{"id":590580,"date":"2026-05-18T12:53:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T12:53:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/590580\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T12:53:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T12:53:10","slug":"uk-growth-forecast-upgraded-by-imf-but-risks-remain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/590580\/","title":{"rendered":"UK growth forecast upgraded by IMF but &#8216;risks&#8217; remain"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">As the UK imports more energy than it produces domestically, it is more sensitive to rapid rises in global prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">But the IMF suggested the Bank of England does not need to raise interest rates, which are currently at 3.75%, this year in response.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">&#8220;Holding rates for the remainder of the year should be sufficient to bring inflation back to target (2%) by end-2027,&#8221;  it said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The IMF did not address the political turmoil which engulfed the government last week following the poor election results for Labour, but said any &#8220;domestic uncertainty&#8221; could impact growth alongside the Iran conflict.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The upgraded growth forecast was welcomed by Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who said it was &#8220;proof&#8221; that the government has the &#8220;right economic plan&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">&#8220;The choices I have made as chancellor mean our economy is in a stronger position as we deal with the costs of the war in Iran,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Following calls for the Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, to resign last week, Reeves had warned her fellow Labour MPs that &#8220;putting our stability at risk when signs of progress are emerging would leave families and businesses worse off&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The IMF suggested the government&#8217;s commitment to its rules on borrowing and  reducing the deficit &#8211; the amount it borrows in a financial year &#8211; would help protect its financial &#8220;credibility&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Luc Eyraud, the IMF&#8217;s mission chief to the UK, said markets and investors put a premium on predictable government policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">&#8220;Today&#8217;s policymaking is constrained by a more volatile external environment with more frequent and overlapping shocks, a rising public interest bill, in part reflecting market concerns with countries&#8217; elevated debt, and the long-standing challenge of weak productivity growth,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As the UK imports more energy than it produces domestically, it is more sensitive to rapid rises in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":590581,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,1294,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-590580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=590580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590580\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/590581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=590580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=590580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=590580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}