{"id":440661,"date":"2026-02-23T04:15:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T04:15:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/440661\/"},"modified":"2026-02-23T04:15:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T04:15:08","slug":"chalamet-upset-penn-and-mosaku-shifts-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/440661\/","title":{"rendered":"Chalamet Upset, Penn and Mosaku Shifts Race"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n\tFractured, unpredictable and thrilling chaos are defining this awards season after a wild night at the 79th BAFTA Awards<\/a>, with the race now barreling into the final stretch before Oscar voting opens Thursday, Feb. 26.<\/p>\n

\n\tPaul Thomas Anderson\u2019s \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d was the night\u2019s dominant force, winning six BAFTAs: best film, director, adapted screenplay, supporting actor (Sean Penn<\/a>), cinematography and editing.<\/p>\n

\n\tFor Oscar watchers, the technical trophies matter as much as the headline prizes. Winning for the artisans brings crucial momentum. \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d leaves BAFTA positioned as a below-the-line viability and still a clear best picture frontrunner. But if anyone hoped for a night of tidy answers, BAFTA offered the opposite with a loud reshuffle that may have clarified one thing and destabilized nearly everything else.<\/p>\n

\n\tEnter \u201cSinners<\/a>\u201d from Ryan Coogler. His film won three BAFTAs \u2014 original screenplay, supporting actress for Wunmi Mosaku and original score \u2014 with Coogler\u2019s screenplay win carrying historic weight as the first Black winner<\/a> in BAFTA\u2019s original screenplay category. The moment land became a milestone, the campaign accelerated.<\/p>\n

\n\tThe win also sharpens the Oscar math.<\/p>\n

\n\tOnly one Black screenwriter has ever won for original screenplay at the Oscars<\/a> (Jordan Peele for \u201cGet Out,\u201d 2017). Coogler\u2019s BAFTA trophy strengthens his Oscar prospects against a crowded field. However, and just as important, \u201cSinners\u201d showed more above-the-line vitality where it needed oxygen most, with Mosaku\u2019s supporting actress win adding real heat to the campaign.<\/p>\n

\n\tSo if you\u2019re keeping score \u2014 \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d needed to prove below-the-line love (which it did), and \u201cSinners\u201d needed to prove more above-the-line love (which it did). Obviously, \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d taking best film and director, after sweeping major critics awards and the DGA leaves many believing it\u2019s over. But if you do your Oscar homework, you know that\u2019s never the case. We have the PGA Awards and the Actor Awards (formerly SAG Awards) happening this upcoming week, all amid final Oscar voting. There\u2019s room for more shifts to happen in the coming days.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tCourtesy Everett Collection<\/p>\n

\n\tAnother significant upset came later in the BAFTA evening when Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet lost the leading actor award to Robert Aramayo for his performance in Kirk Jones\u2019 Tourette\u2019s drama \u201cI Swear.\u201d Aramayo also won the EE Rising Star Award, the only honor voted on by the public. Interestingly, Aramayo and \u201cI Swear\u201d have different kinds of momentum, which are forward-looking for next year\u2019s Oscars. The film will be eligible for the 99th Oscars ceremony, with a U.S. release later this year from Sony Pictures Classics.<\/p>\n

\n\tNonetheless, Chalamet arrived as the presumed frontrunner after major victories at CCAs and Globes for Josh Safdie\u2019s sports dramedy. At this stage in the season, a loss like this cannot be read as a mere statistical blip. Rather, it can change the story voters tell themselves when they fill out their ballots. Whether it proves ultimately fatal to the campaign is unknowable. Still, it is absolutely relevant, particularly with final voting around the corner.<\/p>\n

\n\tBut the damage didn\u2019t stop there. \u201cMarty Supreme\u201d left with an especially brutal distinction, going 0 for 11, tying the record for most losses in a single night<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n\tThe SAG Award may now serve as the decisive indicator. Variety has projected for weeks that Ethan Hawke could be the victor in the category for his work as Lorenz Hart in \u201cBlue Moon.\u201d Whoever claims that prize will likely emerge as your Oscar winner. And worth noting: no performer has ever won back-to-back SAG Awards in the same category. Chalamet, who took home the prize last year for \u201cA Complete Unknown,\u201d would make history if he reversed course and won.<\/p>\n

