{"id":431992,"date":"2026-02-18T08:58:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/431992\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T08:58:07","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:58:07","slug":"interest-rate-cut-even-more-likely-next-month-as-inflation-falls-money-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/431992\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest rate cut even more likely next month as inflation falls | Money News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rate at which prices are increasing has fallen significantly, official figures have shown, making an interest rate cut next month even more likely.<\/p>\n<p>Data from the Office for National Statistics says the consumer price index (CPI) measure of inflation dropped to 3% in the year to January.<\/p>\n<p>Not since March last year has inflation been this low.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/money-live-personal-finance-tips-consumer-sky-news-latest-13040934\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Money blog: Big drop in inflation announced &#8211; follow live<\/a><\/p>\n<p>It means things are still becoming more expensive, just at a slower pace than before.<\/p>\n<p>But it also increases the odds of an interest rate cut in March.<\/p>\n<p>Now, traders think there&#8217;s an 81% chance of a drop to 3.5% next month.<\/p>\n<p>A second cut, bringing interest rates to 3.25%, is anticipated in September.<\/p>\n<p>The pace at which prices are rising is closely watched by the interest-rate setters at the Bank of England.<\/p>\n<p>Even before today&#8217;s inflation data release, traders were betting on a cut after <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/unemployment-hits-highest-rate-in-nearly-5-years-13508415\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">jobs data<\/a> on Tuesday showed employment was at a near five-year high and wasge increases were falling.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank adjusts the interest rate based on how close the UK is to its 2% inflation target.<\/p>\n<p>That base interest rate affects how much you get for your savings, how high your mortgage rate is, and how expensive it is to pay back some student loans.<\/p>\n<p>When will the next interest rate cut be?<\/p>\n<p>Not everyone thinks a March rate cut is a given.<\/p>\n<p>Big Four accounting company PWC said it&#8217;s &#8220;not guaranteed&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>A spring interest rate cut is seen as a given according to the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW) though &#8220;a lingering question&#8221; is whether to go in March or April.<\/p>\n<p>How many cuts?<\/p>\n<p>And the idea of a second cut at all is &#8220;far from certain&#8221; due to stubbornly high inflation in the biggest part of the UK economy, according to economic research firm Pantheon Macroeconomics.<\/p>\n<p>While services inflation slowed to 4.4%, it was less of a slowdown than the Bank and economists polled by Reuters had forecast.<\/p>\n<p>A third interest rate cut, however, is being considered by tax consultants RSM, though that would only happen if the jobs market worsens.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A third rate cut is a downside risk rather than the base case at the moment&#8221;, said RSM&#8217;s chief economist Thomas Pugh.<\/p>\n<p>     <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/download-app\" target=\"blank\" data-tracking-label=\"ui-app-promo-download-link\" class=\"ui-app-promo sdc-article-widget\" data-type=\"\" data-component-name=\"ui-app-promo\" data-testid=\"app-promo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><\/p>\n<p>    <\/a><\/p>\n<p>This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly.<\/p>\n<p>Please refresh the page for the latest version.<\/p>\n<p>You can receive breaking news alerts on a smartphone or tablet via the <a href=\"https:\/\/qrcode.skynews.com\/skynews\/appdownload\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sky News app<\/a>. You can also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whatsapp.com\/channel\/0029Va868Fv8vd1UsF99tP1u\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">follow us on WhatsApp<\/a> and subscribe to our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/skynews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube channel<\/a> to keep up with the latest news.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The rate at which prices are increasing has fallen significantly, official figures have shown, making an interest rate&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":431993,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,1294,56,54,55],"class_list":{"0":"post-431992","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom","12":"tag-unitedkingdom"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=431992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431992\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/431993"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=431992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=431992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=431992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}