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Fresno, CA – Residents across Central California could see light to moderate rainfall early next week, with the highest confidence focused on the Sierra Nevada and a lower but notable chance for the San Joaquin Valley.

According to the National Weather Service in Hanford, there is medium confidence—around 30 to 40 percent—that portions of the Central Valley will receive measurable rainfall, defined as more than one-tenth of an inch, within a 12-hour period beginning Tuesday afternoon. Forecasters note that while the most consistent precipitation is expected in higher elevations, valley locations should not rule out periods of rain.

The probability map released by the weather service shows elevated chances along the Sierra foothills and mountain communities, where moisture from an incoming weather system is more likely to produce steady rainfall. In contrast, cities across the valley floor—including Fresno, Bakersfield, Visalia, and Hanford—fall into a lower-probability zone, though brief showers could still impact travel and outdoor plans.

Meteorologists say the system is expected to arrive late Monday into Tuesday, with precipitation chances peaking Tuesday afternoon and evening. Rainfall amounts in the valley, if they occur, are expected to remain light, while the Sierra Nevada could see more meaningful totals.

Drivers traveling along Highway 99, Interstate 5, and mountain routes such as Highway 41 and Highway 58 should remain alert for changing road conditions, particularly near foothill and pass areas. Cooler temperatures and cloud cover may also accompany the system.

Forecast confidence and rainfall probabilities may shift as the system approaches. Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts from the National Weather Service and plan accordingly for early-week weather changes.

This article was produced by a journalist and may include AI-assisted input. All content is reviewed for accuracy and fairness.
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