{"id":695372,"date":"2026-07-16T19:39:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T19:39:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/695372\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T19:39:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T19:39:11","slug":"bizarre-choice-business-and-labour-puzzle-over-shabana-mahmood-as-future-chancellor-shabana-mahmood","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/695372\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Bizarre choice\u2019: business and Labour puzzle over Shabana Mahmood as future chancellor | Shabana Mahmood"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Andy Burnham last month promised the UK he would bring \u201cgood growth in every postcode and hope in every heart\u201d when he is installed as prime minister. Britain\u2019s industry leaders also have a hope in their hearts: that Burnham will install a pro-business chancellor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The energy secretary, Ed Miliband, was for several weeks seen as the most likely candidate to succeed Rachel Reeves but, after a brutal briefing battle and a backlash from big business, the home secretary, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2026\/jul\/15\/shabana-mahmood-andy-burnham-chancellor\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Shabana Mahmood, appears to have emerged as the frontrunner<\/a>. Now businesses are scrambling to try to work out how she might run the economy if confirmed in the Treasury on Monday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The emergence of Mahmood has reassured some bosses, several of whom privately said they were concerned about Miliband\u2019s reputation as being more left-leaning, as well as his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2026\/jun\/23\/ed-miliband-uk-must-stick-net-zero-targets-deliver-jobs-growth\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">strong backing for Britain\u2019s net zero ambitions<\/a>. Miliband has held firm on the UK\u2019s decarbonisation targets as other countries have rowed back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The targets are seen by climate scientists and the government\u2019s Climate Change Committee as a crucial contribution to preventing damaging global heating but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2026\/jun\/25\/andy-burnham-net-zero-targets\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Burnham has nevertheless come under pressure to ditch them<\/a> by people who claim they hinder job creation and threaten Britain\u2019s struggling industrial base.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cI suspect there is relief,\u201d said a public affairs boss at a large British manufacturer who is in the latter camp. \u201cI can\u2019t see how it would work\u201d with Miliband at the Treasury because of his \u201cpersonal ambitions in terms of net zero\u201d, the boss said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Yet few business leaders have dealt with Mahmood directly because of her lack of experience in any economic or business-facing departments. Mahmood is an \u201cunknown quantity\u201d for businesses, said another insider at a FTSE 250 company.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">One exception to that is the security industry that runs much of the UK\u2019s immigration and justice system. One industry insider described her as a \u201cstraight talker, reads her briefs and well respected by officials\u201d. The sector is hoping that her exposure to the realities of the UK\u2019s security situation might make her more likely than Reeves to increase funding.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A senior lobbyist said that Mahmood \u201cprobably wouldn\u2019t be the worst but I\u2019d like someone who\u2019s more dynamic and more into business\u201d, given the importance of the chancellor in setting the conditions for UK firms. The Home Office has reported no meetings between Mahmood and individual businesses during her tenure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The chancellor should not be chosen \u201cjust to give people jobs and move people around\u201d for Labour\u2019s political management purposes, the lobbyist added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Reeves got into various scraps with business early in her two years as chancellor, most notably over the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/02\/reeves-defends-40bn-tax-increase-in-autumn-budget-as-businesses-prepare-for-nics-hike\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">heavily criticised decision to raise employers\u2019 national insurance contributions<\/a> by \u00a325bn. Business leaders \u2013 keen to avoid a repeat \u2013 have expressed frustration over how to approach Burnham amid hurried preparations for him to replace Starmer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">One senior corporate affairs adviser to FTSE 100 companies said it remained unclear, just days before Burnham\u2019s installation in No 10, who would form the core of Burnham\u2019s backroom team beyond James Purnell, the former Labour cabinet minister and ex-City adviser appointed as his chief of staff.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Those seeking an introduction say there were effectively three separate teams revolving around Burnham: his cadre of advisers as Greater Manchester mayor, the campaign team for the Makerfield byelection, and a discreet group operating behind the scenes planning for him to become prime minister. However, ahead of his elevation to Downing Street the circle around him is shifting and narrowing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Several advisers on economic policy from earlier in the process \u2013 including the former local government minister Miatta Fahnbulleh \u2013 are not expected to remain part of his team. Fahnbulleh could however remain in the frame for a ministerial position. Richard Hughes, the former chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility, is not expected to take a formal position. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2026\/jun\/18\/andy-burnham-top-economists-possible-leadership-run\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jim O\u2019Neill, the former Goldman Sachs chief economist, and Andy Haldane<\/a>, the former Bank of England chief economist, are also unlikely to have formal roles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Some people believe the choice of candidate could still change. Figures close to Miliband warned the elevation of Mahmood would be \u201cdisaster\u201d for Burnham because she lacked a serious background in economic policy and largely did not share his political vision as an MP from the right of the party.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-15\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a>Free newsletter | Every weekday<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Business Today<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1r7my33\">Get set for the working day \u2013 we&#8217;ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/500.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-xiq31o\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-15\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201c[She] would be a disastrous choice,\u201d said one senior Labour figure who had been pushing for Miliband to get the job. \u201cNo economic background or clear ideas on how we turn the economy around. Stakes are too high. Big mistake if this is where it\u2019s headed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Others suggested Mahmood\u2019s appointment had not yet been \u201cfirmed up\u201d and urged Burnham to pick a figure such as Yvette Cooper, the foreign secretary, as a compromise should he overlook Miliband for the role. Several economists and thinktankers in Labour\u2019s orbit also questioned whether Mahmood was aligned with Burnham\u2019s policy priorities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cI would understand Yvette or even Wes. But Shabana is a bizarre choice. She\u2019s more divisive than Ed, presents controversial policy as a fait accompli in contrast to how Andy wants to work, is a natural centraliser, and has no economic credentials or vision \u2013 risking Treasury capture and market credibility.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Yet the pound rallied on reports that Mahmood had beaten Milband to No 11, while government borrowing costs dipped as markets assumed less radical policies or less high levels of borrowing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">One adviser on economic policy close to Burnham said Mahmood could have been picked to send a signal to centrist Labour MPs and those from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2025\/feb\/21\/blue-labour-outraged-left-ostracised-starmer-crisis\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">its \u201cBlue Labour\u201d grouping<\/a>, who are pushing for the party to appeal to traditional working-class voters by taking a hardline stance on immigration while taking a leftwing stance on industrial policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">One disappointed Burnham ally said: \u201cIt\u2019s a litmus test: if you\u2019re serious about rolling back 40 years of neoliberalism and you want someone who\u2019s intellectually in tune with that and capable of doing it, Ed\u2019s your candidate.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">They speculated that the move was driven by fear of setting up an alternative power base in No 11. \u201cHe\u2019s not going to be a supplicant next door,\u201d they said of the current energy secretary.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Andy Burnham last month promised the UK he would bring \u201cgood growth in every postcode and hope in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":695373,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[49,50,51,47,52,48],"class_list":["post-695372","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-headlines","tag-news","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695372","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695372"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695372\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/695373"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695372"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695372"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695372"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}