{"id":782190,"date":"2026-09-25T13:26:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T13:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/782190\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T13:26:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T13:26:09","slug":"high-energy-prices-will-make-it-harder-to-avoid-interest-rate-hike-bailey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/782190\/","title":{"rendered":"High energy prices will make it \u2018harder\u2019 to avoid interest rate hike \u2013 Bailey"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The governor of the Bank of England has said high energy prices will make it &#8220;harder&#8221; to maintain interest rates at their current levels and avoid an increase.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Andrew Bailey indicated that the Bank could have to increase interest rates if energy prices &#8220;remain higher&#8221; amid pressure linked to the conflict in the Middle East.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">It comes only a day after a deputy governor at the Bank said a rate hike is looking &#8220;increasingly likely&#8221; if energy prices remain elevated.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Mr Bailey was one of the six-to-three majority who voted to maintain UK interest rates at 3.75% earlier this month.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/dcef846920f1cb10fe414916e3ca7fd862cd833da468f72da19b9f49de7c5918\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fsnappa.ukfinance%2Fa908ffd9a28b754422c6de52bcfc5461.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"A line graph showing UK interest rates to September 2026\" height=\"463\" width=\"640\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> (PA Graphics)           <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">On Friday, he told an audience in Oxford: &#8220;There is no question we are seeing the direct effects of the energy shock, but we are currently seeing subdued pass-through, but it is very early days.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;The longer we go on with high energy prices, the harder it gets.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;We haven&#8217;t increased bank rates but it&#8217;s going to get harder to maintain that stance as energy prices remain higher.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Inflation is widely predicted to keep rising over the coming months as higher energy costs continue to filter through, with households set to witness a roughly 4% rise in the energy price cap from next week.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Bank has predicted that inflation will increase to around 3.7% in the fourth quarter of this year and 4.2% in the first quarter of 2027.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/cdf167fc23bbc0d3db1808d1602919db63c7cad49751680cbcd007faf009b44d\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fsnappa.ukfinance%2Ff96df58dbeef05007784fc945403349f.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Line graph showing UK inflation rate to August 2026\" height=\"483\" width=\"640\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> (PA Graphics)           <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Economists have widely predicted that the central bank is likely to increase interest rates later this year in a bid to help bring inflation down back to the Bank&#8217;s 2% target level.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">On Thursday, Clare Lombardelli, a deputy governor at the Bank, said during a speech in Warsaw that energy price pressure could drive rate-setters to tighten fiscal policy unless there is particular weakness in the economy.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">She said: &#8220;The longer higher energy prices persist, the greater the risk that indirect effects build and that inflation expectations, wage bargaining and price-setting behaviour begin to adjust in response.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;On that basis, policy is increasingly likely to need to tighten if elevated energy prices persist, absent clear evidence of disinflation or weaker activity.&#8221;  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The governor of the Bank of England has said high energy prices will make it &#8220;harder&#8221; to maintain&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":782191,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[41129,84,77273,1294,3682,814,235693,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-782190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-andrew-bailey","tag-business","tag-deputy-governor","tag-economy","tag-energy-prices","tag-interest-rates","tag-the-bank","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/782190","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=782190"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/782190\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/782191"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=782190"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=782190"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=782190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}