\n\tJessie Buckley won leading actress for \u201cHamnet,\u201d which also won for outstanding British film. The result was broadly anticipated, and the reason is simple, as Buckley\u2019s campaign has looked like the closest thing to a straight line in a season full of detours.<\/p>\n

\n\tThe real circus, though, is the supporting acting races. If BAFTA proved anything, it\u2019s that both are wide open, and not in the polite, pundit-friendly way, but in the genuine chaotic manner. We\u2019ve had three different winners \u2014 for both supporting acting races \u2014 at the Globes, CCA, and BAFTAs so far.<\/p>\n

\n\tThe closest occurrence of something like this happening was in 2004. Globes went to Clive Owen and Natalie Portman for \u201cCloser\u201d (who both missed SAG noms). CCA went to the \u201cSideways\u201d duo, Thomas Haden Church and Virginia Madsen, and SAG went to eventual Oscar winner Morgan Freeman from \u201cMillion Dollar Baby\u201d and Cate Blanchett from \u201cThe Aviator.\u201d That specific year, the BAFTA Awards were the final say on the season, with Owen and Blanchett taking their prizes. In the end, it was SAG that was ultimately correct with Freeman from the eventual best picture winner, and Blanchett from the presumed \u201crunner-up.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n\tEven though he\u2019s a two-time Oscar winner for \u201cMystic River\u201d (2003) and \u201cMilk\u201d (2008), Penn won his first-ever BAFTA for supporting actor for his villainous turn as Col. Lockjaw in \u201cOne Battle After Another,\u201d adding his name to the already fractured leaderboard. Jacob Elordi holds the Critics Choice prize for \u201cFrankenstein.\u201d Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd took the Golden Globe for \u201cSentimental Value.\u201d Now Penn has a BAFTA. With the Actor Award still pending, this race is starting to resemble a five-sided coin flip. If Benicio del Toro takes the SAG prize, we\u2019ll have four different winners at every televised show, which hasn\u2019t happened since the COVID-era of 2020\u2019s best actress race \u2014 which ended up favoring the BAFTA winner from the eventual best picture winner \u201cNomadland,\u201d Frances McDormand. That leaves surprise Oscar nominee Delroy Lindo, who is still very much on the table for his work in \u201cSinners.\u201d Interestingly, before 2020, another time four different winners won awards at the precursors was the 2000 season, where Frances McDormand won CCA for \u201cAlmost Famous,\u201d before her co-star Kate Hudson took the Golden Globe, followed by SAG with Judi Dench for \u201cChocolat\u201d and BAFTA for Julie Walters in \u201cBilly Elliot.\u201d The eventual Oscar winner was Marcia Gay Harden from \u201cPollock,\u201d who, like Lindo, didn\u2019t land any noms from any of the precursors. Could that be a sign of good things to come for Lindo?<\/p>\n

\n\tSkarsg\u00e5rd\u2019s loss, in particular, lands with force. His turn as film director Gustav Borg in \u201cSentimental Value\u201d (which won a single prize for non-English-language film) had the role and prestige that often come with supporting, even with a SAG snub under his belt. Regina King (\u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk,\u201d 2018) is the last acting winner to do so without a win from either SAG or BAFTA (and she coincidentally didn\u2019t have nominations at either).<\/p>\n

\n\tSupporting actress is no calmer. Teyana Taylor has the Golden Globe for \u201cOne Battle After Another.\u201d Amy Madigan won Critics Choice for \u201cWeapons\u201d but wasn\u2019t nominated at BAFTA. Mosaku now has a BAFTA for \u201cSinners.\u201d None of it adds up to a safe consensus, and that uncertainty is the point. With SAG still to come and no obvious default choice, the industry\u2019s own voting bloc may end up acting as the season\u2019s final referee.<\/p>\n

\n\tBeyond the headline races, the craft categories offered their declarative statements. \u201cFrankenstein\u201d won costume design, makeup and hair, and production design, giving it a firm technical foothold as Oscar voters start locking in their preferences. \u201cSentimental Value\u201d won film not in the English language, but \u201cThe Secret Agent\u201d has Globes and CCA under its belt as well. \u201cMr. Nobody Against Putin\u201d won documentary over the presumed favorite \u201cThe Perfect Neighbor.\u201d In contrast, \u201cZootopia 2\u201d won animated film, without the presence of \u201cKPop Demon Hunters,\u201d which wasn\u2019t eligible to be nominated due to its release. However, EJAE still gave the film a presence just one day after it swept the Annie Awards, taking home 10 statuettes.<\/p>\n

