{"id":498428,"date":"2026-03-27T14:41:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T14:41:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/498428\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T14:41:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T14:41:12","slug":"markets-ability-to-forecast-world-in-question","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/498428\/","title":{"rendered":"Market&#8217;s ability to forecast world in question"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/108281849-2ED3-ETF-SEG-1-032326.jpg\" alt=\"Is the market&#x2019;s &#x2018;crystal ball&#x2019; broken? Experts on what current market signs are indicating\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Investors may want to take a step back as stocks swing amid rising geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n<p>DBi&#8217;s Andrew Beer suggests the market&#8217;s crystal ball is broken.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s not normal for big markets to move as much as they are right now,&#8221; the firm&#8217;s managing member told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/etf-edge\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ETF Edge<\/a>&#8221; this week. &#8220;Something is deeply wrong in the market&#8217;s ability to forecast the state of the world&#8230; The only thing we can all do as investors is: This is the moment to plan and to prepare for the worst. You hope for the best.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Beer, who has spent more than three decades in the hedge fund industry, thinks it&#8217;s remarkable the number of stresses on the financial system over the past 12 to18 months hasn&#8217;t caused things to spin out of control.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You just you have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/05\/iran-war-and-stocks-global-x-says-double-down-on-emerging-markets.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">more geopolitical risks<\/a> stacked on top of each other today [and] more economic risk factors than I remember at any time in my career,&#8221; he added. <\/p>\n<p>Beer urges investors to ask themselves how they would act if a 2008 or 2022 market downturn happens again. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These financial assets are, they&#8217;re an investment, but they&#8217;re also what you need to survive, to live on, to retire, and so it&#8217;s the very real human side of it that I hope people will focus on,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>According to Beer, investing like it&#8217;s 2025 could turn into regret.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The best thing to do in 2025 was just turn off your computer beginning of the year and come back at the end of the year, and you&#8217;ve made money, your stocks and your bonds and everything else,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It won&#8217;t continue like that. We will go through a more difficult period.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Recent moves in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@GC.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gold,<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@SI.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">silver<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/BTC.CM=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bitcoin<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@CL.1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">crude oil<\/a> underscore how difficult it has become for investors to calibrate portfolios, especially as sharp reversals unfold over short periods of time, according to Beer. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;No one has a playbook for that,&#8221; said Beer, who is also watching for signs of strain in private credit, insurance company portfolios and other corners of the market where unusual stress could begin to spread.<\/p>\n<p>NovaDius Wealth Management&#8217;s Nate Geraci highlighted exchange-traded funds that are designed to offer portfolio protection \u2014 particularly managed futures ETFs.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is absolutely something that is a longer-term allocation, and I almost view it as portfolio insurance,&#8221; the firm&#8217;s president said in the same interview. &#8220;You want that insurance when something goes bad in the market, and maybe that&#8217;s stocks and bonds going down together.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Investors may want to take a step back as stocks swing amid rising geopolitical tensions. DBi&#8217;s Andrew Beer&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":498429,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[166870,164018,166871,41130,5759,6146,7857,4117,84,273,15313,1294,1344,16345,175308,46803,161034,8962,175309,4948,585,166868,175311,166869,158687,467,20987,13335,175307,60714,132876,175310,4118,4797,56,54,158686,55,7181,72999],"class_list":["post-498428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-gc26j","tag-lco26q","tag-si26k","tag-asset-management","tag-bitcoin-usd-coin-metrics","tag-breaking-news-economy","tag-breaking-news-investing","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-economy","tag-energy","tag-exchange-traded-funds","tag-fidelity-managed-futures-etf","tag-gold-comex-dec25","tag-grayscale-bitcoin-trust-etf","tag-hedge-funds","tag-imgp-dbi-managed-futures-strategy-etf","tag-investment-strategy","tag-iran","tag-ishares-gold-trust","tag-ishares-msci-usa-min-vol-factor-etf","tag-ishares-silver-trust","tag-lp","tag-markets","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-personal-investing","tag-precious-metal-markets","tag-recessions-and-depressions","tag-silver-comex-sep25","tag-simplify-managed-futures-strategy-etf","tag-stock-markets","tag-u-s-economy","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-united-states-oil-fund","tag-unitedkingdom","tag-wall-street","tag-wti-crude-sep25"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/498428","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=498428"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/498428\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/498429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=498428"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=498428"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=498428"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}