{"id":397494,"date":"2026-01-29T21:02:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T21:02:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/397494\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T21:02:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T21:02:08","slug":"what-is-behind-the-extraordinary-rise-in-investment-into-silver-and-gold-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/397494\/","title":{"rendered":"What is behind the extraordinary rise in investment into silver and gold? | Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last year\u2019s extraordinary run in precious metals has only intensified in 2026, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/donaldtrump\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Donald Trump<\/a> has continued to rip up the rules of the global economy.<\/p>\n<p>Gold has been on a tear since last summer, repeatedly breaking records. It has risen by more than a quarter this month and hit a new high of just under $5,595 (\u00a34,060) an ounce on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>It dropped sharply later in the day to $5,250 (\u00a33,810) as speculation swirled about possible US action in Iran, but that remains almost double the price as when Donald Trump\u2019s second term in the White House began a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>Silver, meanwhile, was trading below $30 (\u00a322) an ounce when the president prepared to announce his \u201cliberation day\u201d tariffs last April, but has since almost quadrupled in price, to more than $118 (\u00a386) an ounce, with the most rapid run-up coming in the past month.<\/p>\n<p>Giuseppe Sersale, a strategist at Italy\u2019s Anthilia, said the market had \u201call the hallmarks of a mania\u201d, describing recent price moves as \u201cparabolic\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>So what\u2019s driving the rush? <\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Gold <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/sep\/28\/bullion-bonanza-why-is-gold-hitting-record-highs\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has always been the ultimate \u201csafe haven\u201d<\/a> asset, acting as a store of value in the face of inflation risks or broader economic and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which Trump has provided in spades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The administration\u2019s aggressive policies \u2013 including punitive tariffs on trading partners, threats to annex or bomb other countries such as Greenland and Iran and increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve to make it cut interest rates, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/jan\/11\/justice-department-opens-investigation-into-federal-reserve-as-trump-ramps-up-campaign-against-central-bank\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">launching a criminal case<\/a> against the central bank\u2019s chair, Jerome Powell \u2013 have sent investors scurrying for the precious metal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Trump resumed his onslaught on Powell after the Fed\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/jan\/28\/federal-reserve-holds-rates-powell-trump\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">latest decision to hold rates on Wednesday<\/a>, posting on social media: \u201cEven this moron admits that inflation is no longer a problem.\u201d However, analysts warn tampering with the Fed\u2019s independence <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/jan\/12\/trump-fed-us-central-bank-risks-70s-style-inflation-economy\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">risks further stoking price rises<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Daniela Hathorn, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, summed the situation up: \u201cGold and silver are reflecting more than short-term market stress; they are signalling a re-pricing of trust. Trust in currencies, in institutions, and in the stability of the post-cold war economic order.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The idea here is that even if US inflation were to get out of control, undermining the value of the dollar (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/oct\/09\/the-debasement-trade-is-this-whats-driving-gold-bitcoin-and-shares-to-record-highs\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an idea known as \u201cdebasement\u201d<\/a>), gold would hold its value. However, the same argument applies to cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, which have not been subject to the same buying spree as precious metals.<\/p>\n<p>What else is going on?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">As the World Gold Council (WGC) pointed out in its quarterly data release this week, another driver has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/jan\/16\/the-dollar-is-losing-credibility-why-central-banks-are-scrambling-for-gold\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">central banks adding to their reserves<\/a>. This trend appears to represent a modest diversification away from the standard reserve asset of treasuries, as US government bonds are known, as Trump\u2019s chaotic approach raises anxiety about the idea of holding billions of dollars in IOUs from Washington.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">However, WGC\u2019s analysis also showed that while \u201ccentral bank buying remained a prominent and additive factor\u201d to global demand, such purchases were actually 21% lower in 2025 than a year earlier, at 863 tonnes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Instead, as in many booms and bubbles, a significant part of the recent uptick appears to represent retail investors \u2013 either buying into the \u201csafe haven\u201d trade amid catastrophic headlines or just seeing the price spike and piling in.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Louise Street, a senior market analyst at WGC, said that last year \u201cconsumers and investors alike bought and held gold in an environment where economic and geopolitical risks have become the new normal\u201d, adding: \u201cInvestment demand stole the show as investors raced to access gold through all available routes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">In the UK, the Royal Mint website urges retail consumers to \u201ctake the first step towards fortifying your financial future with the timeless allure of gold\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The silver price appears to have been caught up in the same speculative frenzy as gold in recent weeks \u2013 perhaps because its lower price makes it more approachable as an asset class.<\/p>\n<p>What about the dollar?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Concerns about Fed independence and the broader stability of US policymaking are not just fuelling precious metals, but also seem to have been putting downward pressure on the dollar, which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/jan\/28\/us-dollar-sinks-lowest-level-four-years\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has been on the slide in the past week or so<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The euro broke through $1.20 (\u00a30.90) on Tuesday before falling back modestly, while \u00a31 was worth $1.38 on Thursday, up almost five cents in a fortnight. As Eszter G\u00e1rgy\u00e1n of UniCredit put it in a research note: \u201cThe dollar has come under renewed depreciation pressure since mid-January, as geopolitical risks, rising trade tensions and concerns regarding Fed independence have resurfaced.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The Trump administration has sometimes seemed conflicted about whether it wants to see a weaker dollar \u2013 to aid the president\u2019s endeavour of narrowing the trade deficit \u2013 or a stronger currency, as a symbol of economic power. The greenback fell to a four-year low against a basket of other currencies on Wednesday, after the president shrugged off the currency\u2019s weakness, saying: \u201cNo, I think it\u2019s great.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">But his Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, asked later about rumours there could be coordinated central bank action to prop up the wobbling Japanese yen, insisted: \u201cWe don\u2019t comment, other than to say we have a strong dollar policy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Rapid market moves in Japan, with government bond yields up sharply as investors bet on a spending splurge after the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/jan\/19\/japan-snap-election-sanae-takaichi-ldp\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">upcoming snap election<\/a>, are complicating the picture.<\/p>\n<p>If investors are cooling on the US, why haven\u2019t share prices tanked?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Far from tanking, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/dec\/31\/wall-street-stock-markets\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US stocks have performed strongly over the past 12 months<\/a>, driven disproportionately by the \u201cmagnificent seven\u201d tech companies, whose revenues have been soaring on the back of the AI boom. Including dividends, the S&amp;P 500 was up 17.9% in 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">While many analysts, and a fair few tech bosses, fret that current elevated share prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/oct\/08\/bank-of-england-warns-of-growing-risk-that-ai-bubble-could-burst\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">may be a bubble<\/a>, investors appear to believe that, as Chuck Prince, then chief executive of ill-fated bank Citigroup put it back in 2007, \u201cas long as the music is playing, you\u2019ve got to get up and dance\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">And they are likely to have been buoyed up by hopes of fresh interest rate cuts in the coming months, if US inflation remains under control.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Similarly, unlike a year ago when there was a brief sell-off in treasuries, the \u201csell America\u201d narrative does not seem to have extended to bond markets \u2013\u00a0yet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Last year\u2019s extraordinary run in precious metals has only intensified in 2026, as Donald Trump has continued to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":397495,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[49,50,51,47,52,48],"class_list":{"0":"post-397494","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-top-news","11":"tag-top-stories","12":"tag-topnews","13":"tag-topstories"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397494","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=397494"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397494\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/397495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=397494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=397494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=397494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}