{"id":351170,"date":"2026-01-04T05:37:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-04T05:37:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/351170\/"},"modified":"2026-01-04T05:37:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T05:37:09","slug":"mayday-mayday-elections-loom-for-labour-will-wes-streeting-pounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/351170\/","title":{"rendered":"Mayday, mayday elections loom for Labour. Will Wes Streeting pounce?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Labour MPs are facing the new year like nervous gamblers at a high-stakes table, unsure whether to stick with the cards they have or draw another in the hope of a better hand.<\/p>\n<p>As the party eyes a potentially devastating set of local elections in May \u2014 particularly in Wales and Scotland \u2014 senior figures are openly questioning whether Sir Keir Starmer can survive.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe problem is the PLP don\u2019t yet know whether they want to stick or twist,\u201d a Labour minister said, capturing the mood of indecision that has gripped the parliamentary Labour Party. \u201cOnly when they make up their mind will those in the running to replace Starmer make a decisive move.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Downing Street had hoped the Christmas break would give the prime minister some breathing space, but MPs\u2019 WhatsApp groups are still full of plotting. Much of it is focused on the growing speculation that Wes Streeting is planning to mount a leadership challenge early in the year. \u201cWes is planning to move in Jan if he doesn\u2019t bottle it,\u201d one excitable Labour MP told colleagues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The theory is that Streeting has the most to gain from an early leadership contest. Waiting until the election results will only help his opponents. Angela Rayner, the former deputy prime minister, will have longer to settle her tax affairs after she was forced to resign in September for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/politics\/article\/angela-rayner-hove-flat-tax-9q8ck50gn\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">underpaying stamp duty on her \u00a3800,000 flat in Hove<\/a>. Andy Burnham, mayor of Greater Manchester, will have more time to find a way back to Westminster.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Allies of Streeting, who was forced to deny in November that he was plotting to oust Starmer, dismiss the claims and insist he is getting on with being health secretary. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Wes Streeting cuts a purple ribbon at St Christopher's Hospice.\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/\/44feb27e-9a48-4f3b-ae69-bf4f479dc26c.jpg\" class=\"responsive-sc-1nnon4d-0 bAbKns\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Wes Streeting<\/p>\n<p>STEFAN ROUSSEAU\/PA<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">And for now, the cabinet and backbenchers appear paralysed by the fear that any move could make a bad situation worse. And the situation is indeed bad. Instead of a rousing agenda-setting speech on the year ahead, Starmer is to begin 2026 with another reset as he tries again to sell his government\u2019s achievements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u201cNo matter how much people dance around the subject and there is talk of yet another reset, or sacking a few people to bring new blood in, everybody knows the problem is a pretty fundamental one: the PM,\u201d a senior Labour figure said.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Keir Starmer and Victoria Starmer carrying holiday gift bags.\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/\/ba00b66d-57c8-41d6-943b-5522247efe24.jpg\" class=\"responsive-sc-1nnon4d-0 bAbKns\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Sir Keir Starmer and his wife Victoria hosted a Christmas party at No 10 last month<\/p>\n<p>CROWN COPYRIGHT<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Inside No 10, the mood is one of \u201cmounting paranoia\u201d, a party insider said. They claim the recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/politics\/article\/keir-starmer-farmers-inheritance-tax-t708wlc0v\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U-turn on the inheritance tax raid on farmers<\/a> came about after a sizable group of rural MPs threatened to table an amendment to the finance bill, which only added to their growing sense of unease about the PM\u2019s future. There is also ominous chatter about the potential for a \u201cstalking horse\u201d to challenge Starmer so that none of the real contenders has to wield the knife. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">No 10 plans to deliver two key messages as it moves towards May. It needs to convince Labour MPs to stick with Starmer \u2014 making the argument of \u201cbetter the devil you know\u201d rather than a leap into a contest without knowing who the victor will be.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The second message is on the cost of living crisis and is for the electorate, which No 10 wants to persuade that Labour has \u201cturned a corner\u201d with a series of policies that will put more money back in their pockets. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">On Monday, Starmer will say his plan to restore economic stability has worked, leading to six interest rate cuts and inflation coming down. He will claim mortgage costs are at the lowest level since the mini-budget in 2022 and will highlight how millions of families will see \u00a3150 off their energy bills in April, as low-paid workers get a \u00a3900 boost from an increase in the national living wage. He will also point to frozen rail fares and prescription charges, the extension of the \u00a33 bus fare cap, and the provision of free breakfast clubs as evidence that his policies are delivering. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/business\/economics\/article\/more-of-the-same-for-the-uk-economy-unless-we-start-spending-hlmhp2dfs\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">David Smith: More of the same for the UK economy \u2014 unless we start spending<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">He will tell families: \u201cThis Labour government is on your side, doing everything we can to ease the cost of living \u2014 and make life better. In 2026 the choices we made will mean more people begin to feel that positive change. This is real change that you will be able to feel day in, day out. Britain is turning the corner and 2026 is the year more people will feel renewal becoming reality. We\u2019ll use every tool we have to help you with the cost of living and make your lives better. That\u2019s my promise to all of you.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">In the first cabinet meeting of the year on Tuesday, he will also tell ministers to go further to tackle household finances. He will say: \u201cI know families across the country are still worried about the cost of living. There will be no let-up in our fight to make life better for them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">No 10 aides have been told to learn from Labour\u2019s Australian sister party. Anthony Albanese came back from behind in the polls to increase his majority in May after focusing on the cost of living. One of the key criticisms of Starmer\u2019s first year among some cabinet ministers is that policies were not being looked at through the \u201clens of the cost of living crisis\u201d \u2014 something Darren Jones, the Cabinet Office minister, has been put in charge of rectifying.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Some within the party are already sceptical about whether the narrative will cut through. This month, energy bills have gone up by 0.2 per cent as the price cap increased, while next month drinks will likely get pricier as alcohol duty rises by 3.66 per cent. April is also likely to be a tough month as council tax, water bills, TV licences and vehicle tax rise, and more people are also dragged into paying a higher rate of tax.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/money\/tax\/article\/the-problem-isnt-higher-taxes-its-who-were-taxing-7mhmtwq5f\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dan Neidle: We are taxing all the wrong people<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Kemi Badenoch, the Conservative leader, said: \u201cKeir Starmer expects gratitude when we know it\u2019s his decisions that have made the cost of living worse. At the same time, working people are paying higher taxes to fund more benefits and more welfare.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Meanwhile, Starmer\u2019s route to May is full of distracting hazards, with backbenchers expected to flex their muscles on several fronts. On Monday, the government is likely to face questions in the Commons over its support of British-Egyptian democracy activist Alaa Abd el-Fattah <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/politics\/article\/boris-johnson-alla-abd-el-fattah-tweets-0mfwnpb58\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">after the emergence of offensive social media posts<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Then there is the decision to be made over the building of a controversial Chinese mega-embassy in London. It is expected to be approved shortly before Starmer\u2019s visit to Beijing this month.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The prime minister\u2019s problems cross domestic portfolios. There is the proposed introduction of legislation to curb jury trials, which has been condemned by lawyers, judges and commentators.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/comment\/columnists\/article\/happy-new-year-same-unhappy-old-keir-starmer-5nghnv0f7\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sonia Sodha: Happy new year \u2014 same unhappy old Keir Starmer<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Meanwhile, the proposed reforms by Bridget Phillipson to support children with special needs, alongside the launch of an NHS puberty-blockers trial, have both triggered a backlash from some parents and Labour MPs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The most politically fraught issue could be the reset of the relationship between the UK and EU after Streeting became the latest cabinet minister to call for a deeper trading arrangement with the bloc. The PM\u2019s chief economics adviser, Minouche Shafik, has previously suggested that a customs union could bring growth to Britain\u2019s economy, while David Lammy, the deputy prime minister, said it was \u201cself-evident\u201d that such a move would boost growth. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"British Justice Secretary David Lammy departs 10 Downing Street.