{"id":571987,"date":"2026-05-07T23:54:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T23:54:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/571987\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T23:54:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T23:54:30","slug":"eurovision-betting-odds-%f0%9f%87%b5%f0%9f%87%b1-poland-climbs-towards-qualification-%f0%9f%87%ab%f0%9f%87%ae-finlands-status-as-favourite-grows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/571987\/","title":{"rendered":"Eurovision Betting Odds: \ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1 Poland Climbs Towards Qualification, \ud83c\uddeb\ud83c\uddee Finland&#8217;s Status as Favourite Grows"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With first rehearsals for Semi-Final Two complete and the videos for Semi-Final One performances released, we are taking a look at how the betting markets have reacted to the performances.<\/p>\n<p>Semi-Final One<\/p>\n<p>With the release of thirty second snippets of all of the performances in Semi-Final One, Poland has now jumped into the final qualification, climbing seven percentage points in the past three days. Semi-Final One remains a highly competitive show for the last spot in the Semi-Final, with four countries between 9th and 13th covered by 10 percentage points. In contrast, Georgia has fallen out of contention, now sitting nine percentage points away from qualification, the biggest drop of any country in either Semi-Final. <\/p>\n<p>The latest odds according to Eurovision World are (change since May 4):<\/p>\n<p>Finland \u2013 Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen \u2013 \u201cLiekinheitin\u201d \u2013 96% (no change)<br \/>\nGreece \u2013 Akylas \u2013 \u201cFerto\u201d \u2013 96% (+1%)<br \/>\nSweden \u2013 Felicia \u2013 \u201cMy System\u201d \u2013 95% (no change)<br \/>\nIsrael \u2013 Noam Bettan \u2013 \u201cMichelle\u201d \u2013 95% (no change)<br \/>\nMoldova \u2013 Satoshi \u2013 \u201cViva Moldova!\u201d \u2013 89% (+1%)<br \/>\nCroatia \u2013 Lelek \u2013 \u201cAndromeda\u201d \u2013 86% (+3%)<br \/>\nSerbia \u2013 Lavina \u2013 \u201cKraj mene\u201d \u2013 77% (-4%)<br \/>\nLithuania \u2013 Lion Ceecah \u2013 \u201cS\u00f3lo quiero m\u00e1s\u201d \u2013 68% (-3%)<br \/>\nMontenegro \u2013 Tamara \u017divkovi\u0107 \u2013 \u201cNoza Zora\u201d \u2013 57% (-3%)<br \/>\nPoland \u2013 Alicja \u2013 \u201cPrayer\u201d \u2013 50% (+3 places, +7%)<br \/>\nEstonia \u2013 Vanilla Ninja \u2013 \u201cToo Epic to Be True\u201d \u2013 47% (-1 place)<br \/>\nPortugal \u2013 Bandidos do Cante \u2013 \u201cRosa\u201d \u2013 47% (+1%)<br \/>\nGeorgia \u2013 Bzikebi \u2013 \u201cOn Replay\u201d \u2013 41% (-2 places, -6%)<br \/>\nBelgium \u2013 Essyla \u2013 \u201cDancing on the Ice\u201d \u2013 37% (no change)<br \/>\nSan Marino \u2013 Senhit feat. Boy George \u2013 \u201cSuperstar\u201d \u2013 20% (+2%)<\/p>\n<p>Semi-Final Two<\/p>\n<p>Semi-Final Two remains the more stable of the two qualification shows with the betting markets. Albania has drawn slightly further away from the chasing pack, now 21 percentage points ahead of eleventh