{"id":401230,"date":"2026-01-31T21:05:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-31T21:05:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/401230\/"},"modified":"2026-01-31T21:05:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T21:05:10","slug":"reform-smashes-labour-with-12-point-poll-lead-conservatives-plummet-politics-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/401230\/","title":{"rendered":"Reform smashes Labour with 12-point poll lead \u2013 Conservatives plummet | Politics | News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/news\/politics\/2165009\/tory-red-wall-superstar-nigel-farage\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rampaging Reform have stormed<\/a> to a 12-point lead over Labour, a new poll suggests. Nigel Farage&#8217;s light blue army, with ranks recently swelled by defecting sitting and former Tory MPs, are also surging ahead of their dark blue right-of-centre rivals the Conservatives by 15 points.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The polling will make grim reading for both Labour and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/latest\/conservative-party\" data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|AutoLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Conservatives<\/a>, with Sir <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/latest\/keir-starmer\" data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|AutoLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Keir Starmer<\/a> rumoured to be fighting off a leadership challenge and Kemi Badenoch still reeling from the high-profile defection of her Shadow Cabinet minister Robert Jenrick.<\/p>\n<p><a data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/news\/politics\/2164425\/reform-uk-robert-jenrick-tories\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">According to the new survey,<\/a> carried out for The i Paper by BMG, the Greens are also strengthening their vote share with 13% saying they would vote for the environmental outfit. The Lib Dems scored slightly worse, with 11% saying they would back Sir Ed Davey&#8217;s party.<\/p>\n<p>Jack Curry, pollster at BMG, <a data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|Link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/reform-12-point-poll-lead-labour-tory-falls-4204122?srsltid=AfmBOopHFEZ9SiH5FOHtK8xD97oa5wzTyNUAeiBoUVX9LdtmOR1lTnuZ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">told The i Paper <\/a>the polling results showed an &#8220;increasingly fractured&#8221; political landscape.<\/p>\n<p data-mce-linkchecker-status=\"valid\">\u201cIf this played out in a general election, Reform would be on course not just to emerge as the largest party but to secure a working majority, while no other party would even reach triple-digit seat totals,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p data-mce-linkchecker-status=\"valid\">Mr Curry added that the results seemed to reflect intensifying &#8220;disillusionment&#8221; with the two traditional Westminster parties.<\/p>\n<p data-mce-linkchecker-status=\"valid\">BMG surveyed 1,513 British adults between January 28 and 29 to ask their voting intentions.<\/p>\n<p>In Scotland, Reform UK has also opened up a clear lead over Scottish Labour for second place ahead of May&#8217;s Holyrood election, a new poll suggests. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/latest\/nigel-farage\" data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|AutoLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nigel Farage<\/a>&#8216;s party &#8211; led north of the border by former Tory peer Malcolm Offord &#8211; has a five-point lead over Labour in the YouGov poll published on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The polling body spoke to 1,113 people in Scotland between January 8 and 14. Reform boasted 20% support in both the constituency and regional vote, compared to 15% for Labour.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/latest\/snp\" data-link-tracking=\"InArticle|AutoLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SNP<\/a> remained well in front of the pack in the poll, on 34% and 29% respectively.<\/p>\n<p>But that represents a substantial drop from the 48% and 40% support it enjoyed in the last Holyrood election in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, the Conservatives sunk to 10% support in constituencies and 11% in the regional list, according to Thursday&#8217;s poll.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rampaging Reform have stormed to a 12-point lead over Labour, a new poll suggests. Nigel Farage&#8217;s light blue&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":401231,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[59,57,58,2053,50,633,150030,70,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-401230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-kingdom","tag-gb","tag-great-britain","tag-greatbritain","tag-labour-party","tag-news","tag-nigel-farage","tag-political-defections","tag-reform-uk","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/401230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=401230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/401230\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/401231"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=401230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=401230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=401230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}