The Miami (OH) RedHawks travel west to face the Fresno State Bulldogs in the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl.
The RedHawks have been stung by the transfer portal, and my Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State predictions expect a low-scoring affair on Saturday.
Advertisement
Read on for my college football picks for Friday, December 27.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State predictions for the Arizona BowlWho will win the Arizona Bowl?
Fresno State is coming off an 8-4 campaign with a relatively intact squad on both sides of the ball. It’ll prove to be too much for a competent yet undermanned Miami (OH) side missing at least four of its best players.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State best bet: Under 41.5 (-115)
The Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl sets up as a smash-mouth football game, and scoring points will come at a premium.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks arrive shorthanded offensively after significant portal losses, which all but force Miami into a conservative, run-heavy approach designed to wind the clock.
Advertisement
That plays directly into the Fresno State Bulldogs’ strengths. The Bulldogs are comfortable winning with defense and controlling field position, rather than relying on fancy plays or explosive scoring.
Neither offense seems efficient enough to justify chasing points and playing the Over.
Miami’s path to competitiveness relies on avoiding mistakes and turning this into a low-possession contest, while Fresno State has shown all season it can control games without pushing tempo.
With two defenses that rank ahead of their respective offenses, this matchup points to stalled drives, punts, and field goals rather than sustained scoring.
Advertisement
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State same-game parlay
The roster disparity is hard to ignore here.
Miami (OH) lost Dequon Finn earlier in the season and will now be without top receiver Kam Perry, plus key defensive pieces Adam Trick and Mychal Yharbrough.
Fresno State doesn’t face the same issues and arrives with continuity on both sides of the ball. Since their statement 30-7 road win over Boise State, the Bulldogs have covered four of their last five, and this sets up as another favorable spot.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State SGPMiami (OH) vs Fresno State odds
Spread: Miami (OH) +3.5 | Fresno State -3.5
Moneyline: Miami (OH) +140 | Fresno State -165
Over/Under: Over 42.5 | Under 42.5
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State trend to know
Fresno State has hit the game total Under in six of its last eight games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Miami (OH) vs Fresno State.
Advertisement
How to watch Miami (OH) vs Fresno State
Location
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Date
Saturday, December 27, 2025
Kickoff
4:30 p.m. ET
TV
CW
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State latest injuriesMiami (OH) vs Fresno State weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here