Key events<\/p>\n
Drive reindustrialisation from No 10 North or risk failure, MPs tell Burnham<\/p>\n
Andy Burnham\u2019s pledge to reindustrialise Britain is doomed to fail unless it is driven decisively from his new No 10 North<\/a> outpost in Manchester, a group of more than 90 backbench Labour MPs is warning. Heather Stewart has the story.<\/p>\n Share<\/a>Burnham says budget will confirm ‘path’ to higher defence spending<\/p>\n Andy Burnham has said the budget will set out a \u201cpath\u201d to higher defence spending.<\/p>\n The government has signed up to a Nato commitment to raise defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2035. John Healey, the chancellor, has also in the past, when he was defence secretary, stressed the importance of the UK raising defence spending to 3% of GDP by 2030, but that is not a commitment he has firmly promised in his new job because he has not yet identified how that would be funded.<\/p>\n Asked in his ITV interview if Healey would set out the route to 3% by 2030 on Wednesday, Burnham at first just said he would set out \u201cthe path to meet our Nato commitments\u201d. That appeared to be a reference just to the 3.5% target.<\/p>\n But when Burnham was asked if he was referring to both the 3% and the 3.5% targets, Burnham said he was. He said the budget would set out \u201ca plan as to how we think is the right way to do that\u201d.<\/p>\n Burnham also said his priority for this budget has been finding the \u00a35bn a year needed to fund the defence investment plan announced by Keir Starmer before he resigned.<\/p>\n It was not clear from the interview whether Burnham\u2019s reference to a \u201cpath\u201d to higher defence spending meant a detailed fiscal plan, or just a statement of intent. Ministers have already expressed their wish to meet these targets; they just have not committed to the funding plans that would make them happen.<\/p>\n Giving evidence to the Commons defence committee earlier this month, Wes Streeting, the defence secretary, said he had always expected the detailed pathway to 3% to be set out in the spending review next year.<\/a><\/p>\n Share<\/a>Burnham claims welfare cuts proposed by Tories and Reform UK will just lead to ‘more failure and crisis and spending’<\/p>\n Andy Burnham has claimed that the welfare changes he is planning to get more young people into work could over time save a \u201csignificant amount of money\u201d.<\/p>\n Ahead of the budget, the Conservatives<\/a> and Reform UK are both calling for massive cuts in welfare spending, which they say could be used in part to fund more defence investment. At their conference the Tories identified welfare cuts worth \u00a336bn a year, and today Reform UK is saying it would cut welfare spending by \u00a340bn a year.<\/p>\n Burnham has repeatedly rejected what he calls \u201ccrude cuts\u201d. But the government will soon publish recommendations from the Alan Milburn review into Neets (young people not in education, employment or training), and it is expected to recommend more spending on support getting young people into work, offset by some cuts to benefits. Milburn has said this would cost more in the short term, but would save money over time.<\/p>\n In his interview on ITV\u2019s Good Morning Britain, Burnham said:<\/p>\n double quotation markI think a big change is needed here where we move to a situation where the spending is not to sustain people on benefits, but we give people the right support when they need it as they are growing up, coming through their teenage years.<\/p>\n Asked how much this could save, he replied: \u201cA significant amount of money, and that\u2019s what the Milburn review is all about.\u201d<\/p>\n Burnham also said the cuts proposed by the Tories and Reform UK<\/a> would just lead to \u201cmore failure and crisis and spending\u201d. He said:<\/p>\n double quotation markThe opposition parties are out there today saying just make crude cuts to the welfare budget.<\/p>\n I personally think that won\u2019t work, and it isn\u2019t right to do that anyway, because it just leads to more and more failure and crisis and spending that isn\u2019t helpful for anybody.