{"id":458523,"date":"2026-03-05T07:49:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T07:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/458523\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T07:49:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T07:49:12","slug":"the-tinder-ization-of-the-job-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/458523\/","title":{"rendered":"The Tinder-ization of the job market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!_yt1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9074dcdd-2be2-447a-be49-a2c5710fd644_2048x2042.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/9074dcdd-2be2-447a-be49-a2c5710fd644_2048.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"1452\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/9074dcdd-2be2-447a-be49-a2c5710fd644_2048x2042.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1452,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:4585884,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.theargumentmag.com\/i\/189824870?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9074dcdd-2be2-447a-be49-a2c5710fd644_2048x2042.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a>The ubiquitous use of AI in hiring has made the process miserable for both employers and job seekers.<\/p>\n<p>Is AI going to take everyone\u2019s jobs? A recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/12\/21\/ai-job-cuts-amazon-microsoft-and-more-cite-ai-for-2025-layoffs.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> went viral after claiming there were 55,000 AI-related layoffs in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>On the one hand, this is fairly silly. Fifty-five thousand layoffs is a very small number in a country with a 170 million-person labor force, where monthly layoffs <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/JTSLDL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">regularly exceed 1.5 million<\/a>. In fact, 2025 has had an unusually low layoff rate by historical standards, albeit higher than other recent years.<\/p>\n<p>But on the other hand, there are real concerns about specific subsectors. For example, translators are experiencing real competition from AI, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.understandingai.org\/p\/how-human-translators-are-coping\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">resulting in lower wages<\/a>. A recent <a href=\"https:\/\/digitaleconomy.stanford.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/CanariesintheCoalMine_Nov25.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">paper<\/a> estimated that early-career workers in the most AI-exposed industries have seen a 16% reduction in employment relative to those in the least exposed industries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRelative\u201d is an important word. A 16% relative decrease in payrolls in one sector doesn\u2019t imply that fewer workers are employed overall. It could just as well be the case that AI-exposed sectors reduced payrolls by 8% while nonexposed sectors increased theirs by 8% (or that nonexposed sectors increased them by 16%!).<\/p>\n<p>While recent college graduates have seen a decrease in employment, the timeline does not match the AI rollout, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.employamerica.org\/labor-market-analysis\/dont-blame-ai-for-the-rise-in-recent-graduate-unemployment\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Will Raderman noted<\/a> for Employ America. Similarly, the prime-age employment-to-population ratio (a measure of labor market health that incorporates shifts in labor market participation) has been more or less constant for the last three years.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>So far, we\u2019re not seeing a job apocalypse, where AI wipes out white collar work overnight. If you\u2019re looking for AI\u2019s fingerprints on the economy, the place to look isn\u2019t the unemployment rate, it\u2019s the hiring rate. AI may not have collapsed unemployment, but it has turned <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theargumentmag.com\/p\/ai-broke-job-hunting-i-think-i-have\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">job seeking into a modern dating nightmare<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The ubiquitous use of AI in hiring has made the process miserable for both employers and job seekers.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":458524,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[554,733,4308,86,56,54,55],"class_list":{"0":"post-458523","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-technology","12":"tag-uk","13":"tag-united-kingdom","14":"tag-unitedkingdom"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=458523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/458523\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/458524"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=458523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=458523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=458523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}