{"id":570238,"date":"2026-05-07T01:42:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T01:42:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/570238\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T01:42:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T01:42:13","slug":"latest-poll-predicts-outcome-of-london-borough-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/570238\/","title":{"rendered":"Latest poll predicts outcome of London borough elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The latest polls have predicted the outcome of tomorrow\u2019s London borough council elections and there are certainly some eye-catching results.<\/p>\n<p>While, the local elections are a little harder to reliably poll because of its low voter turnout and thousands of seats up for grabs, data can still be presented to give an idea of how people intend on voting.<\/p>\n<p>Local elections are a super important part of manifesting democracy in the UK, having the potential to affect politics on the smallest and largest scales.<\/p>\n<p>More than just politics<\/p>\n<p>Local elections don\u2019t just decide whether your ward and council are red, blue, green, yellow or any other politically symbolic colour, but also have a direct impact on your community.<\/p>\n<p>READ NEXT: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelondoneconomic.com\/politics\/england-may-local-elections-who-should-i-vote-for-405912\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Reform reckon the local elections are a vote to \u2018get Starmer out\u2019 \u2013 they aren\u2019t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Councillors and their councils are responsible for a much larger number of services than people think, and actually are much more heavily involved than MPs often are in their communities.<\/p>\n<p>Depending on the type authority, your\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/understand-how-your-council-works#:~:text=metropolitan%20boroughs-,County%20councils,trading%20standards\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">council is responsible<\/a>\u00a0for everything from education, social services, waste disposal, planning, public security and trading standards \u2013 you know, the stuff that directly affects your everyday life.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778118132_294_image.jpeg\" alt=\"Article image\"\/>Waste disposal is one of a number of services carried out by the council.<\/p>\n<p>This is ultimately why you pay money \u2013 council tax \u2013 to your local authority, because these are the people managing the services where you live.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the importance of these matters, local elections have an incredibly poor turnout rate,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.electoralcommission.org.uk\/research-reports-and-data\/our-reports-and-data-past-elections-and-referendums\/report-may-2025-local-elections-england\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">just 34% in last year\u2019s round.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Compare this to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/commonslibrary.parliament.uk\/general-election-2024-turnout\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">59.7% (still the lowest since 2001) in the last general election<\/a>, and it\u2019s a bleak outlook for local democracy in the UK.<\/p>\n<p>More than just local<\/p>\n<p>While, of course, local elections have a direct impact on where you live, there is also a bigger picture.<\/p>\n<p>Many use the local elections as a chance to protest against the current government, with Reform even arguing in their campaign that a vote for them could \u2018get Starmer out.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Whilst reports continue to swirl over whether a bad night for Labour could see Keir Starmer face a leadership challenge, it\u2019s important to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelondoneconomic.com\/politics\/england-may-local-elections-who-should-i-vote-for-405912\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">remember what you\u2019re actually voting for this week<\/a> \u2013 local government, not national. <\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, both Reform and the Greens look set to benefit massively from the anti-Labour sentiment across the nation.<\/p>\n<p>What do the polls say?<\/p>\n<p>There are around 5,000 seats up for election and about 60 councils projected to change hands,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pollcheck.co.uk\/locals-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">as per Poll Check.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pollcheck.co.uk\/locals-2026\/polls\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">polling organisation<\/a>\u00a0say that when most of the seats up for election this year were last contested, Labour polled at 35%.<\/p>\n<p>This has since dropped to 20%.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest improvers are, of course, Reform UK and the Greens who have skyrocketed in popularity since the general election.<\/p>\n<p>The London polls<\/p>\n<p>Some of the biggest votes will take place in London, where all 32 boroughs are up for election. <\/p>\n<p>Here, Labour could suffer their most damaging results. In a traditional stronghold for the party, they are predicted to lose 380 council seats and control of 13 councils. <\/p>\n<p>At the same time, this could be where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DXeKDyejcmV\/?img_index=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">the Greens have their best night<\/a>. They\u2019re on course to win more than 300 council seats and gain control of their first even London councils in areas such as Hackney, Lewisham and Haringey.<\/p>\n<p>Reform are expected to have success in east London, gaining control of three councils there, whilst the Tories could lose three councils. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Lib Dems\u2019 heartland of south-west London will remain strong. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-06-at-16.39.27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-405917\" style=\"width:955px;height:auto\"\/>The projected political map of London after Thursday\u2019s elections. Councils in stripes are projected no overall control, with the stripe colour showing the largest party (PollCheck)<\/p>\n<p>What about the rest of the country?<\/p>\n<p>If the\u00a0polls\u00a0are to be trusted, Reform UK will be the big winners across England at the 2026 local elections.<\/p>\n<p>Out of the around 5,000 seats up for grabs in this round, Poll Check predicts the most will be won by Reform with 1,477 seats, a gain of 1,408. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Labour are predicted to finish second with 1,116. However, considering they\u2019re defending 2,303 seats, this will be a massive loss of 1,187. <\/p>\n<p>The Greens will make the second-largest gains, with their council seat total rocketing up by 455, from 184 to 639.<\/p>\n<p>The Lib Dems are set for a 121-seat increase up to 828, whilst it will be a bad night for the Tories who look set to lose 563 seats, dropping to just 667.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778118133_10_image.png\" alt=\"Article image\"\/>How the local elections could play out. Credit: Poll Check \/ Adobe Stock.<\/p>\n<p>With Labour\u2019s collapse, a large number look set to become No Overall Control (NOC) while Reform could win as many as 10 councils.<\/p>\n<p>As per Poll Check, Reform are predicted to control of nine councils, while 35 are set to turn NOC.<\/p>\n<p>A large number of others are considered \u2018battleground\u2019 councils where it\u2019s potentially too tight to call.<\/p>\n<p>You can search the predicted results for your council using Poll Check\u2019s website\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pollcheck.co.uk\/locals-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The latest polls have predicted the outcome of tomorrow\u2019s London borough council elections and there are certainly some&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":570239,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[59,57,58,167499,50,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-570238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-kingdom","tag-gb","tag-great-britain","tag-greatbritain","tag-local-elections-2026","tag-news","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=570238"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570238\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/570239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=570238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=570238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=570238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}