<\/p>\n Andy Burnham on ITV’s Good Morning Britain. Photograph: ITVShare<\/a>Burnham says Shabana Mahmood ‘right’ to want to make settlement for migrant workers ‘right to be earned’<\/p>\n Andy Burnham has said that Shabana Mahmood<\/a> is right to want to make migrant workers wait longer until they can claim indefinite leave to remain (ILR) in the UK.<\/p>\n Under plans announced last year<\/a>, migrant workers would normally have to wait 10 years for ILR, instead of five years as they do now, and care workers would normally have to wait 15 years. Some cabinet ministers have made it clear they believe 15 years is too long.<\/p>\n Asked about the split, Burnham broadly defended the home secretary in his Good Morning Britain interview. He said:<\/p>\n double quotation markWhy has this problem arisen? It\u2019s arisen because if you look back to the early 2020s, people call it the Boriswave, a huge number of people came in seeking permanent settlement on longer-term visas \u2026<\/p>\n And the home secretary is right, in my view, to bring forward changes that are based on the principle that settlement is a right to be earned, not just something that is granted automatically.<\/p>\n Burnham said the final plans would be published soon.<\/p>\n But, when asked if he was sticking to the 15-year element of the plan, Burnham just said that he stood by \u201cthe principle\u201d of what Mahmood was proposing. He also said the government would take into account the results of its consultation on the plans.<\/p>\n In fact, Burnham himself is one of the ministers who have signalled they are unhappy about care workers being singled out for particularly harsh treatment. And Mahmood has already indicated that some aspects of the plan announced last year will be revised in response to objections.<\/p>\n Burnham was not asked for detail on what a compromise might look like.<\/p>\n Share<\/a>Burnham insists there’s ‘no election coming soon’, as 2 polls giving Labour 8-point lead revive early election speculation<\/p>\n In his Good Morning Britain interview, Andy Burnham was twice asked about an early election.<\/p>\n At the start, Susanna Reid asked him if he was softening people up for an early election. Burnham replied:<\/p>\n double quotation markNo, I\u2019ve ruled that out.<\/p>\n Asked if that was absolutely the case, he said it was. He said he had made that clear before the Labour<\/a> conference. He went on:<\/p>\n double quotation markI just don\u2019t think people want another backward-looking squabble. I think they want me to get on with the job.<\/p>\n And, when Reid raised the subject again at the end of the interview, Burnham said:<\/p>\n double quotation markMy mind is not on that [an early election]. I don\u2019t know if that is coming over here, but it genuinely is not on that. There is no election coming anytime soon. People may as well just put that out of their mind.<\/p>\n Reid did not ask specifically about polling, but two polls came out over the weekend both giving Labour an eight-point lead.<\/p>\n This is from<\/a> Ipsos.<\/p>\n double quotation markNEW headline voting intention from Ipsos<\/p>\n \ud83d\udccaLabour on 32% with a lead of +8 \u2013 the largest Labour lead Ipsos have recorded this parliament<\/p>\n \ud83d\udccaConservatives take second place the first time since June 2025<\/p>\n \ud83d\udccaReform UK down 3 points and Greens down 5<\/p>\n Polling. Photograph: Ipsos<\/p>\n And this is from<\/a> Opinium.<\/p>\n double quotation mark\ud83d\udea8Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll<\/p>\n \ud83d\udea8 Labour continues to lead in the polls, 8 points ahead of Reform in second place.<\/p>\n \ud83c\udf39LAB 30% (+1)<\/p>\n \u27a1\ufe0fREF 22% (-2)<\/p>\n \ud83c\udf33CON 20% (n\/c)<\/p>\n \ud83c\udf0dGRN 10% (+1)<\/p>\n \ud83d\udd36LD 9% (n\/c)<\/p>\n Polling. Photograph: Opinium<\/p>\n These polls have attracted a lot of attention in part because they both give Labour a bigger lead than other recent polls. The Politico poll of polls<\/a>, which averages the results of all polls, has Labour just four points ahead of Reform UK in second place. But that has not been updated to take into account the most recent Ipsos and Opinium numbers.<\/p>\n In one pre-conference interview, Burnham said that he would not hold the next election until 2029. But mostly he just rules out an \u201cearly\u201d general election, while leaving it unclear what \u201cearly\u201d means.