{"id":633937,"date":"2026-06-11T23:49:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T23:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/633937\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T23:49:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T23:49:12","slug":"kevin-warsh-pushes-trimmed-mean-inflation-gauges-amid-highest-cpi-in-three-years-news-and-statistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/633937\/","title":{"rendered":"Kevin Warsh Pushes Trimmed-Mean Inflation Gauges Amid Highest CPI in Three Years &#8211; News and Statistics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tJun 11, 2026\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Last month, inflation climbed to its highest point in three years, according to fresh figures released this week. Yet newly appointed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/store\/branch\/economic_policy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh<\/a> wants the central bank to prioritize alternative metrics.<\/p>\n<p>During his April confirmation hearing, Warsh explained that he favors what are known as trimmed averages, emphasizing his interest in the underlying inflation rate rather than temporary price shifts caused by geopolitical events or changes in beef costs. These trimmed-mean averages are alternative inflation indicators published by regional Fed banks, intended to provide investors and policymakers with a clearer picture of inflation&#8217;s scope and trajectory.<\/p>\n<p>Warsh is set to lead his first policy meeting as chair next week. Investors currently expect the Fed might raise interest rates this year due to an inflation surge linked to the Iran conflict. However, if Warsh persuades his colleagues to consider different inflation measures, the central bank could hold rates steady or even reduce them, potentially risking a more significant increase in prices.<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Federal Reserve Bank produces a trimmed-mean gauge showing annual inflation at 2.3% in April. A comparable estimate from the Cleveland Fed indicates annual inflation of 2.9% in May. By contrast, the May Consumer Price Index stood at 4.2%, while the Producer Price Index, released Thursday and measuring factory-gate inflation, hit a more-than-three-year high of 6.5% in May. The PPI may signal what lies ahead for consumers.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, some trimmed-mean measures have occasionally outperformed CPI and other gauges in forecasting inflation&#8217;s future direction. But some of Warsh&#8217;s colleagues caution that trimmed-mean averages are not currently capturing the real situation. CNN has contacted the Fed for comment.<\/p>\n<p>Certain economists remain unconvinced by Warsh&#8217;s reasoning. Richard de Chazal, a macro analyst at William Blair, noted that while Warsh has expressed support for trimmed mean estimates, inflation is now clearly trending upward.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed already closely tracks core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. The central bank relies on the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index instead of CPI, as it provides a more dynamic and comprehensive view of price changes. Like CPI, the PCE inflation rate has risen since February, reaching 3.8% in April. May PCE data is expected later this month. Warsh argues that officials should go further in filtering out noisy data.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t1. INTRODUCTION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tREPORT DESCRIPTION<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tRESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tDATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tGLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS<\/p>\n<p>\t\t2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">A Quick Overview of Market Performance<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tKEY FINDINGS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMARKET TRENDS <a class=\"px-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/licenses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition<\/a>PRO<\/p>\n<p>\t\t3. MARKET OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tMARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tCONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMARKET FORECAST TO 2035<\/p>\n<p>\t\t4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tBEST-SELLING PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST TRADED PRODUCTS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT<\/p>\n<p>\t\t5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tLOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tTOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP CONSUMING MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tUNSATURATED MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tTOP IMPORTING MARKETS<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMOST PROFITABLE MARKETS<\/p>\n<p>\t\t7. PRODUCTION<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tPRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t8. IMPORTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Import Supplying Countries<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tIMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tIMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tIMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t9. EXPORTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Destinations for Exports<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tEXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tEXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tEXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012\u20132025) AND FORECAST (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\t10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles<\/p>\n<p>                        11. COUNTRY PROFILES<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-secondary fs-6\">The Largest Markets And Their Profiles<\/p>\n<p>                        <a class=\"pe-2 fs-5 mb-2\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indexbox.io\/licenses\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition<\/a><br \/>\n                        PRO<\/p>\n<p>11.1<\/p>\n<p>United States<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.2<\/p>\n<p>China<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.3<\/p>\n<p>Japan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.4<\/p>\n<p>Germany<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.5<\/p>\n<p>United Kingdom<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.6<\/p>\n<p>France<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.7<\/p>\n<p>Brazil<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.8<\/p>\n<p>Italy<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.9<\/p>\n<p>Russian Federation<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.10<\/p>\n<p>India<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.11<\/p>\n<p>Canada<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.12<\/p>\n<p>Australia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.13<\/p>\n<p>Republic of Korea<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.14<\/p>\n<p>Spain<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.15<\/p>\n<p>Mexico<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.16<\/p>\n<p>Indonesia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.17<\/p>\n<p>Netherlands<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.18<\/p>\n<p>Turkey<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.19<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.20<\/p>\n<p>Switzerland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.21<\/p>\n<p>Sweden<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.22<\/p>\n<p>Nigeria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.23<\/p>\n<p>Poland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.24<\/p>\n<p>Belgium<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.25<\/p>\n<p>Argentina<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.26<\/p>\n<p>Norway<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.27<\/p>\n<p>Austria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.28<\/p>\n<p>Thailand<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.29<\/p>\n<p>United Arab Emirates<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.30<\/p>\n<p>Colombia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.31<\/p>\n<p>Denmark<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.32<\/p>\n<p>South Africa<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.33<\/p>\n<p>Malaysia<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.34<\/p>\n<p>Israel<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.35<\/p>\n<p>Singapore<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.36<\/p>\n<p>Egypt<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.37<\/p>\n<p>Philippines<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.38<\/p>\n<p>Finland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.39<\/p>\n<p>Chile<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.40<\/p>\n<p>Ireland<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.41<\/p>\n<p>Pakistan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.42<\/p>\n<p>Greece<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.43<\/p>\n<p>Portugal<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.44<\/p>\n<p>Kazakhstan<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.45<\/p>\n<p>Algeria<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.46<\/p>\n<p>Czech Republic<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.47<\/p>\n<p>Qatar<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.48<\/p>\n<p>Peru<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.49<\/p>\n<p>Romania<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<\/p>\n<p>11.50<\/p>\n<p>Vietnam<\/p>\n<p>Market SizeProductionImportsExports<br \/>\n\t\tLIST OF TABLES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tKey Findings In 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPer Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022\u20132025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n<p>\t\tLIST OF FIGURES<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tMarket Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tConsumption, by Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Volume Forecast to 2035<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Value Forecast to 2035<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Size and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tAverage Per Capita Consumption, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices and Growth, By Product<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction Volume and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tMarket Size and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tPer Capita Consumption<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports and Growth<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, by Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tProduction, In Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tImport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tExport Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012\u20132025) and Forecast (2026\u20132035)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jun 11, 2026 Last month, inflation climbed to its highest point in three years, according to fresh figures&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":633938,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,75057,14171,14268,81360,1294,4168,1431,814,164199,123664,214515,2671,214514,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-633937","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-cleveland-fed","tag-core-inflation","tag-cpi","tag-dallas-fed","tag-economy","tag-federal-reserve","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-iran-war","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-pce","tag-ppi","tag-trimmed-mean-averages","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633937","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=633937"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633937\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/633938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=633937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=633937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=633937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}