{"id":758334,"date":"2026-09-03T02:42:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T02:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/758334\/"},"modified":"2026-09-03T02:42:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T02:42:11","slug":"chinas-falling-emissions-amid-iran-war-spark-hope-of-decarbonisation-watershed-greenhouse-gas-emissions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/758334\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s falling emissions amid Iran war spark hope of decarbonisation watershed | Greenhouse gas emissions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">China\u2019s carbon dioxide emissions fell by 1% after the outbreak of the US-Israeli war on Iran, thanks to a sharp reduction in oil consumption and a steady rise in the use of electric vehicles and public transport, analysis shows.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-fall-in-q2-2026-due-to-plummeting-oil-use\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The report<\/a> reveals the role of clean energy in cushioning the price shocks caused by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/strait-of-hormuz\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">strait of Hormuz<\/a> crisis to the world\u2019s biggest oil importer. It also reinforces hopes that China, which is the world\u2019s biggest greenhouse gas emitter, may be nearing a turning point in decarbonising its economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">China was able to increase overall transportation use, despite cutting oil imports by 32%, according to second-quarter energy data reported by the country\u2019s National Bureau of Statistics and analysed for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Carbon Brief<\/a> by the <a href=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The reduction \u2013 equivalent to about a million barrels a day \u2013 from the world\u2019s biggest petro-customer helped to stabilise global oil prices, which nevertheless surged by about 60% in the weeks and months after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/ng-interactive\/2026\/aug\/28\/how-the-iran-war-unfolded-every-attack-and-oil-price-change-visualised\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the first US airstrikes in late February<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">How that was achieved has been the subject of considerable speculation. The analysis indicates that about two-thirds of the fall in imports came from running down, rather than building up, strategic oil stockpiles. The remaining third was largely covered by a reduction in demand.<\/p>\n<p>Wind turbines on the Yellow Sea coast of Yancheng, China. Photograph: Alex Plavevski\/EPA<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The country\u2019s use of oil fell by 9% overall and by 16% for transport. While large numbers of petrol and diesel vehicles stayed off the roads, there was a surge in journeys by electric cars, buses, trains and trucks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/feb\/05\/china-green-energy-sector-investment-growth\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">electrifying trend<\/a> had begun long before the strait of Hormuz crisis. China is by far the world\u2019s biggest manufacturer, user and exporter of batteries, e-vehicles, wind turbines and solar panels. The disruption of oil supplies from the Gulf has strengthened the economic and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/ng-interactive\/2026\/may\/17\/america-china-energy-oil-renewables\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">strategic imperative<\/a> of reducing petro-dependence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In the first half of 2026, China\u2019s shift towards electric vehicles displaced the equivalent of the UK\u2019s entire oil consumption over a six-month period.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-9\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Down to Earth<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1r7my33\">The planet&#8217;s most important stories. Get all the week&#8217;s environment news &#8211; the good, the bad and the essential<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1788403331_242_500.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-xiq31o\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-9\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Analysts predict much of this demand will not return even if global oil prices fall. \u201cIn a qualitative sense, there\u2019s no question that the transport sector decarbonisation has been accelerated,\u201d said <a href=\"https:\/\/energyandcleanair.org\/author\/laurimyllyvirta\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lauri Myllyvirta<\/a>, the lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. \u201cIt\u2019s a validation of the energy security strategy that China has in place \u2026 It\u2019s very clear that electrification is the winning strategy to insure against these kinds of shocks.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Myllyvirta noted this was the first time <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/nov\/11\/china-co2-emissions-flat-or-falling-for-past-18-months-analysis-finds\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">China\u2019s overall emissions<\/a> had fallen due to a reduction in oil use rather than in coal consumption.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In fact, coal generation rose during the quarter due to shifting economic incentives and delays in adapting the country\u2019s grid, which caused considerable wastage of wind and solar power. Despite this, observers believe the longer-term trend in China is away from fossil fuels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Dr Muyi Yang, a senior analyst at <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ember<\/a>, which will next week publish a separate overview of China\u2019s energy trends, said a fossil fuel peak was coming into view at the provincial and sectoral level. \u201cThe Iran crisis reinforces the case. The way China has been able to absorb its impact strengthens the confidence to go deeper and further.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThe risk of oil-import dependence increasingly comes from the geopolitical domain. This is a risk no country can effectively manage. So the more effective strategy is to reduce that exposure altogether. And China\u2019s experience is demonstrating that this works.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"China\u2019s carbon dioxide emissions fell by 1% after the outbreak of the US-Israeli war on Iran, thanks to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":758335,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[49,50,51,47,52,48],"class_list":["post-758334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-headlines","tag-news","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/758334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=758334"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/758334\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/758335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=758334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=758334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=758334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}