{"id":731595,"date":"2026-08-08T15:14:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-08T15:14:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/731595\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T15:14:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T15:14:08","slug":"clacton-by-election-poll-tracker-who-is-set-to-win-nigel-farages-seat-as-count-binface-plots-upset-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/731595\/","title":{"rendered":"Clacton by-election poll tracker: Who is set to win Nigel Farage\u2019s seat as Count Binface plots upset?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p>Your support makes all the difference.Read more<\/p>\n<p>One in five people in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/clacton\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Clacton<\/a> would rather vote for Count Binface than in the upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/by-election\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">by-election<\/a> than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/clacton-byelection-polls-nigel-farage-count-binface-b3027994.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">vote for Nigel Farage<\/a>, polls reveal. <\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/survey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">survey<\/a> by Survation for Mandate Research of voters in Clacton suggests<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/george-cottrell-reform-donation-fiona-b3024295.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> Mr Farage<\/a> would win 73 per cent of the vote , while his main <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/count-binface-nigel-farage-clacton-byelection-b3027845.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rival Count Binface<\/a>, could sweep up an estimated 20 per cent of the vote.<\/p>\n<p>In an Ipsos poll asking the general public who they would vote for in a hyperthetical head-to-head, a third (33 per cent) of British adults said they would prefer Count Binface to win the race, while only 21 per cent back the Reform UK leader. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the poll found 32 per cent wouldn\u2019t want either of them to win and 13 per cent didn\u2019t know who they would chose. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Mr Farage initiated the by-election, which will be held on 13 August, in protest against parliamentary scrutiny of his financial affairs and backers.<\/p>\n<p>All the main Westminster parties are boycotting the by-election in Clacton, meaning Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, Green Party and Restore Britain will not be fielding candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Many have dismissed the election as a \u201cstunt\u201d , Yvette Cooper called the move by Farage a \u201cpolitical tantrum\u201d and others said it was a \u201cdistraction\u201d from allegations made about Mr Farage\u2019s financial affairs. <\/p>\n<p>The decision to force a by-election came after questions about a \u00a35m donation Mr Farage received from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne and gifts from a convicted criminal, George Cottrell.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>However, without other mainstream parties, the by-election is filled with numerous independent candidates as well as the satirical candidate Count Binface and actor-turned-politician Laurence Fox &#8211; who could steal 2 per cent of the votes according to a poll by Survation for Mandate Research. <\/p>\n<p>Tendring District Council has confirmed a total of 34 candidates &#8211; a record for any parliamentary contest.<\/p>\n<p>Count Binface \u2013 a satirical character who has pledged to cap the price of croissants at \u00a31, conscript people who play loud music on public transport and build at least one affordable home \u2013 has now emerged as his main competitor.<\/p>\n<p>For Westminster gossip, intrigue and behind-the-scenes insight, sign up for John Rentoul\u2019s Commons Confidential newsletter by becoming an Independent Premium subscriber <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/subscribe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The comedian, who is described as an \u201cindependent space warrior\u201d and wears a bin on his head, has contested a number of elections, including contests against Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak and most recently the by-election in Makerfield, where he received 95 votes.<\/p>\n<p>Labour under Sir Keir Starmer had struggled since they won the 2024 general election to contend with rising support for Reform UK, trailing behind as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/nigel-farage\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nigel Farage<\/a>-led party stormed to victory making sweeping gains at two consecutive local elections.<\/p>\n<p>But since Andy Burnham became prime minister polling shows the two parties are now neck-and-neck.<\/p>\n<p>Data from YouGov shows 22 per cent would vote for Labour, 19 per cent would vote Conservative, meanwhile 23 per cent would vote Reform UK and 13 per cent for Green. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Full list of candidates for the Clacton constituency<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Joseph 77 (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Adham Alkhatip (The Forward Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Count Binface (Count Binface Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Nick The Incredible Flying Brick (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Tony Cane (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Woke Trump Carrzee (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 William Stuart James Clouston (Social Democratic Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Rees Cowne (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Glenn Charles Cummings (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Martin Davies (Freedom Alliance \u2013 Real People, Real Alternative!)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Andy Erlam (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Nigel Farage (Reform UK)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Attieh Fard (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Laurence Fox (The Reclaim Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Tony Francis (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Robin Green (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Abi Hookway (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Howling Laud Hope (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Stephen Richard Ingram (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Amy Morris (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Derrick Norbert Morris (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Michael Noel O\u2019Keeffe (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Martyn OBrien (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Nick Pelas (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Ketankumar Pipaliya (UK VOICE safer and stronger UK)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Daniel Pocock (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 James Ransley (Consensus Party Candidate)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Gerry Smith (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Kai Stephens (British Democrats)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 John Stevens (Rejoin EU)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Baron Von Thunderclap (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Pamela Walford (Independent)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Marcus White (Everyone is God Party)<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Marc Wilkinson (Independent)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Your support helps us to tell the story From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":729248,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[59,57,58,50,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-731595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-kingdom","tag-gb","tag-great-britain","tag-greatbritain","tag-news","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/731595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=731595"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/731595\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/729248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=731595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=731595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=731595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}