published a separate study Thursday<\/a> that reached a similar conclusion about the AMOC reaching a tipping point this century, entering a decline before shutting down after the year 2100.\u00a0<\/p>\nAccording to this study, the unlikely high-emissions scenario has a 70 percent chance of leading to such an AMOC collapse, while the moderate scenario \u2014\u00a0the 2.7 C increase the planet is on track for at the moment \u2014 sets out a 37 percent chance.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Yet even a low-emissions scenario in line with the 2015 Paris climate accord targets that limit warming to below 2 C, the researchers write, give a 25 percent chance of a shutdown.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201cAs far as current models suggest, we conclude that the risk of a northern AMOC shutdown is greater than previously thought,\u201d Drijfhout and his colleagues wrote.<\/p>\n
In his post, Hoekstra expressed frustration about climate becoming less of a priority in European politics in recent years despite the threat posed by global warming.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201cThere\u2019s a sense out there that climate change has taken a backseat because we\u2019re so busy dealing with [other] pressing concerns,\u201d he wrote. <\/p>\n
\u201cProgress takes time … it\u2019s not linear,\u201d he continued, and insisted that \u201cthere\u2019ll be moments when attention wanes. So a big thanks to these scientists for giving us another serious climate wake-up call.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"What are the chances? Sybren Drijfhout, chair of ocean and earth science at the University of Southampton and…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":99674,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[5083,48713,556,2360,1397,90,1351,39474,56,54,55,48714],"class_list":{"0":"post-99673","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"tag-agriculture","9":"tag-climate-adaptation","10":"tag-climate-change","11":"tag-emissions","12":"tag-environment","13":"tag-science","14":"tag-security","15":"tag-teresa-ribera","16":"tag-uk","17":"tag-united-kingdom","18":"tag-unitedkingdom","19":"tag-wopke-hoekstra"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99673","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99673"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99673\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/99674"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99673"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99673"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99673"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}