{"id":790766,"date":"2026-10-03T15:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T15:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/790766\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T15:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T15:00:12","slug":"what-is-happening-with-diesel-and-should-we-be-worried","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/790766\/","title":{"rendered":"What is happening with diesel \u2013 and should we be worried?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1791039610_589_Independent+Membership+White.png\" alt=\"Independent Membership\" class=\"logo-premium-image\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"body-text\">Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Membership today.<\/p>\n<p>        <a href=\"\/subscribe?regSourceMethod=Bookmarks\" class=\"subscribe-link\" target=\"_parent\">Join today<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"login-copy\">\n      Already a member?<br \/>\n      <a href=\"#\" class=\"login-link login-trigger\" external-event=\"openLogin\">Log in<\/a>\n    <\/p>\n<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p>Your support makes all the difference.Read more<\/p>\n<p>Diesel prices in the UK have reached a record high, according to the RAC, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/home-news\/diesel-fuel-prices-uk-eu-stockpiles-b3060322.html\" title=\"Average UK diesel price hits \u00a32 a litre for first time\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hitting \u00a32 a litre for the first time<\/a> as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/middle-east\/iran-us-war-live-trump-threats-peace-talks-oil-prices-b3059448.html\" title=\"Iran-US war latest: Trump moves 9,000 troops to Middle East after threatening to hit Iran \u2018very hard\u2019\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">war in the Middle East<\/a> continues to drive up the cost of oil worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>The price of a litre in the UK has risen 40.5 per cent since late February, when the US first launched strikes against Iran, while prices are also at a record high in the US, where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/bulletin\/news\/uk-diesel-european-stockpiles-talks-b3060254.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">much of the world\u2019s supply is produced and refined. <\/a><\/p>\n<p>In response to rising costs, G7 leaders have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/diesel-shortage-trump-europe-uk-b3060233.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">agreed to release 100 million barrels<\/a> of diesel within four months.<\/p>\n<p>French President Mr Macron said on Friday that G7 allies would release strategic reserves \u201cup to 100 million barrels, within four months\u201d and \u201ctake no measures to restrict the exchange of energy and petroleum products between partner countries\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Since 2022, the US has become the world\u2019s largest exporter of diesel by a wide margin as the Ukraine conflict has reduced demand for Russian fuel, alongside its ability to refine it.<\/p>\n<p>Around 30 per cent of all cars on the road in the UK are fuelled by diesel, rising to 38 per cent of HGVs. Higher costs to operate these vehicles could have an impact on the cost of goods.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bb638b29106d705086bc4d6ac5c29235Y29udGVudHNlYXJjaGFwaSwxNzkxMDE0NTMx-2.86013447.jpg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Diesel prices continue to reach record highs in the UK\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>Diesel prices continue to reach record highs in the UK (PA Wire)<\/p>\n<p>Dr Jonathan Owens, an operations and supply chain expert at the University of Salford, said: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/diesel\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diesel<\/a> remains critical to the movement of goods. Heavy goods vehicles, distribution fleets, construction equipment and agricultural machinery all depend heavily upon it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAny significant disruption to international diesel supplies can therefore quickly translate into higher transport and operating costs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe relationship is straightforward: higher diesel prices increase transport costs, placing pressure on business margins and ultimately consumer prices. In the end, it is likely to be the consumer who pays,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Why has the price gone up?<\/p>\n<p>The economic consequences of the Trump administration\u2019s decision to launch strikes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/iran\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Iran<\/a> in February have rippled across the globe.<\/p>\n<p>The price of crude oil has skyrocket in the subsequent months, from around $60 a barrel at the start of the year to over $100 at several points.<\/p>\n<p>This is a direct impact of Iran\u2019s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which is the only passage from the Persian Gulf to the open ocean. Around 20 per cent of the world\u2019s gas and oil is shipped through the waterway, with peace talks \u2013 so far unsuccessful \u2013 centred on Iran\u2019s attacks on tankers in the region.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The cost pressures have had a direct impact on the price of diesel, which is refined from crude oil.<\/p>\n<p>Recent analysis by analysts Kpler found that has largely returned to pre-war levels producers have found alternative methods of exporting fuel out of the Middle East. Around 40 per cent of the region\u2019s crude is now bypassing the Strait, analysis shows, compared with just 17 per cent before the war.