163b6pi48pe86u@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cI am perpetually surprised and amazed with AI\u2019s capabilities \u2013 but also with how wrong these models can be at times,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s clear AI still has limitations.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00173b6pq4pmrcwj@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Of course, the risk is that as AI tools advance at lightning speed, so will the danger to human jobs. Schickling acknowledges there will be some job disruption.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts00193b6pdlclo0mr@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            For instance, Vanguard expects customer service representatives, data scientists, paralegals and other professions to suffer lower demand for human workers due to the technology.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts001a3b6p8ch917d9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Among the occupations most exposed to AI? Economists.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph_elevate\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmjagnfts001b3b6p13ydhy61@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cIf models continue to make exponential improvement, that could be a bigger threat to me personally,\u201d Schickling said.\n    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New York \u00a0\u2014\u00a0 Many workers fear artificial intelligence is coming for their jobs, an idea bolstered by warnings&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":327966,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[554,733,4308,86,56,54,55],"class_list":{"0":"post-327965","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-technology","12":"tag-uk","13":"tag-united-kingdom","14":"tag-unitedkingdom"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=327965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327965\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/327966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=327965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=327965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=327965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}