\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/\/29b311c5-14e3-462f-9dd0-0542988f8c8c.jpg\" class=\"responsive-sc-1nnon4d-0 bAbKns\"\/><\/p>\n<p>David Lammy said an improved relationship with the EU would boost growth<\/p>\n<p>ANDY RAIN\/EPA<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The Lib Dems are expected to try to bring forward a binding vote that would place a legal duty on the government to begin negotiations on a customs union. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Sir Ed Davey, the Lib Dem leader, said: \u201cBusinesses are drowning in red tape and families are paying the price for the appalling Brexit deal left by the Conservatives. But so far the Labour government has been far too timid, only tinkering around the edges when it comes to rebuilding our ties with Europe. This year, the prime minister must finally get a grip on the cost of living crisis by negotiating an EU-UK customs union to boost growth and put money back in people\u2019s pockets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">All this sits in the in-tray of a man who has become the most unpopular prime minister in history. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">This weekend, a poll for The Sunday Times by the think tank More in Common projects that Reform would win 381 seats if an election were held tomorrow. According to the analysis, conducted with more than 16,000 voters, this would give Nigel Farage\u2019s party a commanding majority of 115 seats. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Reform is winning not just in coastal Essex and the red wall but in seats covering university towns, market towns, post-industrial cities and commuter suburbs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Labour, which secured a landslide victory in July 2024, is projected to slump to 85 seats \u2014 a loss of 326. Its remaining MPs would be clustered in a handful of urban strongholds: London boroughs like Barking, Battersea and Hackney; university cities such as Cambridge and Oxford East; parts of Merseyside; and a scattering of metropolitan centres.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Traditional heartlands \u2014 Barnsley, Rotherham, Doncaster \u2014 would all fall to Reform. In Wales, Labour would be reduced to six seats, while in Scotland the SNP would reclaim much of its lost ground around Edinburgh and Glasgow. Senior frontbenchers including Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper and Ed Miliband are all forecast to lose their seats.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The Greens are projected to more than double their parliamentary presence, from four to nine seats. The Lib Dems are projected to lose two seats, winning 35 in total.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The Conservatives, while still facing a net loss of 51 seats, may find some solace: for the first time in a year, the number of seats projected has increased on the previous model. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The only glimmer of hope for Labour is tactical voting, which could be the decisive factor in whether Reform UK\u2019s projected landslide becomes reality or is thwarted by a rainbow coalition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">At the recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/politics\/article\/where-it-all-went-wrong-for-labour-in-wales-mqjrq2plc\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Caerphilly by-election<\/a>, significant progressive tactical voting was observed. If one in five voters intending to support Labour, the Greens, or the Liberal Democrats were to vote tactically \u2014 choosing the candidate best placed to defeat Reform in their constituency \u2014 opposition parties could capture an extra 46 seats. If tactical voting reached the levels of Caerphilly, employed by two in five progressive voters, Reform would lose its projected majority entirely.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Luke Tryl, More in Common\u2019s UK director, said: \u201cThe threat of tactical voting, combined with the narrow margin of many of Reform\u2019s projected victories, suggests their momentum may have at least temporarily stalled. That, combined with the fact we are still years from an election, means that despite their success in 2025, the path to the next general election is still far from known.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"last-paragraph\" class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">For now, however, it is the path to the May elections that is rising up in front of Starmer. He can only hope his latest reset will be enough to get his MPs, and some of the public, to stick with him. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Labour MPs are facing the new year like nervous gamblers at a high-stakes table, unsure whether to stick&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":351171,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[59,57,58,50,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-351170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-kingdom","tag-gb","tag-great-britain","tag-greatbritain","tag-news","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/351170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=351170"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/351170\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/351171"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=351170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=351170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=351170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}