\n\tHeading into the final weeks of awards season, the shape of the battlefield is clearer and messier at the same time. \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d looks like the best picture target everyone else has to hit. Buckley appears to be the closest thing to a near-lock in any acting race. Coogler has the wind at his back in original screenplay. And almost everything else remains in flux. The BAFTAs rarely make the Oscars simpler. This year, they\u2019ve made them electric.<\/p>\n

\n\tFinal Oscar voting will take place from Feb. 26 to March 5. The 98th Oscars will be held March 15 and will air on ABC, hosted by Conan O\u2019Brien. This week\u2019s updated Oscar predictions are below.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u00a9Focus Features\/Courtesy Everett Collection<\/p>\n

\n\tBest Picture: \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Zinzi Coogler, Sev Ohanian and Ryan Coogler<\/p>\n

\n\tDirector: Paul Thomas Anderson, \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)<\/p>\n

\n\tActor: Ethan Hawke, \u201cBlue Moon\u201d (Sony Pictures Classics)<\/p>\n

\n\tActress: Jessie Buckley, \u201cHamnet\u201d (Focus Features)<\/p>\n

\n\tSupporting Actor: Delroy Lindo, \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.)<\/p>\n

\n\tSupporting Actress: Wunmi Mosaku, \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.)<\/p>\n

\n\tOriginal Screenplay: \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Ryan Coogler<\/p>\n

\n\tAdapted Screenplay: \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Paul Thomas Anderson<\/p>\n

\n\tCasting: \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Francine Maisler<\/p>\n

\n\tAnimated Feature: \u201cKPop Demon Hunters\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong<\/p>\n

\n\tProduction Design: \u201cFrankenstein\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Tamara Deverell; Shane Vieau<\/p>\n

\n\tCinematography: \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Michael Bauman<\/p>\n

\n\tCostume Design: \u201cFrankenstein\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Kate Hawley<\/p>\n

\n\tFilm Editing: \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Andy Jurgensen<\/p>\n

\n\tMakeup and Hairstyling: \u201cFrankenstein\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey<\/p>\n

\n\tSound: \u201cF1\u201d (Apple Original Films\/Warner Bros.) \u2014 Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta<\/p>\n

\n\tVisual Effects: \u201cAvatar: Fire and Ash\u201d (20th Century Studios) \u2014 Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett<\/p>\n

\n\tOriginal Score: \u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.) \u2014 Ludwig G\u00f6ransson<\/p>\n

\n\tOriginal Song: \u201cGolden\u201d from \u201cKPop Demon Hunters\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seon and Teddy Park<\/p>\n

\n\tDocumentary Feature: \u201cThe Perfect Neighbor\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Geeta Gandbhir, Alisa Payne, Nikon Kwantu and Sam Bisbee<\/p>\n

\n\tInternational Feature: \u201cSentimental Value\u201d from Norway (Neon) \u2014 dir. Joachim Trier<\/p>\n

\n\tAnimated Short: \u201cThe Girl Who Cried Pearls\u201d (National Film Board of Canada) \u2014 Chris Lavis and Maciek Szczerbowski<\/p>\n

\n\tDocumentary Short: \u201cAll the Empty Rooms\u201d (Netflix) \u2014 Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones<\/p>\n

\n\tLive Action Short: \u201cTwo People Exchanging Saliva\u201d (Canal+\/The New Yorker) \u2014 Alexandre Singh and Natalie Musteata<\/p>\n

\n\tProjected winner leaders (films): \u201cSinners\u201d (6), \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (4); \u201cFrankenstein\u201d (3); \u201cKPop Demon Hunters\u201d (2)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Fractured, unpredictable and thrilling chaos are defining this awards season after a wild night at the 79th BAFTA…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":440662,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[160409,96,59,33357,59907,43542,56,54,55],"class_list":{"0":"post-440661","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-entertainment","8":"tag-awards-circuit-column","9":"tag-entertainment","10":"tag-gb","11":"tag-oscars","12":"tag-sean-penn","13":"tag-sinners","14":"tag-uk","15":"tag-united-kingdom","16":"tag-unitedkingdom"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440661","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440661"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440661\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/440662"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440661"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440661"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440661"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}