<\/p>\n At Westminster no one is expecting an election before the end of the year. But the weekend polls have revived speculation about Burnham being tempted to call one in May next year, not least because having the rightwing vote split almost 50\/50 between the Conservatives<\/a> and Reform UK is an ideal backdrop for Labour.<\/p>\n Share<\/a><\/p>\n Updated at\u00a005.32 EDT<\/p>\n Burnham claims debate on revising Brexit could ‘bring people together’, and insists rejoining would be public’s choice, not his<\/p>\n Good morning. Andy Burnham started budget week with an interview on ITV\u2019s Good Morning Britain with Susanna Reid and Richard Madeley. There were plenty of decent lines in it, but some of his most intriguing comments were about Brexit. Yesterday opposition parties (and even in private some Labour MPs<\/a>) were criticising the PM for saying in a Sunday Times interview that he would be willing to consider going into the next election proposing accepting EU free movement rules. This was treated as if it was a novel outrage \u2013 even though at Labour conference Burnham announced that rejoining the EU could end up as the best option to emerge from his proposed renegotiation of the Brexit settlement, which of course would automatically involve accepting free movement.<\/p>\n Neil Kinnock said recently he thought Burnham was determined to take Britain back in the EU, but in his interview this morning Burnham insisted that he was not dogmatic in that way. When Madeley asked him if he saw himself as someone \u201cdestined\u201d to be the PM that would take Britain back in, Burnham replied:<\/p>\n double quotation markHonestly, I don\u2019t.<\/p>\n I see it as my job to be pragmatic about the whole situation. Can I make it work better? Can I add growth to the British economy?<\/p>\n And when Reid asked him bluntly to be honest and say if he wanted the UK to rejoin, Burnham replied:<\/p>\n double quotation markI\u2019ve said \u2013 I\u2019m going to be honest \u2013 in my lifetime I would like to see that happen, but I am not going to move ahead of the public. I am not going to dictate in terms of my own opinions here. You have to make sure that the British public are the bosses here.<\/p>\n When it was put to him that he had broken a promise he made during the Makerfield byelection campaign not to reopen the Brexit<\/a> referendum campaign, Burnham said that was not what he was doing.<\/p>\n He repeated the argument he made in his Labour<\/a> conference speech \u2013 that it was worth revising the relationship with the EU because the current, post-Brexit settlement was not working.<\/p>\n But he also claimed that, rather than being divisive, this new debate could bring people together. Later in the interview, he returned to Brexit unprompted.<\/p>\n double quotation markAnd [to] go back to Brexit, by just talking about it in a more practical way, by being honest about it \u2026 that can start to bring people together who voted in different ways.<\/p>\n The divides that we\u2019ve lived through in the last decade really do need to end, and we need to pull people together \u2026<\/p>\n I\u2019m trying to give the country a direction and there is no way I can do that without coming back to the relationship with Europe and saying, \u2018Look, here are some options as to how we got this right.\u2019<\/p>\n Not for the first time, Burnham categorically ruled out trying to rejoin the EU before the election.<\/p>\n And, on the timing of the election, Burnham also insisted that it would be \u201cno time soon\u201d. He went on:<\/p>\n double quotation markMy mind is not on that [an early election]. I don\u2019t know if that is coming over here, but it genuinely is not on that. There is no election coming anytime soon. People may as well just put that out of their mind.<\/p>\n I will post more from the interview soon.<\/p>\n Here is the agenda for the day.<\/p>\n Morning: Andy Burnham<\/a> is on a visit in London ahead of attending a summit on rough sleeping in Downing Street.<\/p>\n 11.30am: Downing Street holds a lobby briefing.<\/p>\n 2pm: Nigel Farage, the Reform UK<\/a> leader, and Robert Jenrick, his Treasury spokesperson, hold a press conference to present what they call their \u201ceconomic rescue plan\u201d.<\/p>\n