<\/p>\n<p>However, the flow of refined products like diesel have not seen the same recovery, Kpler found, with shipments remaining at less than 20 per cent of pre-war levels.<\/p>\n<p>What has Donald Trump said?<\/p>\n<p>In light of rising diesel prices, Trump has said that he may call on European countries to rely on their own reserves as he reportedly plans a 90-day ban on US diesel exports.<\/p>\n<p>Asked about the possibility, the US president told reporters: \u201cWe may do that. They have some diesel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In an earlier post on social media, US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, said: \u201cOur European partners should accelerate delivery on their existing commitments and make additional supplies immediately available to address ongoing disruptions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAmerican farmers, truckers, and businesses should not be left carrying the burden of a global diesel shortage. America is doing its part. We look to our allies to match their commitments with action.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Where does Britain\u2019s diesel come from?<\/p>\n<p>Until the invasion of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/ukraine\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ukraine<\/a>, the vast majority of the Britain\u2019s imported diesel came from Russia. Imports from the country have now dropped to zero, with the US and Netherlands taking over as the main suppliers.<\/p>\n<p>Around 31 per cent of Britain\u2019s imported diesel now comes from the US, making up around 17 per cent of its total supply in 2025.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The Netherlands is also the second-largest importer of US diesel, after Mexico. Any blanket export ban made by the US would therefore drive up the price of importing diesel from the Netherlands as well.<\/p>\n<p>The rising cost of diesel is particularly ill-timed for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/uk\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UK<\/a>, which has had much higher domestic refinery in the past. From being almost self-sufficient at the start of the decade, Britain now delivers just 55 per cent of its own diesel.<\/p>\n<p>Do we have enough?<\/p>\n<p>Compared to other nations, the UK has a very low level of diesel stock, at just 42 days of imports as of July 2026. This compares to over a year\u2019s worth in Germany (398 days).<\/p>\n<p>Again, this has seen a substantial decrease over the past few decades. The UK had over 140 days of diesel imports stockpiled in 2008, which has steadily decreased as refineries closed. This is save for a peak to over 100 days during Covid, when demand was exceptionally low.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/01M3Y6Z6147765PJGZJZ6DVMGN.jpg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A Thames Water employee fills his lorry with diesel at 207.9p per litre at a petrol station in London\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>A Thames Water employee fills his lorry with diesel at 207.9p per litre at a petrol station in London (PA)<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, the level of diesel in petrol forecourts appears to have remained steady during the conflict, sitting at around 40 to 50 per cent despite the cost pressure. The latest official data only reaches late June, however, meaning the picture may have changed since.<\/p>\n<p>What should we do?<\/p>\n<p>The prevailing advice from the government is not to panic. Transport minister Keir Mather has said that Britain\u2019s supply of diesel was \u201crobust\u201d and \u201cresilient,\u201d adding that the country had a wide range of sources.<\/p>\n<p>Britain joined crisis talks with Brussels on Thursday to discuss whether to release fuel stocks amid rocketing prices.<\/p>\n<p>Delivering advice to businesses, Dr Owens says that \u201cthe practical response should be preparation rather than panic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOverreacting or unnecessarily stockpiling fuel and goods risks adding further pressure to supply chains and could ultimately feed through to the public through higher prices or reduced availability.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe wider issue is therefore one of supply-chain resilience. Businesses need to understand not only their direct diesel consumption but also their indirect exposure through suppliers, logistics providers, and contractors. Emergency stocks can provide valuable breathing space, but they are a short-term intervention rather than a long-term solution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor the UK, the message is becoming clear: fuel security is increasingly inseparable from supply-chain security.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Membership today.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":790767,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[84,1294,132663,183719,56,54,55],"class_list":["post-790766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-fuel-prices","tag-pa2026","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-unitedkingdom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/790766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=790766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/790766\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/790767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=790766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=790766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=790766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}