place. Switzerland is now at its highest positing in the qualification markets, in contrast to Armenia who have fallen back to 13th favourite to secure a place in the final. <\/p>\n<p>The latest odds according to Eurovision World are (change since May 1):<\/p>\n<p>Australia \u2013 Delta Goodrem \u2013 \u201cEclipse\u201d \u2013 94% (+1%)<br \/>\nDenmark \u2013 S\u00f8ren Torpegaard Lund \u2013 \u201cF\u00f8r vi g\u00e5r hjem\u201d \u2013 94% (+1%)<br \/>\nUkraine \u2013 Lel\u00e9ka \u2013 \u201cRidnym\u201d \u2013 92% (no change)<br \/>\nRomania \u2013 Alexandra C\u0103pit\u0103nescu \u2013 \u201cChoke Me\u201d \u2013 88% (+2%)<br \/>\nCyprus \u2013 Antigoni \u2013 \u201cJalla\u201d \u2013 81% (+1%)<br \/>\nBulgaria \u2013 DARA \u2013 \u201cBangaranga\u201d \u2013 78% (-1 place, -1%)<br \/>\nMalta \u2013 Aidan \u2013 \u201cBella\u201d \u2013 79% (+1 place, +2%)<br \/>\nNorway \u2013 Jonas Lovv \u2013 \u201cYa Ya Ya\u201d \u2013 73% (no change)<br \/>\nCzechia \u2013 Daniel Zizika \u2013 \u201cCrossroads\u201d \u2013 70% (-2%)<br \/>\nAlbania \u2013 Alis \u2013 \u201cN\u00e2n\u201d \u2013 68% (+2%)<br \/>\nSwitzerland \u2013 Veronica Fusaro \u2013 \u201cAlice\u201d \u2013 46% (+2 places, +1%)<br \/>\nLatvia \u2013 Atvara \u2013 \u201c\u0112n\u0101\u201d \u2013 45% (-3%)<br \/>\nArmenia \u2013 Sim\u00f3n \u2013 \u201cPaloma rumba\u201d \u2013 43% (-2 places, -5%)<br \/>\nLuxembourg \u2013 Eva Marija \u2013 \u201cMother Nature\u201d \u2013 36% (-1%)<br \/>\nAzerbaijan \u2013 Jiva \u2013 \u201cJust Go\u201d \u2013 11% (+1%)<\/p>\n<p>Odds of Victory<\/p>\n<p>Finland has drawn even further ahead of the chasing pack having gained 5 percentage points since the start of this week. Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has gained 2 percentage points in the past 24 hours following the confirmation that Linda will be allowed to perform the violin live. In contrast, Greece, Australia and France have all dropped percentage likelihood of victory. Sweden is the biggest fall in the top ten, losing three places as momentum builds behind Malta and Romania. <\/p>\n<p>The latest odds according to Eurovision World are (change since May 4):<\/p>\n<p>Finland \u2013 Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen \u2013 \u201cLiekinheitin\u201d \u2013 34.3% (+5.0%)<br \/>\nGreece \u2013 Akylas \u2013 \u201cFerto\u201d \u2013 12.8 % (-3.5%)<br \/>\nDenmark \u2013 S\u00f8ren Torpegaard Lund \u2013 \u201cF\u00f8r vi g\u00e5r hjem\u201d \u2013 11.3% (+1.0%)<br \/>\nFrance \u2013 Monroe \u2013 \u201cRegarde !\u201d \u2013 7.3% (+1 place, -0.5%)<br \/>\nAustralia \u2013 Delta Goodrem \u2013 \u201cEclipse\u201d \u2013 7.0% (-1 place, -1.6%)<br \/>\nIsrael \u2013 Noam Bettan \u2013 \u201cMichelle\u201d \u2013 4.1% (-0.6%)<br \/>\nRomania \u2013 Alexandra C\u0103pit\u0103nescu \u2013 \u201cChoke Me\u201d \u2013 3.1% (+1 place, +0.5%)<br \/>\nMalta \u2013 Aidan \u2013 \u201cBella\u201d \u2013 3.0% (+3 places, +1.3%)<br \/>\nItaly \u2013 Sal Da Vinci \u2013 \u201cPer sempre si\u201d \u2013 2.7% (+0.2%)<br \/>\nSweden \u2013 Felicia \u2013 \u201cMy System\u201d \u2013 2.5% (-3 places, -0.2%)<br \/>\nUkraine \u2013 Lel\u00e9ka \u2013 \u201cRidnym\u201d \u2013 1.6% (-1 place, -0.3%)<br \/>\nCyprus \u2013 Antigoni \u2013 \u201cJalla\u201d \u2013 1.1% (-0.3%)<br \/>\nCroatia \u2013 Lelek \u2013 \u201cAndromeda\u201d \u2013 1.0% (+3 places, +0.2%)<br \/>\nCzechia \u2013 Daniel Zizika \u2013 \u201cCrossroads\u201d \u2013 0.9% (-1 place, -0.1%)<br \/>\nBulgaria \u2013 DARA \u2013 \u201cBangaranga\u201d \u2013 0.8% (-1 place, -0.3%)<br \/>\nMoldova \u2013 Satoshi \u2013 \u201cViva Moldova!