{"id":635606,"date":"2026-06-12T22:23:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T22:23:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/635606\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T22:23:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T22:23:15","slug":"inflation-expectations-at-record-high-in-alarm-for-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/635606\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation expectations at record high in alarm for interest rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\tFriday 12 June 2026 1:58 pm\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p><img width=\"742\" height=\"495\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Bank-of-England-on-Threadneedle-Street.jpg\" class=\"media \" alt=\"Bank of England building on Threadneedle Street, London, showcasing its historic architecture and financial significance\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\"  \/>\t\tThe Bank of England has warned  interest rates may be hiked due to inflation.\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflation expectations hit a record high in the second quarter of the year, which could rattle Bank of England policymakers and build the case for an interest rate hike.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank\u2019s joint survey with Ipsos found that, on average, households believe inflation will rise by 3.9 per cent over the next five years.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It was the highest reading for inflation expectations recorded since data collection began in<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/inflation-attitudes-survey\/2026\/may-2026?utm_source=Bank+of+England+updates&amp;utm_campaign=733c2f41fb-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2026_06_12_09_08&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_-733c2f41fb-468456137\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"> early 2009.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflation expectations for the year ahead also rose to four per cent, up from 3.2 per cent in the first quarter of the year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Britons also believe prices have jumped by around five per cent over the last year, up from a previous figure of 4.6 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/is-it-time-to-change-how-we-measure-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">CPI inflation<\/a> in the year to April was 2.8 per cent and next week\u2019s reading for the 12 months to May is expected to show inflation edging towards three per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economists said the survey results showed worse figures than research published by Yougov.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pantheon Macroeconomics analyst Rob Wood said there were also concerns over households\u2019 dissatisfaction with the Bank of England over a failure to keep price growth stable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/reeves-savings-package-to-have-minimal-impact-on-inflation-rise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Reeves\u2019 savings package to have minimal impact on inflation rise<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe inflation expectations survey suggests that the Monetary Policy Committee was far from defeating persistent inflation before the war began, so policy will need to stay somewhat restrictive even without the latest energy price shock,\u201d Wood said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Interest rate hike possible<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Iran war has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/oil-prices-rise-trump-warning-iran-strikes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">dragged<\/a> on as the US and Israel exchanged strikes with the country earlier this week, putting peace negotiations on ice and causing further disruption to trade across the Strait of Hormuz.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">President Trump has most recently claimed that a peace deal could now be back on the table as negotiators would convene but an Iranian leadership spokesman said there was no \u201cfinal conclusion\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Prolonged disruption in trade could pose severe consequences for the UK economy, with one Bank of England scenario suggesting that inflation could race past six per cent and interest rates could be hiked to 5.25 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The European Central Bank hiked interest rates earlier this week to fend off the threat of a spike in inflation threats, taking the area\u2019s deposit rate to 2.25 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank is not expected to hike interest rates next Thursday although some economists have said the prospect of monetary tightening over the summer is still in play.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Suren Thiru, ICAEW\u2019s chief economist, said: \u201cContinued concerns over inflation could mean a further hawkish shift within the committee with another rate-setter joining Huw Pill in backing a rate rise, keeping the door open to a summer interest rate hike.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/ecb-inflation-survey-points-to-sharp-surge-in-prices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">ECB inflation survey points to sharp surge in prices<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\tSimilarly tagged content: <\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tSections\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCategories\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tPeople &amp; Organisations\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Friday 12 June 2026 1:58 pm The Bank of England has warned interest rates may be hiked due&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":532310,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[3490,84,4229,1294,1431,814,10515,50,1254,56,1893,54,55],"class_list":["post-635606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-bank-of-england","tag-business","tag-economics","tag-economy","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy-committee","tag-news","tag-price","tag-uk","tag-uk-economy","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/635606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=635606"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/635606\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/532310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=635606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=635606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=635606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}