{"id":579250,"date":"2026-05-12T04:25:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T04:25:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/579250\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T04:25:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T04:25:25","slug":"beef-prices-wont-ease-for-years-economists-warn-as-herd-shrinks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/579250\/","title":{"rendered":"Beef prices won&#8217;t ease for years, economists warn as herd shrinks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>NEWYou can now listen to Fox News articles!\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">Beef prices aren\u2019t easing anytime soon and economists warn the pressure could last for years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">That&#8217;s because the U.S. cattle herd has fallen to its smallest size in 75 years, after years of drought, rising feed costs and an aging ranching workforce forced producers to scale back.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The biggest thing has been drought,&#8221; Eric Belasco, head of the agricultural economics department at Montana State University, told Fox News Digital.<\/p>\n<p>Years of dry <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/weather\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">weather<\/a> have wiped out grasslands across the West and Plains, leaving ranchers without enough feed or water to sustain their herds. Many have been forced to sell cattle early, including breeding cows needed to produce the next generation of calves, making it harder to rebuild.<\/p>\n<p>Drought quickly makes it harder and more expensive for ranchers to raise cattle.<\/p>\n<p>As conditions worsen, hay production falls, feed gets more expensive and herd sizes shrink, according to data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kansascityfed.org\/research\/research-working-papers\/drought-and-cattle-implications-for-ranchers-consumers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Kansas City Federal Reserve<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/texas-cattle-country-one-rancher-welcomes-trumps-focus-decades-thin-margins\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">IN TEXAS CATTLE COUNTRY, ONE RANCHER WELCOMES TRUMP\u2019S FOCUS ON DECADES OF THIN MARGINS<\/a><\/p>\n<p> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/cattle-rancher-cows-pasture.png\" alt=\"Rancher inspecting cattle from a truck on a farm\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>The U.S. cattle herd has fallen to its smallest level in 75 years. (Jonne Roriz\/Bloomberg\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>But even when conditions improve, rebuilding the herd takes time.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The fact of the matter is there\u2019s really nothing anybody can do to change this very quickly,&#8221; said Derrell Peel, a professor of agricultural economics at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/us\/us-regions\/southwest\/oklahoma\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Oklahoma<\/a> State University. &#8220;We\u2019re in a tight supply situation that took several years to develop, and it\u2019ll take several years to get out of it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Peel, who specializes in livestock marketing, said it takes roughly two years to bring cattle to market, and several more years to rebuild herds, leaving little room for short-term relief.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/trumps-beef-import-plan-ignores-key-issue-squeezing-american-cattle-ranchers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">TRUMP&#8217;S BEEF IMPORT PLAN IGNORES KEY ISSUE SQUEEZING AMERICAN CATTLE RANCHERS<\/a><\/p>\n<p> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/cattle-rancher-texas.png\" alt=\"Mark Kirkpatrick feeding heifers on his ranch in Post, Texas\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>American cattle ranchers have weathered one setback after another, from market turmoil to extreme weather conditions. (Melina Mara\/The Washington Post\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>And the supply crunch is only part of the story.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. beef industry is also highly concentrated, with four major companies\u2014Tyson, JBS, Cargill and National Beef\u2014processing about 85% of the nation\u2019s grain-fed cattle.<\/p>\n<p>That dominance has drawn scrutiny from regulators, including a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/doj-confirms-antitrust-probe-major-meatpackers-over-beef-price-inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Department of Justice investigation<\/a> into potential antitrust issues and pricing practices in the meatpacking industry.<\/p>\n<p>Critics argue that level of consolidation gives meatpackers significant influence over prices, while industry groups say the market remains competitive.<\/p>\n<p>Higher prices haven\u2019t scared off consumers.<\/p>\n<p>According to U.S. Department of Agriculture data, the average price of beef climbed from about $8.70 per pound in March 2025 to $10.08 a year later, an increase of roughly 16%.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, demand has held up. In 2025, shoppers spent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/cost-american-staple-nearing-record-highs-shoppers-havent-cut-back\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">more than $45 billion on beef<\/a>, buying more than 6.2 billion pounds, according to data from Beef Research, a contractor for the National Cattlemen\u2019s Beef Association.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.onelink.me\/xLDS?pid=AppArticleLink&amp;af_dp=foxnewsaf%3A%2F%2F&amp;af_web_dp=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.foxnews.com%2Fapps-products\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Spending jumped about 12% from a year earlier, while the amount of beef sold rose more than 4%\u2014a sign <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/regulation\/consumers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">consumers<\/a> aren\u2019t just paying more, they\u2019re buying more.<\/p>\n<p>Amanda covers the intersection of business and politics for Fox News Digital.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEWYou can now listen to Fox News articles! Beef prices aren\u2019t easing anytime soon and economists warn the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":579251,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,21489,198093,1294,5587,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-579250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-consumers","tag-drought-disasters-us","tag-economy","tag-montana","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/579251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}