\u201d \u2013 1.0% (-1 place, -0.2%)<br \/>\nLuxembourg \u2013 Eva Marija \u2013 \u201cMother Nature\u201d \u2013 0.6% (no change)<br \/>\nNorway \u2013 Jonas Lovv \u2013 \u201cYa Ya Ya\u201d \u2013 0.5% (-0.1%)<br \/>\nUnited Kingdom \u2013 Look Mum No Computer \u2013 \u201cEins, zwei, drei\u201d \u2013 0.5% (-0.1%)<br \/>\nLithuania \u2013 Lion Ceecah \u2013 \u201cS\u00f3lo quiero m\u00e1s\u201d \u2013 0.5% (no change)<br \/>\nAlbania \u2013 Alis \u2013 \u201cN\u00e2n\u201d \u2013 0.4% (+1 place)<br \/>\nGermany \u2013 Sarah Engels \u2013 \u201cFire\u201d \u2013 0.4% (-1 place)<br \/>\nSerbia \u2013 Lavina \u2013 \u201cKraj mene\u201d \u2013 0.3% (+1 place)<br \/>\nLatvia \u2013 Atvara \u2013 \u201c\u0112n\u0101\u201d \u2013 0.4% (-1 place, -0.1%)<br \/>\nArmenia \u2013 Sim\u00f3n \u2013 \u201cPaloma rumba\u201d \u2013 0.3% (no change)<br \/>\nSwitzerland \u2013 Veronica Fusaro \u2013 \u201cAlice\u201d \u2013 0.3% (no change)<br \/>\nPoland \u2013 Alicja \u2013 \u201cPrayer\u201d \u2013 0.2% (no change)<br \/>\nAustria \u2013 Cosm\u00f3 \u2013 \u201cTanzschien\u201d \u2013 0.2% (+2 places)<br \/>\nBelgium \u2013 Essyla \u2013 \u201cDancing on the Ice\u201d \u2013 0.2% (-1 place)<br \/>\nGeorgia \u2013 Bzikebi \u2013 \u201cOn Replay\u201d \u2013 0.2% (-1 place)<br \/>\nPortugal \u2013 Bandidos do Cante \u2013 \u201cRosa\u201d \u2013 0.2% (no change)<br \/>\nSan Marino \u2013 Senhit feat. Boy George \u2013 \u201cSuperstar\u201d \u2013 0.2% (+1 place)<br \/>\nEstonia \u2013 Vanilla Ninja \u2013 \u201cToo Epic to Be True\u201d \u2013 0.2% (-1 place)<br \/>\nMontenegro \u2013 Tamara \u017divkovi\u0107 \u2013 \u201cNoza Zora\u201d \u2013 0.2% (no change)<br \/>\nAzerbaijan \u2013 Jiva \u2013 \u201cJust Go\u201d \u2013 0.2% (no change)<\/p>\n<p>Source: Eurovision World<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With first rehearsals for Semi-Final Two complete and the videos for Semi-Final One performances released, we are taking&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":571988,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[96,391,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-571987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tv","tag-entertainment","tag-tv","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/571987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=571987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/571987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/571988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=571987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=571987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=571987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}